Alexander Zverev and Matteo Arnaldi will play each other in the 1st round of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 8:30 pm on ESTADIO. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.157
Matteo Arnaldi -> 5.3

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Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Matteo Arnaldi

There is no head to head record between Alexander Zverev and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev

12 - 3win/loss

Hard
9-1
I Hard
0-0
Clay
3-2
Rank
3
High
2
WWLLWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 57-25 24-9 18-7 9-6 6-3 0-0
2024 69-21 29-10 23-6 11-3 6-2 0-0
2023 55-27 22-13 20-7 8-5 5-2 0-0
2022 29-10 9-4 17-5 3-1 0-0 0-0
2021 59-15 28-6 14-4 13-3 4-2 0-0

Ranked no. 2 (career-high), the German will start his run in Acapulco after he played his last match in Rio De Janeiro where he lost 4-6 6-3 6-4 to Comesana in the quarter on the 21st of February.

Alexander has a composed 11-3 win-loss record in 2025, 8-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Alexander’s best result of the season was reaching the final at the Australian Open .

Talking about his overall career, Alexander has an overall 543-248 record. He has a positive 212-98 record on hard.

Previously in Acapulco

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2021. See his history.

Acapulco
Zverev's Record

Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi

5 - 5win/loss

Hard
3-4
I Hard
2-1
Rank
63
High
30
LLWWWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-26 11-14 7-6 5-4 0-2 0-0
2024 29-26 17-13 10-9 1-2 1-2 0-0
2023 51-26 21-15 23-7 4-3 3-1 0-0
2022 50-35 9-3 37-20 4-11 0-1 0-0
2021 56-24 2-1 51-18 3-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 33, Matteo will start his run in Acapulco after he played his last match in Delray Beach where he lost 6-4 6-4 to Davidovich Fokina in the semifinal on the 15th of February.

Arnaldi has an overall 5-4 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.

Matteo’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.

In terms of his career, Arnaldi has an overall 221-138 record. He has a positive 77-44 record on hard.

Previously in Acapulco

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See his history.

Acapulco
Arnaldi's Record

Tennis Scores in Acapulco

Upcoming matches in the draw