Murphy Cassone and Ricardas Berankis will square off in the 1st round of the Lugano Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 2:30 pm on CAMPO 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Murphy Cassone who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Murphy Cassone is the pick to win this match.
Murphy Cassone -> 1.69
Ricardas Berankis -> 2.07
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Prediction and head to head Murphy Cassone vs. Ricardas Berankis
There is no head to head record between Murphy Cassone and Ricardas Berankis since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Murphy Cassone
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-18 | 16-13 | 0-0 | 14-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 6-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 20-9 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 248 (career-high), the American got to the 1st round after defeating Johan Nikles 7-5 6-3 and Alexey Vatutin w/o.
In the qualifications, Cassone defeated Vatutin (w/o). During the match, Cassone and Vatutin scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 248 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Murphy was not very aggressive to strike just winners.
Talking about the service games, Cassone couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults. Murphy Cassone conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (0) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (0) on the 2nd serve.
Cassone has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 62% of his matches (79-48). 5-2 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Cassone has a composed32-13 match record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
Cassone’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger and the Nonthaburi 3 Challenger.
The American has an aggregate 13-6 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
Cassone has never competed in this tournament before.
Ricardas Berankis
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 34-27 | 18-14 | 5-1 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-22 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 16-8 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-17 | 12-9 | 1-4 | 7-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-23 | 9-8 | 5-7 | 6-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 300, Richard reached the 1st round after beating Andrin Casanova 3-6 7-6(5) 6-2 and Jie Cui 6-4 0-6 6-4.
In the qualifications, The Lithuanian defeated Cui (6-4 0-6 6-4). During the match Berankis scored 81 points vs Cui’s 80. The Lithuanian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Berankis made 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Ricardas Berankis lost the serve 3 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Berankis put 63% of his first serves in, winning 70% (35/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the 2nd serve. Berankis broke Cui twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Richard started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
The Lithuanian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Quimper Challenger.
Richard has a composed 9-2 win-loss record in 2025, 9-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Lugano Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Cassone | Berankis |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 56 |
| Pts | 75-60 | 169-165 |
| Total Points | 135 | 334 |
| Winners | 32 | 71 |
| %Winners | 43% | 42% |
Cassone played 1 match while Berankis competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Ricardas Berankis surrendered 2 sets while Murphy Cassone hasn’t conceded a set so far. Cassone has played 4 set(s) less than Berankis (2 vs 6). Therefore, Cassone played 35 games less than Berankis. Murphy scored 32 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The Lithuanian recorded 71 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Cassone | Berankis |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 44/64 | 103/164 |
| %1st in | 69% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 32/44 | 71/103 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 35/61 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 57% |
Cassone fired 4 aces . Berankis blasted 7 aces (3.5 per match). Cassone won 73% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Berankis won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Cassone | Berankis |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 6 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 6/12 |
| % Converted | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded | 4 | 14 |
| Saved | 3 | 8 |
| % Saved | 75% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 |
Murphy broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Cassone lost his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Berankis broke his opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Berankis conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Cassone | ||||
| Q1 Nikles |
Q3 Vatutin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | – | 21 | |
| pts | 75-60 | – | 75-60 | |
| Total points | 135 | – | 135 | |
| Winners | 32 | – | 32 | |
| %Winners | 43% | – | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | – | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | – | 2 | |
| 1st in | 44/64 | – | 44/64 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | – | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 32/44 | – | 32/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | – | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | – | 12/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | – | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | – | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | – | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | – | 38% | |
| Conceded | 4 | – | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | – | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | – | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | – | 1 | |
| Berankis | ||||
| Q1 Casanova |
Q3 Cui |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-65 6-2 | 6-4 0-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 26 | 56 | |
| pts | 88-85 | 81-80 | 169-165 | |
| Total points | 173 | 161 | 334 | |
| Winners | 36 | 35 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 43% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 53/85 | 50/79 | 103/164 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 36/53 | 35/50 | 71/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 70% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/32 | 16/29 | 35/61 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 55% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 2/6 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 33% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 11 | 14 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 8/11 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 73% | 37% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWLWW
LLWLWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Lugano Challenger
- Henri SquireHenri – Adrian AndreevAdrian (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
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