Taro Daniel and Alex Rybakov will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the San Diego Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:00 am on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taro Daniel who should win in 2 sets.
Taro Daniel -> 1.25
Alex Rybakov -> 3.64
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Taro Daniel vs. Alex Rybakov
This will be the 2nd time that Taro Daniel and Alex Rybakov clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Daniel (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Daniel won 6-3 6-4 in the qualifications in Washington back in 2022.
Taro Daniel
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-31 | 10-19 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-33 | 16-16 | 5-11 | 9-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-30 | 34-16 | 7-10 | 2-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-29 | 27-17 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 5-7 | 21-15 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 119, Taro got to the 2nd round after defeating Tyler Zink 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round, Daniel had a good straight sets win against Zink (6-4 6-4). During the match, Daniel scored 65 points vs Zink’s 51. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Daniel struck 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Taro Daniel was exceptionally effective on serve to win 85% (28/33) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Daniel broke Zink twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Daniel has winning win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (308-262). 2-5 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Daniel has a composed 148-117 record in the last years on hard.
Daniel has a composed 2-6 win-loss record in 2025, 2-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the San Diego Challenger
The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.
Alex Rybakov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 47-26 | 24-13 | 8-6 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-20 | 11-8 | 12-8 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-25 | 5-8 | 7-9 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-23 | 5-7 | 20-12 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-26 | 4-4 | 35-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 594, Alex reached the 2nd round after defeating Lucas Renard 7-5 4-6 6-4, Stefan Dostanic 4-6 7-5 7-5 and Radu Albot 7-6(2) 6-3.
In the 1st round, Alex had a good straight sets win against Albot (7-62 6-3). During the match Rybakov scored 85 points vs Albot’s 70. Rybakov was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Rybakov recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alex Rybakov lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Rybakov put 62% of his first serves in, winning 70% (37/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Alex broke Albot 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Alex’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in M25 Ithaca.
Alex has an overall 9-4 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Daniel | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 88 |
| Pts | 65-51 | 288-258 |
| Total Points | 116 | 546 |
| Winners | 28 | 124 |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% |
Daniel played 1 match while Rybakov competed in 3 matches. Rybakov started his run from the qualifications while Daniel had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Alex Rybakov conceded 2 sets while Taro Daniel hasn’t dropped a set so far. Daniel has played 6 set(s) less than Rybakov (2 vs 8). Therefore, Daniel played 68 games less than Rybakov. The Japanese scored 28 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Alex bagged 124 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Daniel | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 33/53 | 166/275 |
| %1st in | 62% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 28/33 | 124/166 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 52/109 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 48% |
Daniel fired 5 aces . Rybakov struck 13 aces (4.3 per match). Daniel won 85% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Rybakov won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Daniel | Rybakov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 13 |
| Converted | 2/5 | 13/27 |
| % Converted | 40% | 48% |
| Conceded | 3 | 24 |
| Saved | 3 | 14 |
| % Saved | 100% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 10 |
Taro broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Taro pretty solid on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 3 break points. The American broke his opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.
| Daniel | |||
| R1 Zink | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 65-51 | 65-51 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/53 | 33/53 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 28/33 | 28/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 13/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 2/5 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Rybakov | |||||
| Q1 Renard | Q3 Dostanic | R1 Albot | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 4-6 6-4 | 4-6 7-5 7-5 | 7-62 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 34 | 22 | 88 | |
| pts | 107-91 | 96-97 | 85-70 | 288-258 | |
| Total points | 198 | 193 | 155 | 546 | |
| Winners | 42 | 45 | 37 | 124 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 47% | 44% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 9 | 1 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 51/84 | 62/105 | 53/86 | 166/275 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 59% | 62% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 42/51 | 45/62 | 37/53 | 124/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 73% | 70% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 20/43 | 16/33 | 52/109 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 47% | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 5/6 | 3/6 | 13/27 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 83% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 6/10 | 7/9 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 60% | 78% | 158% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | |
Tennis Scores in San Diego Challenger
- Alex BoltBolt – Govind NandaNanda (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Trevor SvajdaSvajda – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Michael MmohMmoh (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Mackenzie McdonaldMackenzie – Matteo GiganteMatteo (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Kamil MajchrzakMajchrzak – Alex BoltBolt (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alex RybakovRybakov – Taro DanielDaniel (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jenson BrooksbyBrooksby – (0-0) – H2H and prediction