Emiliana Arango and Francesca Jones will face off in the 2^nd round of the Merida Open Akron for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 2:00 pm on AKRON STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesca Jones who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Francesca Jones is the pick to win this match.
Francesca Jones -> 1.78
Emiliana Arango -> 2.04

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Prediction and head to head Emiliana Arango vs. Francesca Jones

This will be the 2^nd time that Emiliana Arango and Francesca Jones fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Arango (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Arango won 3-6 6-1 7-5 in the semifinal in the Cancun back in February 2025.

Emiliana Arango

Ranked no. 133, Arango got to the 2^nd round after defeating Katarzyna Kawa 7-5 6-2 and Maria Lourdes Carle 6-2 6-3.

In the 1^st round, The Colombian had a good straight sets win against Lourdes Carle (6-2 6-3). During the match, Arango scored 104 points vs Lourdes Carle’s 80. Arango was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about the service games, Arango was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Emiliana Arango lost the serve 8 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Arango put 71% of her first serves in, winning 58% (38/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 33% (9/27) on the 2nd serve. Arango broke Lourdes Carle 11 times after converting 92% of her break points (11/12).

Arango has good match record in the last 10 years having won 58% of her matches (218-160). 9-2 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Arango has a composed 71-56 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title the Cancun where she overcame Carson Branstine in the final 6-2 6-1.

Emiliana has an overall 11-3 win-loss record in 2025, 9-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Merida

Francesca Jones

Ranked no. 136 (career-high), Francesca reached the 2^nd round after beating Ana Sofia Sanchez 6-0 6-1, Leonie Kung 3-6 6-3 6-2 and Mayar Sherif 6-4 3-0 ret..

In the 1^st round against Sherif, Jones had a free pass after Sherif retired on a 6-4 3-0 . scoreline.

The Brit’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Cancun.

Francesca has a composed 9-3 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Arango	Jones
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	8
Tot Games	65	52
Pts	283-215	193-128
Total Points	498	321
Winners	102	85
%Winners	36%	44%

Both Arango and Jones played 3 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Emiliana Arango conceded 1 set, while Francesca Jones surrendered 1 set. Arango has played 1 set(s) less than Jones (7 vs 8). However, it’s interesting to notice that Arango played 13 games more than Jones. Emiliana scored 102 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Francesca fired 85 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Arango	Jones
Aces	0	3
Avg per match	0	1
1st in	173/241	122/173
%1st in	72%	71%
1st pts	102/173	85/122
%1st pts	59%	70%
2nd pts	27/68	27/51
%2nd pts	40%	53%

Arango didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Jones struck 3 aces (1 per match). Arango won 59% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Jones won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Arango	Jones
Won	28	14
Converted	28/36	14/22
% Converted	78%	64%
Conceded	27	20
Saved	8	15
% Saved	30%	75%
Times Broken	19	5

The Colombian broke her opponents 28 times with a 78% conversion rate. The Colombian lost her serve 19 times and she saved 30% of the break points that she conceded. Jones broke her opponents 14 times with a 64% conversion rate. Jones conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.

Arango
	Q1 Kawa	Q3 Lourdes	R1 Lourdes	Total
Score	7-5 6-2	6-2 5-7 6-2	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	20	28	17	65
pts	75-55	104-80	104-80	283-215
Total points	130	184	184	498
Winners	26	38	38	102
%Winners	35%	37%	37%	36%
SERVE
Aces	0	0	0	0
Double Faults	0	3	3	6
1st in	43/57	65/92	65/92	173/241
% 1st in	75%	71%	71%	72%
1st pts	26/43	38/65	38/65	102/173
% 1st pts	60%	58%	58%	59%
2nd pts	9/14	9/27	9/27	27/68
% 2nd pts	64%	33%	33%	40%
Breaks
Won	6	11	11	28
Converted	6/12	11/12	11/12	28/36
Converted %	50%	92%	92%	78%
Conceded	5	11	11	27
Saved	2/5	3/11	3/11	8
Saved %	40%	27%	27%	31%
Times Broken	3	8	8	19

Jones
	Q1 Sofia Sanchez	Q3 Kung	R1 Sherif	Total
Score	6-0 6-1	3-6 6-3 6-2	6-4 3-0 ret.
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	13	26	13	52
pts	61-31	86-67	46-30	193-128
Total points	92	153	76	321
Winners	31	33	21	85
%Winners	51%	38%	46%	44%
SERVE
Aces	1	2	0	3
Double Faults	3	8	0	11
1st in	46/56	48/74	28/43	122/173
% 1st in	82%	65%	65%	71%
1st pts	31/46	33/48	21/28	85/122
% 1st pts	67%	69%	75%	70%
2nd pts	5/10	14/26	8/15	27/51
% 2nd pts	50%	54%	53%	53%
Breaks
Won	5	6	3	14
Converted	5/7	6/9	3/6	14/22
Converted %	71%	67%	50%	64%
Conceded	8	6	6	20
Saved	8/8	2/6	5/6	15
Saved %	100%	33%	83%	72%
Times Broken	0	4	1	5

Tennis Scores in Merida

• Daria SavilleSaville – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (4-6 6-2 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi – Riccardo BonadioBonadio (6-3 4-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alexandre MullerMuller – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (7-6⁵ 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Roberto MarcoraMarcora – Andrea CollariniCollarini (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Federico GaioGaio – Pedro SakamotoSakamoto (7-6³ 4-6 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Renzo OlivoOlivo – Gianluigi QuinziQuinzi (6-3 1-0 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Rogerio Dutra Da SilvaDutra Da Silva – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (6-2 3-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Manuel GuinardGuinard – Tung-Lin WuWu (7-6¹ 7-6³) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Alessandro GiannessiGiannessi – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (7-6⁴ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jose Hernandez-FernandezHernandez-Fernandez – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (1-6 7-6⁶ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Santiago GiraldoGiraldo – Juan Pablo VarillasPablo Varillas (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Luca VanniVanni (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Andrea VavassoriVavassori – Federico CoriaCoria (6-4 7-6⁴) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla – Pedja KrstinKrstin (6-3 7-6⁶) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Andrej MartinMartin – Jeroen VannesteVanneste (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Francesco FortiForti – Gianluca MagerMager (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jan SatralSatral – Emilio GomezGomez (2-3 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Emma NavarroNavarro – Petra MarticMartic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Magda LinetteLinette – Zeynep SonmezSonmez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Donna VekicVekic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Emiliana ArangoArango – Francesca JonesJones (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-4) – H2H and prediction
• Jaqueline CristianCristian – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (1-0) – H2H and prediction