Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Damir Dzumhur will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Rio Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:00 pm on QUADRA 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.6
Damir Dzumhur -> 2.34
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Damir Dzumhur
There is no head to head record between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Damir Dzumhur since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
10 - 4win/loss
56
51
LLLLLWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-18 | 3-3 | 22-12 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 58-30 | 6-5 | 52-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 91, Camilo reached the 2nd round after beating Karue Sell 6-4 4-6 6-4, Tomas Barrios Vera 5-7 6-2 7-6(12) and Pedro Martinez Portero 4-6 6-3 6-3.
In the 1st round against Martinez Portero, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-3). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 90 points vs Martinez Portero’s 82. Ugo Carabelli was extremely aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ugo Carabelli managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 70% of his first serves in, winning 69% (46/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 34% (10/29) on the 2nd serve. Ugo Carabelli broke Martinez Portero 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (355-202). 9-3 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Ugo Carabelli has a composed 322-171 match record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Rosario Challenger where he overcame Hugo Dellien in the final 3-6 6-3 6-2.
Camilo has a composed 9-4 win-loss record in 2025, 9-3 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Damir Dzumhur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-21 | 8-5 | 16-13 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-30 | 11-13 | 28-7 | 6-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-34 | 15-5 | 18-18 | 8-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 34-28 | 5-5 | 19-12 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-32 | 6-6 | 17-17 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 97, Damir got to the 2nd round after defeating Dusan Lajovic 6-3 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Bosnian had a good straight sets win against Lajovic (6-3 6-4). During the match Dzumhur scored 72 points vs Lajovic’s 56. Dzumhur was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Dzumhur managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Damir Dzumhur conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Dzumhur put 64% of his first serves in, winning 68% (26/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 81% (17/21) on the 2nd serve. Damir broke Lajovic twice after converting 22% of his break points (2/9).
Damir has a composed 5-5 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Rio de Janeiro
Damir has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 19 |
| Pts | 185-166 | 72-56 |
| Total Points | 351 | 128 |
| Winners | 94 | 26 |
| %Winners | 51% | 36% |
Ugo Carabelli played 2 matches while Dzumhur competed in 1 match. Ugo Carabelli started his run from the qualifications while Dzumhur had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli conceded 2 sets while Damir Dzumhur hasn’t lost a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 4 sets more than Dzumhur (6 vs 2). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 39 games more than Dzumhur. Ugo Carabelli scored 94 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Damir fired 26 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 132/177 | 38/59 |
| %1st in | 75% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 94/132 | 26/38 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 19/45 | 17/21 |
| %2nd pts | 42% | 81% |
Ugo Carabelli made 5 aces (2.5 per match). Dzumhur bagged 3 aces . Ugo Carabelli won 71% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 42% of the points. On the other side, Dzumhur won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 81% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Dzumhur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 2 |
| Converted | 9/14 | 2/9 |
| % Converted | 64% | 22% |
| Conceded | 12 | 1 |
| Saved | 6 | 1 |
| % Saved | 50% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 0 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 9 times with a 64% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Bosnian broke his opponent twice with a 22% conversion rate. The Bosnian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||||
| Q1 Sell |
Q3 Tomas Barrios Vera |
R1 Martinez Portero |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-6 6-4 | 5-7 6-2 7-612 | 4-6 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 33 | 28 | 91 | |
| pts | 95-84 | – | 90-82 | 185-166 | |
| Total points | 179 | 0 | 172 | 351 | |
| Winners | 48 | 46 | 94 | ||
| %Winners | 51% | 0% | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | ||
| 1st in | 65/81 | / | 67/96 | 132/177 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 0% | 70% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 48/65 | / | 46/67 | 94/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 0% | 69% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/16 | / | 10/29 | 19/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 0% | 34% | 42% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | ||
| Converted | 3/6 | / | 6/8 | 9/14 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 0% | 75% | 64% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 9 | 12 | ||
| Saved | 1/3 | 0/ | 5/9 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 33% | – | 56% | 30% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | ||
| Dzumhur | |||||
| R1 Lajovic |
Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |||
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |||
| pts | 72-56 | 72-56 | |||
| Total points | 128 | 128 | |||
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |||
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |||
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |||
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |||
| 1st in | 38/59 | 38/59 | |||
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |||
| 1st pts | 26/38 | 26/38 | |||
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |||
| 2nd pts | 17/21 | 17/21 | |||
| % 2nd pts | 81% | 81% | |||
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |||
| Converted | 2/9 | 2/9 | |||
| Converted % | 22% | 22% | |||
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |||
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |||
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | |||
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |||
Head 2 Head
LLLLLWLWWW
LLLLWWLLWL Tennis Scores in Rio De Janeiro
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-4 1-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco ComesanaComesana – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-64 6-71 7-66) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alexander ZverevAlexander – Alexander ShevchenkoAlexander (7-6(1) 7-6(6)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Damir DzumhurDzumhur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
