Mattia Bellucci and Gabriel Diallo will square off in the qualifications of the Abierto Mexicano Telcel for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 8:30 pm on GRANDSTAND. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.84
Gabriel Diallo -> 1.88

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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Gabriel Diallo

This will be the 4^th time that Mattia Bellucci and Gabriel Diallo fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Bellucci (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Bellucci won 6-3 6-3 in the semifinal in the Cary Challenger back in 2024.

Mattia Bellucci

Ranked no. 70, the Italian got to the qualifications after defeating Christopher Eubanks 6-2 6-4.

In the qualifications, Bellucci had a good straight sets win against Eubanks (6-2 6-4). During the match, Bellucci scored 61 points vs Eubanks’s 35. Bellucci was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about the service games, Bellucci made 5 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults. Mattia Bellucci was extremely efficient on serve to win 90% (27/30) of his 1st serve and 75% (9/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mattia broke Eubanks 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Bellucci has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 64% of his matches (243-139). 2-2 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bellucci has a compiled135-64 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

The Italian’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Rotterdam.

Mattia has an aggregate 8-5 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Acapulco

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Gabriel Diallo

Ranked no. 88, Gabriel reached the qualifications after defeating Rafael Alfonso De Alba Valdes 6-1 6-1.

In the qualifications, Diallo had a good straight sets win against Alfonso De Alba (6-1 6-1). During the match Diallo scored 59 points vs Alfonso De Alba’s 32. Diallo was extremely aggressive to blast 20 winners.

About the serving games, Diallo struck 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Gabriel Diallo was pretty effective on serve to win 87% (20/23) of his 1st serve and 60% (9/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Diallo broke Alfonso De Alba 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Diallo has a composed 6-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Bellucci	Diallo
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	14
Pts	61-35	59-32
Total Points	96	91
Winners	27	20
%Winners	44%	34%

Both Bellucci and Diallo played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Bellucci and Diallo have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Bellucci played 4 games more than Diallo. The Italian scored 27 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Diallo scored 20 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Bellucci	Diallo
Aces	5	2
Avg per match	5	2
1st in	30/42	23/38
%1st in	71%	61%
1st pts	27/30	20/23
%1st pts	90%	87%
2nd pts	9/12	9/15
%2nd pts	75%	60%

Bellucci blasted 5 aces . Diallo scored 2 aces . Bellucci won 90% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 75% of the points. On the other side, Diallo won 87% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Bellucci	Diallo
Won	3	5
Converted	3/7	5/11
% Converted	43%	45%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0	0
% Saved	0%	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Bellucci broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Mattia extremely effective on his serve as he has never dropped a single service game after saving 0 break points. Diallo broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Diallo was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Bellucci
	Q1 Eubanks	Total
Score	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	61-35	61-35
Total points	96	96
Winners	27	27
%Winners	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	30/42	30/42
% 1st in	71%	71%
1st pts	27/30	27/30
% 1st pts	90%	90%
2nd pts	9/12	9/12
% 2nd pts	75%	75%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/7	3/7
Converted %	43%	43%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Diallo
	Q1 Alfonso De Alba	Total
Score	6-1 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	14	14
pts	59-32	59-32
Total points	91	91
Winners	20	20
%Winners	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	23/38	23/38
% 1st in	61%	61%
1st pts	20/23	20/23
% 1st pts	87%	87%
2nd pts	9/15	9/15
% 2nd pts	60%	60%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/11	5/11
Converted %	45%	45%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

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