Denis Shapovalov and Alex Michelsen will square off in the 2nd round of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on CANCHA 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Denis Shapovalov who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Denis Shapovalov is the pick to win this match.
Denis Shapovalov -> 1.49
Alex Michelsen -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Denis Shapovalov vs. Alex Michelsen
There is no head to head record between Denis Shapovalov and Alex Michelsen since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Denis Shapovalov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-22 | 14-11 | 2-5 | 9-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-25 | 9-10 | 5-6 | 16-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-13 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-26 | 22-12 | 4-4 | 7-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 11-11 | 7-6 | 4-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, Denis got to the 2nd round after beating Nishesh Basavareddy 7-5 6-2.
In the 1st round, Denis had a good straight sets win against Basavareddy (7-5 6-2). During the match, Shapovalov scored 74 points vs Basavareddy’s 57. Denis was exceptionally aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Talking about the service games, Shapovalov struck 6 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Overall, Denis Shapovalov was exceptionally effective on serve to win 77% (20/26) of his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Shapovalov broke Basavareddy 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Shapovalov has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (302-204). 3-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Shapovalov has a composed 135-89 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Dallas where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(5) 6-3.
Shapovalov has an overall 8-3 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Acapulco
Alex Michelsen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-27 | 14-13 | 6-5 | 4-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-34 | 26-14 | 4-9 | 8-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34, Alex got to the 2nd round after defeating Bu Yunchaokete 2-6 7-6(5) 7-6(5).
In the 1st round against Yunchaokete, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-65 7-65).During the match Michelsen scored less points (4) than Yunchaokete. In fact, the world no. 32 won 111 points vs Yunchaokete’s. That means that Michelsen was more focused during the important points. The American was pretty aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about serving, Michelsen recorded 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Alex Michelsen lost the serve 7 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Michelsen put 69% of his first serves in, winning 64% (53/83) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (14/38) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Yunchaokete 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Alex’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.
Alex has a composed 10-5 win-loss record in 2025, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Shapovalov | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 34 |
| Pts | 74-57 | 111-115 |
| Total Points | 131 | 226 |
| Winners | 20 | 53 |
| %Winners | 27% | 48% |
Both Shapovalov and Michelsen played 1 match. At the moment, Alex Michelsen conceded 1 set while Denis Shapovalov hasn’t conceded a set so far. Shapovalov has played 1 set(s) less than Michelsen (2 vs 3). Therefore, Shapovalov played 14 games less than Michelsen. The Canadian scored 20 winners (27% of the total points). On the other side, Alex blasted 53 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Shapovalov | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 6 |
| 1st in | 26/57 | 83/121 |
| %1st in | 46% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 20/26 | 53/83 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 14/38 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 37% |
Shapovalov fired 6 aces . Michelsen scored 6 aces . Shapovalov won 77% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Michelsen won 64% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 37% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Shapovalov | Michelsen |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 42% | 56% |
| Conceded | 5 | 13 |
| Saved | 3 | 6 |
| % Saved | 60% | 46% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 7 |
The Canadian broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Shapovalov dropped his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Alex conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 46% of the break points that he conceded.
| Shapovalov | |||
| R1 Basavareddy |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 74-57 | 74-57 | |
| Total points | 131 | 131 | |
| Winners | 20 | 20 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 27% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 26/57 | 26/57 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 46% | |
| 1st pts | 20/26 | 20/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 17/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Michelsen | |||
| R1 Yunchaokete |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-65 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 111-115 | 111-115 | |
| Total points | 226 | 226 | |
| Winners | 53 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 83/121 | 83/121 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 53/83 | 53/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/38 | 14/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 6/13 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 46% | 46% | |
| Times Broken | 7 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWLWL
LLLWWWLLLL Tennis Scores in Acapulco
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-72 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPacheco Mendez – Aleksandar VukicVukic (7-5 4-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (7-64 6-3) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-66 7-5) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Mattia BellucciBellucci (1-6 7-66 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (2-6 7-65 7-65) – See score progression
- Tomas Machac/Jakub MensikMachac/Jakub Mensik – Austin Krajicek/Rajeev RamKrajicek/Rajeev Ram (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Learner TienTien – Cameron NorrieNorrie (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (4-6 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Flavio CobolliCobolli (7-64 7-64) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Jakub MensikMensik (6-4 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- David GoffinGoffin – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Marcos GironGiron – Adam WaltonWalton (7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-7(2) 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Benjamin BonziBonzi (7-6(6) 7-5) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Nishesh BasavareddyBasavareddy (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (2-6 7-6(5) 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexandre MullerMuller (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- David GoffinGoffin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marcos GironGiron – Tommy PaulPaul (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Tomas MachacMachac (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-3) – H2H and prediction
