Stefanos Tsitsipas and Matteo Berrettini will play each other in the quarter of the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 9:30 pm on CENTRE COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.57
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 2.4
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Prediction and head to head Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Matteo Berrettini
This will be the 6th time that Stefanos Tsitsipas and Matteo Berrettini play each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Tsitsipas (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Berrettini won 7-6(6) 7-5 in the semifinal in Gstaad back in 2024.
Highlights Matteo Berrettini vs Stefanos Tsitsipas – Gstaad 20-July-2024
Stefanos Tsitsipas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22-18 | 12-10 | 7-5 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-22 | 13-11 | 22-6 | 8-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-24 | 19-9 | 17-5 | 11-6 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 61-24 | 18-8 | 17-4 | 18-9 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-19 | 26-8 | 23-5 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, the Greek got to the quarter after defeating Lorenzo Sonego 7-6(4) 6-3 and Karen Khachanov 7-6(4) 2-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Greek defeated Khachanov (7-64 2-6 6-4).During the match, Tsitsipas scored less points (1) than Khachanov. In fact, the world no. 11 won 103 points vs Khachanov’s. That means that Tsitsipas was more focused during the important points. The Greek was pretty aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about the service games, Tsitsipas struck 7 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Stefanos Tsitsipas lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Tsitsipas put 62% of his first serves in, winning 80% (49/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (17/38) on the 2nd serve. Tsitsipas broke Khachanov twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Greek has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.
Tsitsipas has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 69% of his matches (462-211). 3-3 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tsitsipas has an overall 161-85 match record in the last years on hard.
Tsitsipas has a compiled 5-4 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-17 | 10-9 | 4-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, the Italian got to the quarter after beating Gael Monfils 7-5 6-4 and Christopher O Connell 7-6(2) 6-2
.In the 2nd round, Matteo had a good straight sets win against O Connell (7-62 6-2). During the match Berrettini scored 76 points vs O Connell’s 50. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Berrettini scored 15 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Matteo Berrettini was very efficient on serve to win 89% (31/35) of his 1st serve and 82% (14/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Berrettini broke O Connell twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Berrettini hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points he played.
The Italian has an overall 5-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Tsitsipas | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 53 | 43 |
| Pts | 175-159 | 143-99 |
| Total Points | 334 | 242 |
| Winners | 83 | 66 |
| %Winners | 47% | 46% |
Both Tsitsipas and Berrettini played 2 matches. At the moment, Stefanos Tsitsipas lost 1 set while Matteo Berrettini hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Tsitsipas has played 1 set more than Berrettini (5 vs 4). Therefore, Tsitsipas played 10 games more than Berrettini. Stefanos scored 83 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian blasted 66 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Tsitsipas | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 12 |
| 1st in | 103/159 | 74/105 |
| %1st in | 65% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 83/103 | 66/74 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 89% |
| 2nd pts | 30/56 | 19/31 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 61% |
Tsitsipas bagged 10 aces (5 per match). Berrettini made 24 aces (12 per match). Tsitsipas won 81% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 89% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Tsitsipas | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 6 |
| Converted | 4/15 | 6/11 |
| % Converted | 27% | 55% |
| Conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Saved | 7 | 4 |
| % Saved | 64% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Tsitsipas broke his opponents 4 times with a 27% conversion rate. The Greek surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Berrettini broke his opponents 6 times with a 55% conversion rate. Matteo conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Tsitsipas | ||||
| R1 Sonego | R2 Khachanov | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 | 7-64 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 31 | 53 | |
| pts | 72-55 | 103-104 | 175-159 | |
| Total points | 127 | 207 | 334 | |
| Winners | 34 | 49 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 48% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 7 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 42/60 | 61/99 | 103/159 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 62% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 34/42 | 49/61 | 83/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 80% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/18 | 17/38 | 30/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 45% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/9 | 4/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 22% | 27% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 9 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 6/9 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Berrettini | ||||
| R1 Monfils | R2 O | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | 7-62 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 21 | 43 | |
| pts | 67-49 | 76-50 | 143-99 | |
| Total points | 116 | 126 | 242 | |
| Winners | 35 | 31 | 66 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 41% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 15 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 39/53 | 35/52 | 74/105 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 67% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 35/39 | 31/35 | 66/74 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/14 | 14/17 | 19/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 82% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 2/7 | 6/11 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 29% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores in Dubai
- Robin Haase/Hendrik JebensHaase/Hendrik Jebens – Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori (6-4 3-6 12-10) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jamie Murray/John PeersMurray/John Peers – Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz (6-3 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Marin CilicCilic (1-3) – H2H and prediction