Brandon Nakashima and David Goffin will face off in the quarter of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on GRANDSTAND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.61
David Goffin -> 2.32
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. David Goffin
This will be the 3rd time that Brandon Nakashima and David Goffin play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Nakashima (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Nakashima won 6-2 7-6(2) in the quarter in the Danderyd Challenger back in 2023.
Brandon Nakashima
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-10 | 10-7 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 42, Nakashima reached the quarter after defeating Benjamin Bonzi 7-6(6) 7-5 and Holger Rune 3-0 ret..
In the 2nd round against Rune, Brandon had a free pass after Rune retired on a 3-0 . scoreline.
Nakashima has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (231-145). 5-4 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Nakashima has an overall 113-73 match record in the last years on hard.
The American has a compiled 5-5 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Acapulco
David Goffin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 6-10 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-28 | 24-11 | 7-7 | 9-7 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-26 | 2-5 | 11-9 | 18-9 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-29 | 7-13 | 14-5 | 9-9 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 14-15 | 4-8 | 5-5 | 5-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 63, the Belgian got to the quarter after defeating Rinky Hijikata 6-2 6-3 and Ben Shelton 7-6(3) 6-3.
In the 2nd round, David had a good straight sets win against Shelton (7-63 6-3). During the match Goffin scored 73 points vs Shelton’s 60. The Belgian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Goffin scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, David Goffin was extremely efficient on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 74% (17/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Belgian broke Shelton twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Belgian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
David has an aggregate 2-5 win-loss record in 2025, 2-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 39 |
| Pts | 105-89 | 143-104 |
| Total Points | 194 | 247 |
| Winners | 41 | 47 |
| %Winners | 39% | 33% |
Both Nakashima and Goffin played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Nakashima and Goffin have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Nakashima played 11 games less than Goffin. The American scored 41 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian recorded 47 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 51/93 | 61/96 |
| %1st in | 55% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 41/51 | 47/61 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 21/42 | 27/35 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 77% |
Nakashima fired 7 aces (3.5 per match). Goffin scored 4 aces (2 per match). Nakashima won 80% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Goffin won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 77% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakashima | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 7 |
| Converted | 4/17 | 7/23 |
| % Converted | 24% | 30% |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 |
| Saved | 5 | 0 |
| % Saved | 71% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
The American broke his opponents 4 times with a 24% conversion rate. Brandon lost his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Belgian broke his opponents 7 times with a 30% conversion rate. The Belgian conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nakashima | ||||
| R1 Bonzi |
R2 Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-66 7-5 | 3-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 3 | 28 | |
| pts | 93-85 | 12-4 | 105-89 | |
| Total points | 178 | 16 | 194 | |
| Winners | 36 | 5 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 42% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 46/83 | 5/10 | 51/93 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 50% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 36/46 | 5/5 | 41/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 100% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/37 | 3/5 | 21/42 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 60% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Converted | 3/16 | 1/1 | 4/17 | |
| Converted % | 19% | 100% | 24% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 0/0 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | – | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Goffin | ||||
| R1 Hijikata |
R2 Shelton |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 7-63 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 22 | 39 | |
| pts | 70-44 | 73-60 | 143-104 | |
| Total points | 114 | 133 | 247 | |
| Winners | 19 | 28 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 38% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 23/35 | 38/61 | 61/96 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 62% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 19/23 | 28/38 | 47/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/12 | 17/23 | 27/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 83% | 74% | 77% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 2/8 | 7/23 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 25% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – David GoffinGoffin (2-0) – H2H and prediction
