Karolina Muchova and Sorana Cirstea will fight against each other in the quarter of the Dubai Duty Free Championships for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 9:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 2 sets.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.34
Sorana Cirstea -> 3.26
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Prediction and head to head Karolina Muchova vs. Sorana Cirstea
This will be the 6th time that Karolina Muchova and Sorana Cirstea fight against each other. The head to head is 4-1 for Muchova (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Muchova won 6-0 6-3 in the quarter in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.
Highlights Karolina Muchova vs Sorana Cirstea – U.S. Open 05-September-2023
Karolina Muchova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-17 | 23-13 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-7 | 15-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-13 | 28-9 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-9 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Muchova reached the quarter after beating Suzan Lamens 6-2 6-2, Emma Raducanu 7-6(6) 6-4 and Mccartney Kessler 6-3 1-6 7-6(5).
In the 3rd round, Karolina defeated Kessler (6-3 1-6 7-65).During the match, Muchova scored less points (7) than Kessler. In fact, the world no. 17 won 95 points vs Kessler’s. That means that Muchova was more focused during the important points. The Czech was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Muchova bagged 8 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Karolina Muchova lost the serve 5 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Muchova put 51% of her first serves in, winning 72% (34/47) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (20/45) on the 2nd serve. Muchova broke Kessler 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Czech has dropped 1 set in this competition to conquer 51% of the points she played.
Muchova has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 68% of her matches (234-112). 6-3 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Muchova has an overall 118-48 match record in the last years on hard.
The Czech’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Australia and Linz.
The Czech has an overall 8-4 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Sorana Cirstea
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-20 | 26-14 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-16 | 9-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-22 | 21-14 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-21 | 10-10 | 4-6 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 11-10 | 11-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 89, Sorana got to the quarter after beating Daria Kasatkina 6-1 6-4, Alycia Parks 3-6 6-4 6-1 and Emma Navarro 7-6(5) 3-6 7-5.
In the 3rd round, Cirstea defeated Navarro (7-65 3-6 7-5). During the match Cirstea scored 122 points vs Navarro’s 121. The Romanian was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Cirstea blasted 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Sorana Cirstea lost the serve 8 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Cirstea put 64% of her first serves in, winning 53% (36/68) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (21/39) on the 2nd serve. Cirstea broke Navarro 7 times after converting 35% of her break points (7/20).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Cirstea has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Sorana has an aggregate 4-4 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 68 | 77 |
| Pts | 221-210 | 273-241 |
| Total Points | 431 | 514 |
| Winners | 80 | 89 |
| %Winners | 36% | 33% |
Both Muchova and Cirstea played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Karolina Muchova surrendered 1 set, while Sorana Cirstea dropped 2 sets. Muchova has played 1 set(s) less than Cirstea (7 vs 8). Therefore, Muchova played 9 games less than Cirstea. The Czech scored 80 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Sorana made 89 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 6.7 | 4 |
| 1st in | 111/202 | 150/240 |
| %1st in | 55% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 80/111 | 89/150 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 59% |
| 2nd pts | 45/91 | 52/90 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 58% |
Muchova recorded 20 aces (6.7 per match). Cirstea bagged 12 aces (4 per match). Muchova won 72% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Cirstea won 59% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Muchova | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 18 |
| Converted | 11/34 | 18/36 |
| % Converted | 32% | 50% |
| Conceded | 22 | 24 |
| Saved | 15 | 10 |
| % Saved | 68% | 42% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 14 |
Karolina broke her opponents 11 times with a 32% conversion rate. Muchova conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded. Sorana broke her opponents 18 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Romanian conceded her serve 14 times and she saved 42% of the break points that she conceded.
| Muchova | |||||
| R1 Lamens | R2 Raducanu | R3 Kessler | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 7-66 6-4 | 6-3 1-6 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 23 | 29 | 68 | |
| pts | 59-41 | 67-67 | 95-102 | 221-210 | |
| Total points | 100 | 134 | 197 | 431 | |
| Winners | 22 | 24 | 34 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 36% | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 3 | 8 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 29/49 | 35/61 | 47/92 | 111/202 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 57% | 51% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 24/35 | 34/47 | 80/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 69% | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 12/26 | 20/45 | 45/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 46% | 44% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/13 | 4/12 | 11/34 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 23% | 33% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4/6 | 7/12 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 58% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Cirstea | |||||
| R1 Kasatkina | R2 Parks | R3 Navarro | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 3-6 6-4 6-1 | 7-65 3-6 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 26 | 34 | 77 | |
| pts | 60-45 | 91-75 | 122-121 | 273-241 | |
| Total points | 105 | 166 | 243 | 514 | |
| Winners | 24 | 29 | 36 | 89 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 32% | 30% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 1 | 2 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 38/63 | 44/70 | 68/107 | 150/240 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 63% | 64% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 24/38 | 29/44 | 36/68 | 89/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 66% | 53% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/25 | 19/26 | 21/39 | 52/90 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 73% | 54% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | |
| Converted | 6/6 | 5/10 | 7/20 | 18/36 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 50% | 35% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 | 11 | 24 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 2/5 | 3/11 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 40% | 27% | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14 | |
Tennis Scores in Dubai
- Artem DubrivnyyDubrivnyy – Ljubomir CelebicCelebic (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-63 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- David PichlerPichler – Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Pierre FaivreFaivre (4-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Clara TausonTauson – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Sofia KeninKenin (2-0) – H2H and prediction