Hugo Grenier and Murphy Cassone will face off in the 2nd round of the Lugano Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 12:00 pm on CAMPO 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Murphy Cassone who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Murphy Cassone is the pick to win this match.
Murphy Cassone -> 1.71
Hugo Grenier -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Hugo Grenier vs. Murphy Cassone
There is no head to head record between Hugo Grenier and Murphy Cassone since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Hugo Grenier
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-20 | 9-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-33 | 25-15 | 2-8 | 9-8 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-33 | 15-8 | 7-10 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-35 | 21-14 | 9-10 | 1-8 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-28 | 22-9 | 9-8 | 12-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 197, Hugo got to the 2nd round after beating Jie Cui 6-2 6-4.
In the 1st round, Hugo had a good straight sets win against Cui (6-2 6-4). During the match, Grenier scored 70 points vs Cui’s 49. Hugo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Grenier scored 10 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Hugo Grenier was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (21/28) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Cui 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).
Grenier has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (349-260). 6-4 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Grenier has a composed 84-78 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Grenier has an overall 9-7 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
Murphy Cassone
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-16 | 9-6 | 2-4 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-18 | 16-13 | 0-0 | 14-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 6-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-9 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 248 (career-high), Murphy reached the 2nd round after beating Johan Nikles 7-5 6-3, Alexey Vatutin w/o and Ricardas Berankis 6-1 6-2.
In the 1st round, The American had a good straight sets win against Berankis (6-1 6-2). During the match Cassone scored 53 points vs Berankis’s 30. Murphy was extremely aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Cassone recorded 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Murphy Cassone was quite effective on serve to win 81% (25/31) of his 1st serve and 73% (8/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Cassone broke Berankis 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
The American’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger and the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger.
The American has a compiled 14-6 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Grenier | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 36 |
| Pts | 70-49 | 128-90 |
| Total Points | 119 | 218 |
| Winners | 21 | 57 |
| %Winners | 30% | 45% |
Grenier played 1 match while Cassone competed in 2 matches. Cassone started his run from the qualifications while Grenier had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Grenier has played 2 set(s) less than Cassone (2 vs 4). Therefore, Grenier played 18 games less than Cassone. Grenier scored 21 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 57 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Grenier | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 4 |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 75/106 |
| %1st in | 57% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 57/75 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 20/31 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 65% |
Grenier fired 10 aces . Cassone made 8 aces (4 per match). Grenier won 75% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Cassone won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Grenier | Cassone |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 7 |
| Converted | 4/13 | 7/15 |
| % Converted | 31% | 47% |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 |
| Saved | 1 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Grenier broke his opponent 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. Hugo dropped his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. Cassone conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Grenier | |||
| R1 Cui |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 70-49 | 70-49 | |
| Total points | 119 | 119 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 28/49 | 28/49 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 21/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/21 | 14/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/13 | 4/13 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Cassone | |||||
| Q1 Nikles |
Q3 Vatutin |
R1 Berankis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | w/o | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | – | 15 | 36 | |
| pts | 75-60 | – | 53-30 | 128-90 | |
| Total points | 135 | – | 83 | 218 | |
| Winners | 32 | – | 25 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 43% | – | 47% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | – | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | – | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 44/64 | – | 31/42 | 75/106 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | – | 74% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 32/44 | – | 25/31 | 57/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | – | 81% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | – | 8/11 | 20/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | – | 73% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | – | 4 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | – | 4/7 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 38% | – | 57% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 4 | – | 0 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | – | 0/0 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | – | – | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | – | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLLLLLL
LLWWWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Lugano Challenger
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