Luca Van Assche and Jan Choinski will clash against each other in the 2^nd round of the Lugano Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:00 pm on CENTRALE. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Van Assche who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Luca Van Assche is the pick to win this match.
Luca Van Assche -> 1.54
Jan Choinski -> 2.35

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Prediction and head to head Luca Van Assche vs. Jan Choinski

There is no head to head record between Luca Van Assche and Jan Choinski since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Luca Van Assche

Ranked no. 154, Van Assche reached the 2^nd round after beating Tung-Lin Wu 2-6 6-2 6-0.

In the 1^st round against Wu, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-2 6-0). During the match, Van Assche scored 75 points vs Wu’s 62. Luca was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Van Assche made 6 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Luca Van Assche lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Van Assche put 59% of his first serves in, winning 77% (30/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (11/27) on the 2nd serve. Van Assche broke Wu 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Van Assche has a winning win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 55% of his matches (160-129). 3-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Van Assche has an aggregate59-48 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.

Van Assche has an overall 3-4 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lugano Challenger

Van Assche has never competed in this tournament before.

Jan Choinski

Ranked no. 196, Choinski got to the 2^nd round after beating Patrick Zahraj 6-2 6-7(3) 6-3.

In the 1^st round, Jan defeated Zahraj (6-2 6-7³ 6-3). During the match Choinski scored 101 points vs Zahraj’s 86. Jan was extremely aggressive to blast 45 winners.

About the serving games, Choinski struck 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jan Choinski was very efficient on serve to win 79% (45/57) of his 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Jan broke Zahraj 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).

Choinski has a composed 1-4 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Lugano Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Van Assche	Choinski
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	22	30
Pts	75-62	101-86
Total Points	137	187
Winners	30	45
%Winners	40%	45%

Both Van Assche and Choinski played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Luca Van Assche conceded 1 set, while Jan Choinski surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Van Assche and Choinski have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Van Assche played 8 games less than Choinski. The French player scored 30 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The German managed to score 45 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Van Assche	Choinski
Aces	6	7
Avg per match	6	7
1st in	39/66	57/81
%1st in	59%	70%
1st pts	30/39	45/57
%1st pts	77%	79%
2nd pts	11/27	14/24
%2nd pts	41%	58%

Van Assche scored 6 aces . Choinski managed to score 7 aces . Van Assche won 77% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 41% of the points. On the other side, Choinski won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Van Assche	Choinski
Won	5	5
Converted	5/10	5/15
% Converted	50%	33%
Conceded	4	3
Saved	2	2
% Saved	50%	67%
Times Broken	2	1

The French player broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Luca lost his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Jan broke his opponent 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Choinski conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Van Assche
	R1 Wu	Total
Score	2-6 6-2 6-0
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	22	22
pts	75-62	75-62
Total points	137	137
Winners	30	30
%Winners	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	6	6
Double Faults	7	7
1st in	39/66	39/66
% 1st in	59%	59%
1st pts	30/39	30/39
% 1st pts	77%	77%
2nd pts	11/27	11/27
% 2nd pts	41%	41%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/10	5/10
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	2/4	2
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	2	2

Choinski
	R1 Zahraj	Total
Score	6-2 6-73 6-3
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	30	30
pts	101-86	101-86
Total points	187	187
Winners	45	45
%Winners	45%	45%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	57/81	57/81
% 1st in	70%	70%
1st pts	45/57	45/57
% 1st pts	79%	79%
2nd pts	14/24	14/24
% 2nd pts	58%	58%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/15	5/15
Converted %	33%	33%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	2/3	2
Saved %	67%	67%
Times Broken	1	1

Tennis Scores in Lugano Challenger

• Borna CoricCoric – Antoine EscoffierEscoffier (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Henri SquireSquire – Remy BertolaBertola (7-6⁵ 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori – Liam DraxlDraxl (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Henri SquireSquire – Borna CoricCoric (0-0) – H2H and prediction