Denis Shapovalov and Marcos Giron will play each other in the quarter of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 8:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.49
Marcos Giron -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Marcos Giron
This will be the 3rd time that Denis Shapovalov and Marcos Giron face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Giron (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Giron won 7-5 6-2 in the 2nd round in Adelaide back in January 2025.
Denis Shapovalov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-10 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-25 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, Denis reached the quarter after beating Nishesh Basavareddy 7-5 6-2 and Alex Michelsen 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Shapovalov had a good straight sets win against Michelsen (6-4 6-3). During the match, Shapovalov scored 66 points vs Michelsen’s 43. The Canadian was pretty aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about the service games, Shapovalov managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Denis Shapovalov lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Shapovalov put 57% of his first serves in, winning 67% (20/30) of the points behind his 1st serve and 74% (17/23) on the 2nd serve. The Canadian broke Michelsen 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Shapovalov hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Shapovalov has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (303-204). 4-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shapovalov has an overall 136-89 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Dallas where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(5) 6-3.
The Canadian has an overall 9-3 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Acapulco
Marcos Giron
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-12 | 9-6 | 4-6 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-27 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 11-4 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-30 | 17-15 | 7-6 | 5-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-31 | 11-13 | 3-9 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 12-10 | 5-5 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 52, Giron got to the quarter after beating Adam Walton 7-6(4) 6-2 and Tommy Paul w/o.
In the 2nd round, The American defeated Paul (w/o). During the match Giron and Paul scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 32 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Giron was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
About the serving games, Giron couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Marcos Giron conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Giron has an aggregate 7-3 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shapovalov | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 21 |
| Pts | 140-100 | 72-52 |
| Total Points | 240 | 124 |
| Winners | 40 | 30 |
| %Winners | 29% | 42% |
Shapovalov played 2 matches while Giron competed in 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Shapovalov has played 2 sets more than Giron (4 vs 2). Therefore, Shapovalov played 18 games more than Giron. Denis scored 40 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 30 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shapovalov | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 12 |
| 1st in | 56/110 | 37/55 |
| %1st in | 51% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 40/56 | 30/37 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 34/54 | 12/18 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 67% |
Shapovalov struck 9 aces (4.5 per match). Giron fired 12 aces . Shapovalov won 71% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Giron won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shapovalov | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 3 |
| Converted | 9/18 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 50% | 43% |
| Conceded | 10 | 2 |
| Saved | 6 | 1 |
| % Saved | 60% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
The Canadian broke his opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. Shapovalov dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Marcos broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shapovalov | ||||
| R1 Basavareddy |
R2 Michelsen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 19 | 39 | |
| pts | 74-57 | 66-43 | 140-100 | |
| Total points | 131 | 109 | 240 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | 40 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 30% | 29% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 3 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 26/57 | 30/53 | 56/110 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 57% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 20/26 | 20/30 | 40/56 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 67% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 17/23 | 34/54 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 74% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/6 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 67% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3/5 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Giron | ||||
| R1 Walton |
R2 Paul |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-2 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | – | 21 | |
| pts | 72-52 | – | 72-52 | |
| Total points | 124 | – | 124 | |
| Winners | 30 | – | 30 | |
| %Winners | 42% | – | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | – | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | – | 1 | |
| 1st in | 37/55 | – | 37/55 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | – | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | – | 30/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | – | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | – | 12/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | – | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | – | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | – | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | – | 43% | |
| Conceded | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | – | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | – | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Marcos GironGiron (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – David GoffinGoffin (2-0) – H2H and prediction
