Mathys Erhard and Luka Pavlovic will play each other in the 2nd round of the Kigali 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 12:30 pm on COURT 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mathys Erhard who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mathys Erhard is the pick to win this match.
Mathys Erhard -> 1.727
Luka Pavlovic -> 2.02

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Prediction and head to head Mathys Erhard vs. Luka Pavlovic

There is no head to head record between Mathys Erhard and Luka Pavlovic since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Mathys Erhard

Mathys Erhard

4 - 3win/loss

Hard
2-2
I Hard
1-1
Clay
1-0
Rank
331
High
249
LWLWWWLLLW
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Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-30 10-8 22-20 2-2 0-0 0-0
2024 62-28 2-2 59-25 1-1 0-0 0-0
2023 53-35 4-4 49-28 0-3 0-0 0-0
2022 47-22 10-7 33-13 4-2 0-0 0-0
2021 41-20 10-5 31-15 0-0 0-0 0-0
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Ranked no. 304, the French player reached the 2nd round after defeating Maximus Jones 6-3 7-5.

In the 1st round, Mathys had a good straight sets win against Jones (6-3 7-5). During the match, Erhard scored 79 points vs Jones’s 59. Erhard was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Erhard fired 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Mathys Erhard was quite effective on serve to win 75% (30/40) of his 1st serve and 61% (17/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mathys broke Jones 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Erhard has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (231-137). 1-0 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Erhard has a compiled194-98 match record in the last 8 years on clay.

The French player has an overall 4-3 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Kigali 1 Challenger

Mathys has never competed in this tournament before.

Kigali 1 Challenger
Erhard's Record

Luka Pavlovic

Luka Pavlovic

4 - 1win/loss

Clay
4-1
Rank
220
High
184
LLWLWLLWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-23 1-2 30-19 0-1 2-1 0-0
2024 44-18 0-0 42-16 2-2 0-0 0-0
2023 39-12 0-1 38-10 1-1 0-0 0-0
2022 11-12 3-2 8-10 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 16-14 1-1 15-13 0-0 0-0 0-0
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Ranked no. 364, Pavlovic got to the 2nd round after beating Axel Herberg 6-2 6-1, Facundo Juarez 6-0 6-1 and Oriol Roca Batalla 6-2 6-4.

In the 1st round, Pavlovic had a good straight sets win against Roca Batalla (6-2 6-4). During the match Pavlovic scored 63 points vs Roca Batalla’s 38. Pavlovic was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Pavlovic struck 13 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Luka Pavlovic was quite efficient on serve to win 87% (26/30) of his 1st serve and 91% (10/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Roca Batalla 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Luka has an aggregate 4-1 win-loss record in 2025, 4-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Kigali 1 Challenger
Pavlovic's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Erhard
L.Pavlovic
1h:50
1h:50
Time on court​
!
2h:52
2h:52
1h:50
1h:50
Last match​
1h:12
1h:12
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
21
21
Games Played​
46
46
2
2
Set played​​
6
6
79
79
Total points​
169
169
79
79
Avg point​
56.3
56.3
30
30
Winners
64
64
30
30
Avg Winners​
21.3
21.3
38%
38%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
25
25
3
3
Avg Aces
8.3
8.3
2
2
Double Faults
2
2
2
2
Avg Double Faults
0.7
0.7
30/40
30/40
1st won total​
64/74
64/74
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
86%
86%
17/28
17/28
2nd won total​
25/34
25/34
!
61%
61%
2nd won %
!
74%
74%
-- Break Points --
3/8
3/8
BP won
14/27
14/27
3/8
3/8
Avg BP won
4.7/9
4.7/9
38%
38%
Won
!
52%
52%
7
7
Conceded
1
1
7
7
Avg Conceded
0.3
0.3
1
1
Broken
0
0
1
1
Avg Broken
!
0
0
6
6
Saved
1
1
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Erhard Pavlovic
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 2 6
Tot Games 21 46
Pts 79-59 169-87
Total Points 138 256
Winners 30 64
%Winners 38% 38%

Erhard played 1 match while Pavlovic competed in 3 matches. Pavlovic started his run from the qualifications while Erhard had a direct access to the main draw. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Erhard has played 4 set(s) less than Pavlovic (2 vs 6). Therefore, Erhard played 25 games less than Pavlovic. Erhard scored 30 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Pavlovic recorded 64 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Erhard Pavlovic
Aces 3 25
Avg per match 3 8.3
1st in 40/68 74/108
%1st in 59% 69%
1st pts 30/40 64/74
%1st pts 75% 86%
2nd pts 17/28 25/34
%2nd pts 61% 74%

Erhard recorded 3 aces . Pavlovic made 25 aces (8.3 per match). Erhard won 75% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Pavlovic won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 74% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Erhard Pavlovic
Won 3 14
Converted 3/8 14/27
% Converted 38% 52%
Conceded 7 1
Saved 6 1
% Saved 86% 100%
Times Broken 1 0

Mathys broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Luka broke his opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. Pavlovic was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.

Erhard
R1
Jones		 Total
Score 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 21 21
pts 79-59 79-59
Total points 138 138
Winners 30 30
%Winners 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 40/68 40/68
% 1st in 59% 59%
1st pts 30/40 30/40
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 17/28 17/28
% 2nd pts 61% 61%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/8 3/8
Converted % 38% 38%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 6/7 6
Saved % 86% 86%
Times Broken 1 1
Pavlovic
Q1
Herberg		 Q3
Juarez		 R1
Roca Batalla		 Total
Score 6-2 6-1 6-0 6-1 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 15 13 18 46
pts 52-25 54-24 63-38 169-87
Total points 77 78 101 256
Winners 21 17 26 64
%Winners 40% 31% 41% 38%
SERVE
Aces 3 9 13 25
Double Faults 2 0 0 2
1st in 24/35 20/32 30/41 74/108
% 1st in 69% 63% 73% 69%
1st pts 21/24 17/20 26/30 64/74
% 1st pts 88% 85% 87% 86%
2nd pts 7/11 8/12 10/11 25/34
% 2nd pts 64% 67% 91% 74%
Breaks
Won 5 6 3 14
Converted 5/5 6/10 3/12 14/27
Converted % 100% 60% 25% 52%
Conceded 0 1 0 1
Saved 0/0 1/1 0/0 1
Saved % – 100% – 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0 0

Tennis Scores in Kigali 1 Challenger

Upcoming matches in the draw

Erhard
More Stats
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Pavlovic

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