Valentin Royer and Guy Den Ouden will square off in the 2nd round of the Kigali 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 10:00 am on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Valentin Royer who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Valentin Royer is the pick to win this match.
Valentin Royer -> 1.41
Guy Den Ouden -> 2.73
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Prediction and head to head Valentin Royer vs. Guy Den Ouden
There is no head to head record between Valentin Royer and Guy Den Ouden since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Valentin Royer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-5 | 1-2 | 10-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 48-30 | 6-5 | 32-13 | 10-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-20 | 24-7 | 22-10 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-25 | 8-4 | 30-15 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-17 | 1-2 | 13-8 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 183, Valentin reached the 2nd round after defeating Maxime Chazal 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Chazal (6-3 6-4). During the match, Royer scored 64 points vs Chazal’s 45. Royer was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Royer managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Valentin Royer was extremely efficient on serve to win 84% (26/31) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player broke Chazal 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Royer has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 64% of his matches (215-121). 1-0 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Royer has an aggregate105-50 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
Royer’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Lille Challenger.
Valentin has an overall 7-5 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kigali 1 Challenger
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
Guy Den Ouden
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 12-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-24 | 3-7 | 28-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-19 | 35-9 | 24-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-12 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-13 | 16-5 | 13-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 337, the Dutch got to the 2nd round after defeating Julien De Cuyper 6-2 7-5, Jasza Szajrych 6-1 6-1 and Clement Tabur 7-6(3) 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Dutch had a good straight sets win against Tabur (7-63 6-4). During the match Den scored 85 points vs Tabur’s 74. Den was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Den scored 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Guy Den Ouden lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Den put 58% of his first serves in, winning 69% (36/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (21/38) on the 2nd serve. The Dutch broke Tabur 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Den’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Antalya.
Den has an overall 9-3 win-loss record in 2025, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Royer | Den |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 57 |
| Pts | 64-45 | 213-163 |
| Total Points | 109 | 376 |
| Winners | 26 | 74 |
| %Winners | 41% | 35% |
Royer played 1 match while Den competed in 3 matches. Den started his run from the qualifications while Royer had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Royer has played 4 set(s) less than Den (2 vs 6). Therefore, Royer played 38 games less than Den. Valentin scored 26 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Den blasted 74 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Royer | Den |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3 |
| 1st in | 31/50 | 105/188 |
| %1st in | 62% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 26/31 | 74/105 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 49/83 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 59% |
Royer struck 4 aces . Den fired 9 aces (3 per match). Royer won 84% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Den won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Royer | Den |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 13 |
| Converted | 3/7 | 13/27 |
| % Converted | 43% | 48% |
| Conceded | 1 | 12 |
| Saved | 0 | 8 |
| % Saved | 0% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
The French player broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Royer surrendered his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Guy broke his opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Dutch conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Royer | |||
| R1 Chazal |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 64-45 | 64-45 | |
| Total points | 109 | 109 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 31/50 | 31/50 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 26/31 | 26/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 12/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Den | |||||
| Q1 De Cuyper |
Q3 Szajrych |
R1 Tabur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 6-1 6-1 | 7-63 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 14 | 23 | 57 | |
| pts | 69-55 | 59-34 | 85-74 | 213-163 | |
| Total points | 124 | 93 | 159 | 376 | |
| Winners | 22 | 16 | 36 | 74 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 27% | 42% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 31/57 | 22/41 | 52/90 | 105/188 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | 58% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 22/31 | 16/22 | 36/52 | 74/105 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 73% | 69% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 13/19 | 21/38 | 49/83 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 68% | 55% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/10 | 3/4 | 13/27 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 50% | 75% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 0/0 | 5/7 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 60% | – | 71% | 131% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
LWWWWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Kigali 1 Challenger
- Andrej MartinMartin – Jesper De JongDe Jong (7-61 6-3) – See score progression
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Mathys ErhardErhard – Maximus JonesJones (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Luka PavlovicPavlovic – Oriol Roca BatallaRoca Batalla (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Neil OberleitnerOberleitner – Manuel GuinardGuinard (7-5 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Alex Marti PujolrasMarti Pujolras – Dominik KellovskyKellovsky (7-611 6-2) – See score progression
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Guy Den OudenDen Ouden – Clement TaburTabur (7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Maximilian NeuchristNeuchrist – Calvin HemeryHemery (6-4 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler – Zdenek KolarKolar (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Eliakim CoulibalyCoulibaly – Daniel MichalskiMichalski (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Lukas NeumayerNeumayer – Gabriele PennafortiPennaforti (4-6 6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Carlos Sanchez JoverSanchez Jover – Corentin DenollyDenolly (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Carlos TabernerTaberner – Andrea PicchionePicchione (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Max HoukesHoukes – Maxime JanvierJanvier (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Maxime ChazalChazal (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrej MartinMartin – Jesper De JongDe Jong (7-6(1) 6-3) – See score progression
- Maximilian NeuchristNeuchrist – Calvin HemeryHemery (6-4 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Joel SchwaerzlerSchwaerzler – Zdenek KolarKolar (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Eliakim CoulibalyCoulibaly – Daniel MichalskiMichalski (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Nicholas David IonelDavid Ionel (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Guy Den OudenDen Ouden – Clement TaburTabur (7-6(3) 6-4) – See score progression
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Geoffrey BlancaneauxBlancaneaux (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrej MartinMartin – Alex Marti PujolrasMarti Pujolras (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maximilian NeuchristNeuchrist – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marco CecchinatoCecchinato – Carlos TabernerTaberner (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mathys ErhardErhard – Luka PavlovicPavlovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Filip Cristian JianuCristian Jianu – Neil OberleitnerOberleitner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Max HoukesHoukes – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
