Daniel Michalski and Neil Oberleitner will square off in the qualifications of the Kigali 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:00 am on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Michalski who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniel Michalski is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Michalski -> 1.363
Neil Oberleitner -> 2.93
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Prediction and head to head Daniel Michalski vs. Neil Oberleitner
There is no head to head record between Daniel Michalski and Neil Oberleitner since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Daniel Michalski
11 - 3win/loss
334
243
LWWWLLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-6 | 2-2 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-26 | 1-6 | 36-19 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-25 | 4-6 | 36-18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-24 | 0-0 | 51-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 47-25 | 0-3 | 47-20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 332, the Pole reached the qualifications after beating Etienne Niyigena 6-0 6-0.
In the qualifications, The Pole had a good straight sets win against Niyigena (6-0 6-0). During the match, Michalski scored 49 points vs Niyigena’s 11. The Pole was very aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about the service games, Michalski scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault. Daniel Michalski was quite efficient on serve to win 95% (18/19) of his 1st serve and 75% (6/8) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Pole broke Niyigena 6 times after converting 86% of his break points (6/7).
Michalski has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (250-146). 9-1 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Michalski has an aggregate215-108 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
The Pole’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Antalya.
Michalski has a composed 11-3 win-loss record in 2025, 9-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Kigali 1 Challenger
Daniel has never competed in this tournament before.
Neil Oberleitner
6 - 5win/loss
427
426
LLWWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-7 | 1-3 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 50-31 | 3-4 | 33-17 | 12-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| 2023 | 37-30 | 10-8 | 15-15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8-2 |
| 2022 | 30-31 | 14-15 | 16-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 17-12 | 10-11 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 442, Neil reached the qualifications after defeating Claude Ishimwe 6-0 6-1.
In the qualifications, Neil had a good straight sets win against Ishimwe (6-0 6-1). During the match Oberleitner scored 57 points vs Ishimwe’s 24. Neil was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
About the serving games, Oberleitner scored 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Neil Oberleitner was quite effective on serve to win 96% (22/23) of his 1st serve and 60% (6/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Austrian broke Ishimwe 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Neil has a composed 6-5 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michalski | Oberleitner |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 12 | 13 |
| Pts | 49-11 | 57-24 |
| Total Points | 60 | 81 |
| Winners | 18 | 22 |
| %Winners | 37% | 39% |
Both Michalski and Oberleitner played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Michalski and Oberleitner have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Michalski played 1 game less than Oberleitner. The Pole scored 18 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Austrian made 22 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michalski | Oberleitner |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 6 |
| 1st in | 19/27 | 23/33 |
| %1st in | 70% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 18/19 | 22/23 |
| %1st pts | 95% | 96% |
| 2nd pts | 6/8 | 6/10 |
| %2nd pts | 75% | 60% |
Michalski recorded 1 ace . Oberleitner also blasted 6 aces . Michalski won 95% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 75% of the points. On the other side, Oberleitner won 96% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michalski | Oberleitner |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/7 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 86% | 56% |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 |
| Saved | 0 | 0 |
| % Saved | 0% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
The Pole broke his opponent 6 times with a 86% conversion rate. Daniel had a solid display on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Austrian broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Neil was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Michalski | |||
| Q1 Niyigena |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 12 | 12 | |
| pts | 49-11 | 49-11 | |
| Total points | 60 | 60 | |
| Winners | 18 | 18 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 19/27 | 19/27 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 18/19 | 18/19 | |
| % 1st pts | 95% | 95% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/8 | 6/8 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 75% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 6/7 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 86% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Oberleitner | |||
| Q1 Ishimwe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 13 | |
| pts | 57-24 | 57-24 | |
| Total points | 81 | 81 | |
| Winners | 22 | 22 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 23/33 | 23/33 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 22/23 | 22/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 96% | 96% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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