Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jaime Faria will play each other in the quarter of the Rio Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:00 pm on QUADRA 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.81
Jaime Faria -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Jaime Faria
There is no head to head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Jaime Faria since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
11 - 4win/loss
53
51
LLLWLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-16 | 3-3 | 22-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 91, the Argentine reached the quarter after defeating Karue Sell 6-4 4-6 6-4, Tomas Barrios Vera 5-7 6-2 7-6(12), Pedro Martinez Portero 4-6 6-3 6-3 and Damir Dzumhur 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Camilo had a good straight sets win against Dzumhur (6-4 6-4). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 68 points vs Dzumhur’s 62. Camilo was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli wasn’t able to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 1 double fault. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 63% of his first serves in, winning 76% (26/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Dzumhur 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ugo Carabelli started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (356-202). 10-3 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ugo Carabelli has an overall 323-171 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Rosario Challenger where he overcame Hugo Dellien in the final 3-6 6-3 6-2.
Ugo Carabelli has a compiled 10-4 win-loss record in 2025, 10-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Jaime Faria
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-12 | 4-2 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 53-25 | 24-5 | 27-14 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-31 | 33-17 | 16-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-24 | 20-12 | 23-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-10 | 6-6 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 107, Faria reached the quarter after beating Mateus Alves 7-5 7-6(4), Juan Manuel Cerundolo 5-7 6-4 6-4, Tomas Barrios Vera 6-2 7-5 and Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-4 2-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Faria defeated Munar Clar (6-4 2-6 6-3). During the match Faria scored 79 points vs Munar Clar’s 77. Faria was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Faria struck 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Jaime Faria was extremely effective on serve to win 81% (30/37) of his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Faria broke Munar Clar 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Portuguese started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Faria has a compiled 7-6 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Jaime has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 72 |
| Pts | 253-228 | 230-207 |
| Total Points | 481 | 437 |
| Winners | 120 | 97 |
| %Winners | 47% | 42% |
Both Ugo Carabelli and Faria played 3 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli surrendered 2 sets, while Jaime Faria dropped 1 set. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set more than Faria (8 vs 7). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 6 games more than Faria. The Argentine scored 120 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Portuguese made 97 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 16 |
| Avg per match | 1.7 | 5.3 |
| 1st in | 166/231 | 119/214 |
| %1st in | 72% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 120/166 | 97/119 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 28/65 | 53/95 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 56% |
Ugo Carabelli managed to score 5 aces (1.7 per match). Faria scored 16 aces (5.3 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 72% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Faria won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 8 |
| Converted | 13/24 | 8/15 |
| % Converted | 54% | 53% |
| Conceded | 15 | 12 |
| Saved | 7 | 9 |
| % Saved | 47% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 3 |
Ugo Carabelli broke his opponents 13 times with a 54% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded. Faria broke his opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Faria conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | ||||||
| Q1 Sell |
Q3 Tomas Barrios Vera |
R1 Martinez Portero |
R2 Dzumhur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | 5-7 6-2 7-612 | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 33 | 28 | 20 | 111 | |
| pts | 95-84 | – | 90-82 | 68-62 | 253-228 | |
| Total points | 179 | 0 | 172 | 130 | 481 | |
| Winners | 48 | 46 | 26 | 120 | ||
| %Winners | 51% | 0% | 51% | 38% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | ||
| 1st in | 65/81 | / | 67/96 | 34/54 | 166/231 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 0% | 70% | 63% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 48/65 | / | 46/67 | 26/34 | 120/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 0% | 69% | 76% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | / | 10/29 | 9/20 | 28/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 0% | 34% | 45% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | ||
| Converted | 3/6 | / | 6/8 | 4/10 | 13/24 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 0% | 75% | 40% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 3 | 15 | ||
| Saved | 1/3 | 0/ | 5/9 | 1/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | 56% | 33% | 31% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | ||
| Faria | ||||||
| Q1 Alves |
Q3 Manuel |
R1 Tomas Barrios Vera |
R2 Munar Clar |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-64 | 5-7 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 7-5 | 6-4 2-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 32 | 20 | 27 | 104 | |
| pts | 85-76 | – | 66-54 | 79-77 | 230-207 | |
| Total points | 161 | 0 | 120 | 156 | 437 | |
| Winners | 41 | 26 | 30 | 97 | ||
| %Winners | 48% | 0% | 39% | 38% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | ||
| 1st in | 51/88 | / | 31/59 | 37/67 | 119/214 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 0% | 53% | 55% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 41/51 | / | 26/31 | 30/37 | 97/119 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 0% | 84% | 81% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/37 | / | 14/28 | 17/30 | 53/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 0% | 50% | 57% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | ||
| Converted | 1/2 | / | 4/8 | 3/5 | 8/15 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 0% | 50% | 60% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | ||
| Saved | 5/5 | 0/ | 3/4 | 1/3 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 75% | 33% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | ||
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWWWLW
WWLLLWLLWW Tennis Scores in Rio De Janeiro
- Rafael Matos/Marcelo MeloMatos/Marcelo Melo – Francisco Cabral/Jean-Julien RojerCabral/Jean-Julien Rojer (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pedro Martinez Portero/Jaume Antoni Munar ClarMartinez Portero/Jaume Antoni Munar Clar – Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Luciano Darderi/Mariano NavoneDarderi/Mariano Navone – Orlando Luz/Felipe Meligeni AlvesLuz/Felipe Meligeni Alves (3-6 7-5 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni – Marcelo Demoliner/Fernando RomboliDemoliner/Fernando Romboli (7-5 7-60) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Francisco ComesanaComesana (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Alexandre MullerMuller (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (0-1) – H2H and prediction
