Holger Rune and Roberto Carballes Baena will clash against each other in the 1st round of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 6:00 pm on ESTADIO. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.168
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 5.1
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Roberto Carballes Baena
This will be the 4th time that Holger Rune and Roberto Carballes Baena square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Carballes Baena (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Carballes Baena won 6-3 4-6 6-3 6-2 in the 1st round in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.
Highlights Roberto Carballes Baena vs Holger Rune – U.S. Open 28-August-2023
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 36-22 | 20-10 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Holger will start his run in Acapulco after he played his last match in Buenos Aires where he lost 6-1 7-6(2) to Navone in the 2nd round on the 13th of February.
Holger has an overall 5-5 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Talking about his overall career, Holger has an overall 256-135 record. He has a positive 54-44 record on hard.
Previously in Acapulco
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023 and 2024. See his history.
Roberto Carballes Baena
5 - 7win/loss
130
49
LLWLWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-24 | 7-10 | 11-12 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-31 | 10-12 | 24-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-29 | 3-8 | 19-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 3-8 | 41-23 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-30 | 3-5 | 33-20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 50, Carballes Baena will start his run in Acapulco after he played his last match in Rio De Janeiro where he lost 6-4 6-3 to Navone in the 1st round on the 18th of February.
Roberto has an overall 5-6 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
In terms of his career, Carballes Baena has an overall 575-406 record. He has a negative 43-65 record on hard.
Previously in Acapulco
Roberto has never competed in this tournament before.
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWLWW
LLWLWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Acapulco
- Casper RuudRuud – Arthur RinderknechRinderknech (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (4-6 6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tomas MachacMachac – Jakub MensikMensik (6-4 2-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- David GoffinDavid – Rinky HijikataRinky (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonBen – Flavio CobolliFlavio (7-6(4) 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Marcos GironMarcos – Adam WaltonAdam (7-6(4) 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- David GoffinGoffin – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin BonziBonzi – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Tomas MachacMachac (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Gabriel DialloDiallo – Tommy PaulPaul (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (1-2) – H2H and prediction
