Holger Rune and Roberto Carballes Baena will clash against each other in the 1st round of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 6:00 pm on ESTADIO. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.168
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 5.1

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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Roberto Carballes Baena

This will be the 4th time that Holger Rune and Roberto Carballes Baena square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Carballes Baena (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Carballes Baena won 6-3 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the 1st round in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.

Highlights Roberto Carballes Baena vs Holger Rune – U.S. Open 28-August-2023

Holger Rune

Holger Rune

6 - 5win/loss

Hard
4-2
I Hard
2-2
Clay
0-1
Rank
15
High
4
LWWLWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-22 20-10 10-6 4-4 2-2 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 13, Holger will start his run in Acapulco after he played his last match in Buenos Aires where he lost 6-1 7-6(2)

to Navone in the 2nd round on the 13th of February.

Holger has an overall 5-5 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Talking about his overall career, Holger has an overall 256-135 record. He has a positive 54-44 record on hard.

Previously in Acapulco

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023 and 2024. See his history.

Acapulco
Rune's Record

Roberto Carballes Baena

Roberto Carballes Baena

5 - 7win/loss

Hard
4-4
I Hard
1-1
Clay
0-2
Rank
133
High
49
LLWLWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-24 7-10 11-12 1-1 0-1 0-0
2024 37-31 10-12 24-13 2-4 1-2 0-0
2023 25-29 3-8 19-14 1-4 2-3 0-0
2022 46-33 3-8 41-23 2-1 0-1 0-0
2021 41-30 3-5 33-20 3-3 2-2 0-0

Ranked no. 50, Carballes Baena will start his run in Acapulco after he played his last match in Rio De Janeiro where he lost 6-4 6-3 to Navone in the 1st round on the 18th of February.

Roberto has an overall 5-6 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

In terms of his career, Carballes Baena has an overall 575-406 record. He has a negative 43-65 record on hard.

Previously in Acapulco

Roberto has never competed in this tournament before.

Acapulco
Carballes Baena's Record

Tennis Scores in Acapulco

Upcoming matches in the draw