Maria Lourdes Carle and Emiliana Arango will face off in the qualifications of the Merida Open Akron for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on AKRON STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Lourdes Carle who should win in 3 sets.
Maria Lourdes Carle -> 1.61
Emiliana Arango -> 2.2
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Prediction and head to head Maria Lourdes Carle vs. Emiliana Arango
This will be the 3rd time that Maria Lourdes Carle and Emiliana Arango clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Lourdes Carle (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Lourdes Carle won 6-3 7-5 in the qualifications in Rome back in 2024.
Maria Lourdes Carle
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-30 | 7-9 | 26-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-29 | 10-10 | 34-15 | 3-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 2-7 | 40-22 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-36 | 15-12 | 34-23 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-27 | 16-8 | 29-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 97, Lourdes Carle got to the qualifications after defeating Victoria Rodriguez 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, Lourdes Carle had a good straight sets win against Rodriguez (6-3 6-2). During the match, Lourdes Carle scored 70 points vs Rodriguez’s 50. Maria was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Lourdes Carle couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the encounter and she committed only 5 double faults. Maria Lourdes Carle lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Lourdes Carle put 75% of her first serves in, winning 63% (24/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (6/13) on the 2nd serve. Lourdes Carle broke Rodriguez 6 times after converting 40% of her break points (6/15).
Lourdes Carle has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (292-159). 4-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Lourdes Carle has an overall 88-53 record in the last years on hard.
The Argentine has a composed 4-3 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Merida
Emiliana Arango
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-28 | 23-16 | 4-7 | 2-1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 23-34 | 7-12 | 14-16 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 48-27 | 10-8 | 28-13 | 2-2 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 12-20 | 7-7 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 19-9 | 19-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 133, Emiliana got to the qualifications after defeating Katarzyna Kawa 7-5 6-2.
In the qualifications, Emiliana had a good straight sets win against Kawa (7-5 6-2). During the match Arango scored 75 points vs Kawa’s 55. Emiliana was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Arango wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Emiliana Arango lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Arango put 75% of her first serves in, winning 60% (26/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 64% (9/14) on the 2nd serve. Arango broke Kawa 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).
Her best result of the current year was winning the title the Cancun where she beat Carson Branstine in the final 6-2 6-1.
Emiliana has a compiled 9-3 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Merida
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Lourdes Carle | Arango |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 20 |
| Pts | 70-50 | 75-55 |
| Total Points | 120 | 130 |
| Winners | 24 | 26 |
| %Winners | 34% | 35% |
Both Lourdes Carle and Arango played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Lourdes Carle and Arango have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Lourdes Carle played 3 games less than Arango. Maria scored 24 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, The Colombian blasted 26 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Lourdes Carle | Arango |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 0 |
| 1st in | 38/51 | 43/57 |
| %1st in | 75% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 24/38 | 26/43 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 60% |
| 2nd pts | 6/13 | 9/14 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 64% |
Lourdes Carle didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Arango also didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Lourdes Carle won 63% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Arango won 60% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Lourdes Carle | Arango |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/15 | 6/12 |
| % Converted | 40% | 50% |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 |
| Saved | 1 | 2 |
| % Saved | 25% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Lourdes Carle broke her opponent 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. Maria lost her serve 3 times and she saved 25% of the break points that she conceded. Arango broke her opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. Arango conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded.
| Lourdes Carle | |||
| Q1 Rodriguez | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 70-50 | 70-50 | |
| Total points | 120 | 120 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 38/51 | 38/51 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 24/38 | 24/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/13 | 6/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/15 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Arango | |||
| Q1 Kawa | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 75-55 | 75-55 | |
| Total points | 130 | 130 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 43/57 | 43/57 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 26/43 | 26/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 9/14 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 6/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Merida
- Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan – Davide GabrielliGabrielli (6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrea BassoBasso – Walter TrusendiTrusendi (6-2 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle – Emiliana ArangoArango (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leonie KungKung – Francesca JonesJones (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa – Leolia JeanjeanJeanjean (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Petra MarticMartic – Hanna ChangChang (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daria GavrilovaGavrilova – Varvara LepchenkoLepchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Zeynep SonmezSonmez – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Magdalena FrechFrech (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Lulu SunSun (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaqueline CristianCristian – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (1-0) – H2H and prediction