Tomas Machac and Learner Tien will play each other in the quarter of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:00 pm on CANCHA 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tomas Machac who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tomas Machac is the pick to win this match.
Tomas Machac -> 1.39
Learner Tien -> 2.99

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Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Learner Tien

There is no head to head record between Tomas Machac and Learner Tien since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Tomas Machac

Ranked no. 25, the Czech reached the quarter after defeating Jakub Mensik 6-4 2-6 6-3 and Daniel Altmaier 7-6(3) 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Tomas had a good straight sets win against Altmaier (7-6³ 6-1). During the match, Machac scored 74 points vs Altmaier’s 56. Tomas was extremely aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about the service games, Machac made 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Tomas Machac was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (33/42) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Tomas broke Altmaier 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tomas has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Machac has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 66% of his matches (266-135). 6-3 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Machac has a composed78-36 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.

The Czech’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Australia.

Machac has an aggregate 9-4 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Acapulco

Tomas has never competed in this tournament before.

Learner Tien

Ranked no. 83, Learner got to the quarter after beating Federico Agustin Gomez 6-1 6-3

, Dusan Lajovic 7-5 7-6(7), Cameron Norrie 7-6(5) 6-3 and Alexander Zverev 6-3 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Zverev (6-3 6-4). During the match Tien scored 63 points vs Zverev’s 54. Tien was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Tien recorded 4 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Learner Tien lost the serve once and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Tien put 69% of his first serves in, winning 70% (28/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the 2nd serve. Learner broke Zverev 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tien started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.

Tien has a composed 11-3 win-loss record in 2025, 11-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Machac	Tien
Match played	2	4
Tot Set	5	8
Tot Games	47	82
Pts	165-136	288-237
Total Points	301	525
Winners	67	116
%Winners	41%	40%

Machac played 2 matches while Tien competed in 4 matches. Tien started his run from the qualifications while Machac had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Tomas Machac conceded 1 set while Learner Tien hasn’t conceded a set so far. Machac has played 3 set(s) less than Tien (5 vs 8). Therefore, Machac played 35 games less than Tien. Machac scored 67 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Learner fired 116 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Machac	Tien
Aces	7	10
Avg per match	3.5	2.5
1st in	91/151	165/253
%1st in	60%	65%
1st pts	67/91	116/165
%1st pts	74%	70%
2nd pts	30/60	43/88
%2nd pts	50%	49%

Machac scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Tien recorded 10 aces (2.5 per match). Machac won 74% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Tien won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Machac	Tien
Won	8	17
Converted	8/16	17/29
% Converted	50%	59%
Conceded	9	15
Saved	4	7
% Saved	44%	47%
Times Broken	5	8

Tomas broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Machac dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. Learner broke his opponents 17 times with a 59% conversion rate. Learner conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded.

Machac
	R1 Mensik	R2 Altmaier	Total
Score	6-4 2-6 6-3	7-63 6-1
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	27	20	47
pts	91-80	74-56	165-136
Total points	171	130	301
Winners	34	33	67
%Winners	37%	45%	41%
SERVE
Aces	2	5	7
Double Faults	4	3	7
1st in	49/82	42/69	91/151
% 1st in	60%	61%	60%
1st pts	34/49	33/42	67/91
% 1st pts	69%	79%	74%
2nd pts	15/33	15/27	30/60
% 2nd pts	45%	56%	50%
Breaks
Won	5	3	8
Converted	5/11	3/5	8/16
Converted %	45%	60%	50%
Conceded	7	2	9
Saved	3/7	1/2	4
Saved %	43%	50%	47%
Times Broken	4	1	5

Tien
	Q1 Agustin	Q3 Lajovic	R1 Norrie	R2 Zverev	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	7-5 7-67	7-65 6-3	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	16	25	22	19	82
pts	62-39	87-82	76-62	63-54	288-237
Total points	101	169	138	117	525
Winners	29	30	29	28	116
%Winners	47%	34%	38%	44%	40%
SERVE
Aces	3	1	2	4	10
Double Faults	3	2	1	0	6
1st in	36/58	46/76	43/61	40/58	165/253
% 1st in	62%	61%	70%	69%	65%
1st pts	29/36	30/46	29/43	28/40	116/165
% 1st pts	81%	65%	67%	70%	70%
2nd pts	10/22	14/30	8/18	11/18	43/88
% 2nd pts	45%	47%	44%	61%	49%
Breaks
Won	4	5	5	3	17
Converted	4/5	5/11	5/7	3/6	17/29
Converted %	80%	45%	71%	50%	59%
Conceded	2	5	5	3	15
Saved	2/2	1/5	2/5	2/3	7
Saved %	100%	20%	40%	67%	114%
Times Broken	0	4	3	1	8

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Marcos GironGiron (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – David GoffinGoffin (2-0) – H2H and prediction