Vilius Gaubas and Mees Rottgering will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Lugano Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 6:00 pm on CENTRALE. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Vilius Gaubas who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Vilius Gaubas is the pick to win this match.
Vilius Gaubas -> 1.49
Mees Rottgering -> 2.47
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Vilius Gaubas vs. Mees Rottgering
There is no head to head record between Vilius Gaubas and Mees Rottgering since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Vilius Gaubas
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 28-21 | 1-3 | 24-13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-35 | 7-4 | 40-28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-26 | 3-3 | 55-21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 19-17 | 4-4 | 15-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 184,he will start his run in the Lugano Challenger after he played his last match in the Lugano Challenger where he overcame 6-3 1-6 6-2 to Stricker in the 1st round on the 25th of February.
Gaubas has a compiled 1-6 win-loss record in 2025, 0-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Talking about his overall career, The Lithuanian has an overall 130-90 record. He has a negative 2-9 record on indoor hard courts.
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
Gaubas has never competed in this tournament before.
Mees Rottgering
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-18 | 4-4 | 10-10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 14-11 | 8-7 | 5-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 10-7 | 7-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 835, Mees got to the 2nd round after beating Beibit Zhukayev 4-6 7-6(10) 7-6(5).
In the 1st round against Zhukayev, The Dutch recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-610 7-65).During the match Rottgering scored less points (9) than Zhukayev. In fact, the world no. 184 won 116 points vs Zhukayev’s. That means that Rottgering was more focused during the important points. The Dutch was extremely aggressive to blast 53 winners.
Talking about serving, Rottgering scored 3 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Mees Rottgering lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Rottgering put 61% of his first serves in, winning 67% (53/79) of the points behind his 1st serve and 60% (30/50) on the 2nd serve. Mees broke Zhukayev once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).
Rottgering has a composed 7-6 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gaubas | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 24 | 36 |
| Pts | 77-71 | 116-125 |
| Total Points | 148 | 241 |
| Winners | 40 | 53 |
| %Winners | 52% | 46% |
Both Gaubas and Rottgering played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Vilius Gaubas conceded 1 set, while Mees Rottgering dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Gaubas and Rottgering have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Gaubas played 12 games less than Rottgering. Vilius scored 40 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, The Dutch bagged 53 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gaubas | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3 |
| 1st in | 62/74 | 79/129 |
| %1st in | 84% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 40/62 | 53/79 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 30/50 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 60% |
Gaubas recorded 4 aces . Rottgering fired 3 aces . Gaubas won 65% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Rottgering won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gaubas | Rottgering |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 1 |
| Converted | 4/6 | 1/2 |
| % Converted | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded | 9 | 7 |
| Saved | 6 | 5 |
| % Saved | 67% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Gaubas broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. The Lithuanian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Rottgering broke his opponent once with a 50% conversion rate. Rottgering conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gaubas | ||
| Total | ||
|---|---|---|
| Score | ||
| Tot Set | 0 | |
| Tot Games | 0 | |
| pts | 0-0 | |
| Total points | 0 | |
| Winners | 0 | |
| %Winners | 0% | |
| SERVE | ||
| Aces | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | |
| 1st in | 0/0 | |
| % 1st in | 0% | |
| 1st pts | 0/0 | |
| % 1st pts | % | |
| 2nd pts | 0/0 | |
| % 2nd pts | 0% | |
| Breaks | ||
| Won | 0 | |
| Converted | 0/0 | |
| Converted % | 0% | |
| Conceded | 0 | |
| Saved | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | |
| Rottgering | |||
| R1 Zhukayev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-610 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 36 | |
| pts | 116-125 | 116-125 | |
| Total points | 241 | 241 | |
| Winners | 53 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 79/129 | 79/129 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 53/79 | 53/79 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 30/50 | 30/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/2 | 1/2 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLWLW
LLLWWLLWWW Tennis Scores in Lugano Challenger
- Luca Van AsscheVan Assche – Tung-Lin WuWu (2-6 6-2 6-0) – See score progression
- Vilius GaubasGaubas – Dominic StrickerStricker (6-3 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Dino PrizmicPrizmic – Jakub PaulPaul (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Remy BertolaBertola – Edas ButvilasButvilas (2-6 7-5 7-64) – See score progression
- Andrin Casanova/Nicolas ParizziaCasanova/Nicolas Parizzia – Mac Kiger/Finn ReynoldsKiger/Finn Reynolds (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Murphy CassoneCassone – Ricardas BerankisBerankis (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Borna CoricCoric – Gauthier OnclinOnclin (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander BlockxBlockx – Juan Carlos Prado AngeloCarlos Prado Angelo (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Hugo GrenierGrenier – Jie CuiCui (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Liam DraxlDraxl – Rei SakamotoSakamoto (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Mees RottgeringRottgering – Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev (4-6 7-610 7-65) – See score progression
- Henri SquireSquire – Adrian AndreevAndreev (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – Mika BrunoldBrunold (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Vilius GaubasGaubas – Dominic StrickerStricker (6-3 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Remy BertolaBertola – Edas ButvilasButvilas (2-6 7-5 7-6(4)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – Borna CoricCoric (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Viktor DurasovicDurasovic – Benjamin HassanHassan (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Patrick ZahrajZahraj – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Henri SquireSquire – Remy BertolaBertola (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Clement ChidekhChidekh – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (0-0) – H2H and prediction
