Daniel Rincon and Denis Yevseyev will fight against each other in the quarter of the Glasgow Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Rincon who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniel Rincon is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Rincon -> 1.72
Denis Yevseyev -> 2.03
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Prediction and head to head Daniel Rincon vs. Denis Yevseyev
This will be the 4th time that Daniel Rincon and Denis Yevseyev square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Yevseyev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they competed against each other, Rincon won 7-5 2-6 6-3 in the 1st round in the Maia Challenger back in 2024.
Daniel Rincon
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-8 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-28 | 3-7 | 25-19 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-30 | 19-7 | 31-18 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-29 | 6-10 | 31-16 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-18 | 9-8 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 254, the Spaniard got to the quarter after beating Chris Rodesch 6-4 6-7(8) 6-4 and Daniel Evans 7-6(7) 7-6(9).
In the 2nd round, Daniel had a good straight sets win against Evans (7-67 7-69).During the match, Rincon scored less points (6) than Evans. In fact, the world no. 254 won 85 points vs Evans’s. That means that Rincon was more focused during the important points. Daniel was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rincon made 7 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Daniel Rincon lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Rincon put 61% of his first serves in, winning 73% (44/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (14/38) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Evans 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rincon has surrendered 1 set in this competition to conquer 50% of the points he played.
Rincon has a winning record in the last 6 years having won 58% of his matches (159-115). 8-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rincon has an overall19-9 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
Daniel’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Oeiras 1 Challenger and the Tenerife 2 Challenger.
Rincon has an aggregate 11-5 win-loss record in 2025, 8-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Glasgow Challenger
Rincon has never competed in this tournament before.
Denis Yevseyev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-12 | 1-3 | 3-2 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-37 | 14-14 | 12-13 | 7-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-36 | 23-16 | 16-14 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 39-31 | 11-9 | 12-12 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2021 | 36-30 | 4-5 | 22-15 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 262, the Kazakhstani got to the quarter after defeating Harry Wendelken 7-5 6-3 and Philip Henning 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, The Kazakhstani had a good straight sets win against Henning (6-2 6-3). During the match Yevseyev scored 64 points vs Henning’s 43. The Kazakhstani was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Yevseyev made 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Denis Yevseyev conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 4 break points. Furthermore, Yevseyev put 68% of his first serves in, winning 85% (34/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (7/19) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Henning 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Yevseyev hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Yevseyev has an aggregate 7-6 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rincon | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 59 | 38 |
| Pts | 197-199 | 133-98 |
| Total Points | 396 | 231 |
| Winners | 88 | 58 |
| %Winners | 45% | 44% |
Both Rincon and Yevseyev played 2 matches. At the moment, Daniel Rincon conceded 1 set while Denis Yevseyev hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rincon has played 1 set more than Yevseyev (5 vs 4). Therefore, Rincon played 21 games more than Yevseyev. Daniel scored 88 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Denis struck 58 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rincon | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 6.5 |
| 1st in | 120/198 | 71/119 |
| %1st in | 61% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 88/120 | 58/71 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 41/78 | 26/48 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 54% |
Rincon scored 13 aces (6.5 per match). Yevseyev blasted 13 aces (6.5 per match). Rincon won 73% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Yevseyev won 82% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rincon | Yevseyev |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/19 | 6/10 |
| % Converted | 32% | 60% |
| Conceded | 11 | 7 |
| Saved | 7 | 6 |
| % Saved | 64% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 |
Daniel broke his opponents 6 times with a 32% conversion rate. The Spaniard dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Yevseyev conceded his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rincon | ||||
| R1 Rodesch |
R2 Evans |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-78 6-4 | 7-67 7-69 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 26 | 59 | |
| pts | 112-108 | 85-91 | 197-199 | |
| Total points | 220 | 176 | 396 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 52% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 60/100 | 60/98 | 120/198 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 44/60 | 44/60 | 88/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 27/40 | 14/38 | 41/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 37% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/15 | 3/4 | 6/19 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 75% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 9 | 11 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 6/9 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Yevseyev | ||||
| R1 Wendelken |
R2 Henning |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 17 | 38 | |
| pts | 69-55 | 64-43 | 133-98 | |
| Total points | 124 | 107 | 231 | |
| Winners | 24 | 34 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 53% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 9 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 31/60 | 40/59 | 71/119 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 68% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 24/31 | 34/40 | 58/71 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 85% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/29 | 7/19 | 26/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 37% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/4 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 75% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 4/4 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWWLWW
LWLWWLLLLW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo MartineauMartineau – Viktor DurasovicDurasovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Liam DraxlDraxl – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
