Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jaime Faria will play each other in the quarter of the Rio Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:00 pm on QUADRA 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.81
Jaime Faria -> 2

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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Jaime Faria

There is no head to head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jaime Faria since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Ranked no. 91, the Argentine reached the quarter after defeating Karue Sell 6-4 4-6 6-4, Tomas Barrios Vera 5-7 6-2 7-6(12), Pedro Martinez Portero 4-6 6-3 6-3 and Damir Dzumhur 6-4 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, Camilo had a good straight sets win against Dzumhur (6-4 6-4). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 68 points vs Dzumhur’s 62. Camilo was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli wasn’t able to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 63% of his first serves in, winning 76% (26/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Dzumhur 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ugo Carabelli started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Ugo Carabelli has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (356-202). 10-3 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ugo Carabelli has an overall 323-171 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Rosario Challenger where he overcame Hugo Dellien in the final 3-6 6-3 6-2.

Ugo Carabelli has a compiled 10-4 win-loss record in 2025, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rio de Janeiro

Jaime Faria

Ranked no. 107, Faria reached the quarter after beating Mateus Alves 7-5 7-6(4), Juan Manuel Cerundolo 5-7 6-4 6-4, Tomas Barrios Vera 6-2 7-5 and Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-4 2-6 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Faria defeated Munar Clar (6-4 2-6 6-3). During the match Faria scored 79 points vs Munar Clar’s 77. Faria was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.

About the serving games, Faria struck 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Jaime Faria was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (30/37) of his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Faria broke Munar Clar 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Portuguese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Faria has a compiled 7-6 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rio de Janeiro

Jaime has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Ugo Carabelli	Faria
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	8	7
Tot Games	78	72
Pts	253-228	230-207
Total Points	481	437
Winners	120	97
%Winners	47%	42%

Both Ugo Carabelli and Faria played 3 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli surrendered 2 sets, while Jaime Faria dropped 1 set. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set more than Faria (8 vs 7). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 6 games more than Faria. The Argentine scored 120 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Portuguese made 97 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Ugo Carabelli	Faria
Aces	5	16
Avg per match	1.7	5.3
1st in	166/231	119/214
%1st in	72%	56%
1st pts	120/166	97/119
%1st pts	72%	82%
2nd pts	28/65	53/95
%2nd pts	43%	56%

Ugo Carabelli managed to score 5 aces (1.7 per match). Faria scored 16 aces (5.3 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 72% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Faria won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Ugo Carabelli	Faria
Won	13	8
Converted	13/24	8/15
% Converted	54%	53%
Conceded	15	12
Saved	7	9
% Saved	47%	75%
Times Broken	8	3

Ugo Carabelli broke his opponents 13 times with a 54% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded. Faria broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Faria conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Ugo Carabelli
	Q1 Sell	Q3 Tomas Barrios Vera	R1 Martinez Portero	R2 Dzumhur	Total
Score	6-4 4-6 6-4	5-7 6-2 7-612	4-6 6-3 6-3	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	3	2	11
Tot Games	30	33	28	20	111
pts	95-84	–	90-82	68-62	253-228
Total points	179	0	172	130	481
Winners	48		46	26	120
%Winners	51%	0%	51%	38%	47%
SERVE
Aces	0	0	5	0	5
Double Faults	2		2	1	5
1st in	65/81	/	67/96	34/54	166/231
% 1st in	80%	0%	70%	63%	72%
1st pts	48/65	/	46/67	26/34	120/166
% 1st pts	74%	0%	69%	76%	72%
2nd pts	9/16	/	10/29	9/20	28/65
% 2nd pts	56%	0%	34%	45%	43%
Breaks
Won	3		6	4	13
Converted	3/6	/	6/8	4/10	13/24
Converted %	50%	0%	75%	40%	54%
Conceded	3		9	3	15
Saved	1/3	0/	5/9	1/3	7
Saved %	33%	–	56%	33%	31%
Times Broken	2		4	2	8

Faria
	Q1 Alves	Q3 Manuel	R1 Tomas Barrios Vera	R2 Munar Clar	Total
Score	7-5 7-64	5-7 6-4 6-4	6-2 7-5	6-4 2-6 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	2	3	10
Tot Games	25	32	20	27	104
pts	85-76	–	66-54	79-77	230-207
Total points	161	0	120	156	437
Winners	41		26	30	97
%Winners	48%	0%	39%	38%	42%
SERVE
Aces	4	0	6	6	16
Double Faults	4		5	3	12
1st in	51/88	/	31/59	37/67	119/214
% 1st in	58%	0%	53%	55%	56%
1st pts	41/51	/	26/31	30/37	97/119
% 1st pts	80%	0%	84%	81%	82%
2nd pts	22/37	/	14/28	17/30	53/95
% 2nd pts	59%	0%	50%	57%	56%
Breaks
Won	1		4	3	8
Converted	1/2	/	4/8	3/5	8/15
Converted %	50%	0%	50%	60%	53%
Conceded	5		4	3	12
Saved	5/5	0/	3/4	1/3	9
Saved %	100%	–	75%	33%	52%
Times Broken	0		1	2	3

Tennis Scores in Rio De Janeiro

• Rafael Matos/Marcelo MeloMatos/Marcelo Melo – Francisco Cabral/Jean-Julien RojerCabral/Jean-Julien Rojer (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Pedro Martinez Portero/Jaume Antoni Munar ClarMartinez Portero/Jaume Antoni Munar Clar – Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Luciano Darderi/Mariano NavoneDarderi/Mariano Navone – Orlando Luz/Felipe Meligeni AlvesLuz/Felipe Meligeni Alves (3-6 7-5 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni – Marcelo Demoliner/Fernando RomboliDemoliner/Fernando Romboli (7-5 7-6⁰) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alexander ZverevZverev – Francisco ComesanaComesana (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Sebastian BaezBaez – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (0-1) – H2H and prediction