Daria Saville and Varvara Lepchenko will square off in the qualifications of the Merida Open Akron for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on COURT 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Saville who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daria Saville is the pick to win this match.
Daria Saville -> 1.68
Varvara Lepchenko -> 2.08
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Daria Saville vs. Varvara Lepchenko
There is no head to head record between Daria Saville and Varvara Lepchenko since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Daria Saville
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-11 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-22 | 16-9 | 8-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 12-13 | 6-8 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-20 | 20-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 122, Daria reached the qualifications after defeating Ellen Perez 7-6(5) 6-1.
In the qualifications, Gavrilova had a good straight sets win against Perez (7-65 6-1). During the match, Gavrilova scored 81 points vs Perez’s 64. Gavrilova was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Gavrilova blasted 2 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Daria Saville lost the serve 3 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Gavrilova put 55% of her first serves in, winning 74% (31/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 37% (13/35) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Perez 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).
Gavrilova has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 53% of her matches (179-157). 3-6 on hard in 2025. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gavrilova has a composed 100-80 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Daria has a compiled 3-7 win-loss record in 2025, 3-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Merida
Gavrilova has never competed in this tournament before.
Varvara Lepchenko
4 - 4win/loss
120
19
WLWWWLWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-10 | 6-6 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 55-37 | 22-15 | 26-17 | 6-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-20 | 25-14 | 6-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-12 | 11-5 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 124, the American reached the qualifications after beating Valeriya Strakhova 6-3 6-1.
In the qualifications, Varvara had a good straight sets win against Strakhova (6-3 6-1). During the match Lepchenko scored 62 points vs Strakhova’s 38. Lepchenko was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Lepchenko fired 3 aces and she was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Varvara Lepchenko was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (28/39) of her 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Lepchenko broke Strakhova 5 times after converting 83% of her break points (5/6).
Lepchenko has a compiled 4-3 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Merida
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gavrilova | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 16 |
| Pts | 81-64 | 62-38 |
| Total Points | 145 | 100 |
| Winners | 31 | 28 |
| %Winners | 38% | 45% |
Both Gavrilova and Lepchenko played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Gavrilova and Lepchenko have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Gavrilova played 4 games more than Lepchenko. Daria scored 31 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 28 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gavrilova | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 3 |
| 1st in | 42/77 | 39/52 |
| %1st in | 55% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 28/39 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 13/35 | 8/13 |
| %2nd pts | 37% | 62% |
Gavrilova blasted 2 aces . Lepchenko struck 3 aces . Gavrilova won 74% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 37% of the points. On the other side, Lepchenko won 72% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gavrilova | Lepchenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/6 |
| % Converted | 42% | 83% |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 |
| Saved | 7 | 9 |
| % Saved | 70% | 90% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 |
The Australian broke her opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Gavrilova conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 70% of the break points that she conceded. Varvara broke her opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve once and she saved 90% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gavrilova | |||
| Q1 Perez |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 81-64 | 81-64 | |
| Total points | 145 | 145 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 42/77 | 42/77 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 31/42 | 31/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/35 | 13/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Lepchenko | |||
| Q1 Strakhova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 62-38 | 62-38 | |
| Total points | 100 | 100 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 39/52 | 39/52 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 28/39 | 28/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/13 | 8/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 5/6 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 83% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 9/10 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 90% | 90% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWLWWWW
LWWWLWWLLL Tennis Scores in Merida
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Davide GabrielliGabrielli (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrea BassoBasso – Walter TrusendiTrusendi (6-2 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle – Emiliana ArangoArango (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leonie KungKung – Francesca JonesJones (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa – Leolia JeanjeanJeanjean (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Hanna ChangChang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daria GavrilovaGavrilova – Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Zeynep SonmezSonmez – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Magdalena FrechFrech (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Lulu SunSun (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaqueline CristianCristian – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (1-0) – H2H and prediction
