Andrey Rublev and Felix Auger-Aliassime will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.7
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 2.15
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
This will be the 7th time that Andrey Rublev and Felix Auger-Aliassime fight against each other. The head to head is 5-1 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Rublev won 4-6 7-5 7-5 in the final in Madrid back in 2024.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime – Madrid 05-May-2024
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-11 | 5-5 | 2-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, the Russian reached the semifinal after beating Alexander Bublik 6-3 6-4, Nuno Borges 6-3 6-4 and Alex De Minaur 6-1 3-6 7-6(8).
In the quarter, The Russian defeated De Minaur (6-1 3-6 7-68). During the match, Rublev scored 108 points vs De Minaur’s 99. Rublev was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev blasted 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrey Rublev lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 72% of his first serves in, winning 64% (43/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the 2nd serve. Andrey broke De Minaur 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andrey has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (412-226). 3-2 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has an overall 176-90 record in the last years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Montpellier.
Andrey has a composed 7-4 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Felix Auger-Aliassime
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-11 | 13-6 | 0-4 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-24 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, Felix reached the semifinal after beating Quentin Halys 4-6 6-4 7-6(2), Hamad Medjedovic w/o and Daniil Medvedev 6-3 ret..
In the quarter against Medvedev, the Canadian had a free pass after Medvedev retired on a 6-3 . scoreline.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 3-6 6-1 and in Montpellier where he beat Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-2 6-7(7) 7-6(2).
The Canadian has an overall 12-3 win-loss record in 2025, 8-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 67 | 42 |
| Pts | 233-192 | 145-122 |
| Total Points | 425 | 267 |
| Winners | 109 | 59 |
| %Winners | 47% | 41% |
Rublev played 3 matches while Auger-Aliassime competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev surrendered 1 set, while Felix Auger-Aliassime dropped 1 set. Rublev has played 2 sets more than Auger-Aliassime (7 vs 5). Therefore, Rublev played 25 games more than Auger-Aliassime. Rublev scored 109 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian made 59 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 8.3 | 8.5 |
| 1st in | 153/204 | 73/112 |
| %1st in | 75% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 109/153 | 59/73 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 34/51 | 25/39 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 64% |
Rublev made 25 aces (8.3 per match). Auger-Aliassime scored 17 aces (8.5 per match). Rublev won 71% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 4 |
| Converted | 8/22 | 4/14 |
| % Converted | 36% | 29% |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 |
| Saved | 4 | 4 |
| % Saved | 57% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Rublev broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Andrey dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponents 4 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Canadian conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | |||||
| R1 Bublik |
R2 Borges |
1/4 De Minaur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-1 3-6 7-68 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | 29 | 67 | |
| pts | 65-52 | 60-41 | 108-99 | 233-192 | |
| Total points | 117 | 101 | 207 | 425 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | 43 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 55% | 40% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 11 | 8 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 46/62 | 40/49 | 67/93 | 153/204 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 82% | 72% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 33/46 | 33/40 | 43/67 | 109/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 83% | 64% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | 8/9 | 17/26 | 34/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 89% | 65% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/6 | 3/11 | 8/22 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 33% | 27% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 50% | 39% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| Auger-Aliassime | |||||
| R1 Halys |
R2 Medjedovic |
1/4 Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 7-62 | w/o | 6-3 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | – | 1 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | – | 9 | 42 | |
| pts | 117-105 | – | 28-17 | 145-122 | |
| Total points | 222 | – | 45 | 267 | |
| Winners | 49 | – | 10 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 42% | – | 36% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 13 | – | 4 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | – | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 62/94 | – | 11/18 | 73/112 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | – | 61% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 49/62 | – | 10/11 | 59/73 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | – | 91% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/32 | – | 6/7 | 25/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | – | 86% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | – | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/11 | – | 2/3 | 4/14 | |
| Converted % | 18% | – | 67% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 6 | – | 0 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | – | 0/0 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | – | 22% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | – | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWLLLW
LLLLLWLLWW Tennis Scores in Doha
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-1 3-6 7-68) – See score progression
- Julian Cash/Lloyd GlasspoolCash/Lloyd Glasspool – Rohan Bopanna/Nuno BorgesBopanna/Nuno Borges (6-4 6-75 10-7) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-3 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Joe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski – Nikola Mektic/Michael VenusMektic/Michael Venus (4-6 6-3 10-5) – See score progression
- Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Novak Djokovic/Fernando VerdascoDjokovic/Fernando Verdasco (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-3 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-1 3-6 7-6(8)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Jack DraperDraper (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Andrey RublevRublev (1-5) – H2H and prediction
