Jack Draper and Matteo Berrettini will square off in the quarter of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 8:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.79
Jack Draper -> 2.02
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Prediction and head to head Jack Draper vs. Matteo Berrettini
This will be the 2nd time that Jack Draper and Matteo Berrettini face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Draper (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Draper won 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4 in the final in Stuttgart back in 2024.
Highlights Jack Draper vs Matteo Berrettini – Stuttgart 16-June-2024
Jack Draper
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-7 | 13-3 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 16, Jack got to the quarter after defeating Alexei Popyrin 6-2 7-6(4) and Christopher O Connell 6-2 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Jack had a good straight sets win against O Connell (6-2 6-1). During the match, Draper scored 58 points vs O Connell’s 30. Draper was very aggressive to blast 15 winners.
Talking about the service games, Draper struck 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jack Draper was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (15/18) of his 1st serve and 87% (13/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jack broke O Connell 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 59% of the points he played.
Draper has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 69% of his matches (231-105). 5-1 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Draper has a composed110-44 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Jack has an aggregate 5-1 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Jack has never competed in this tournament before.
Matteo Berrettini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-10 | 9-6 | 4-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 36-13 | 7-6 | 15-1 | 8-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-12 | 9-10 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-12 | 15-9 | 4-2 | 4-1 | 9-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-12 | 14-5 | 13-4 | 3-2 | 11-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, Berrettini reached the quarter after beating Novak Djokovic 7-6(4) 6-2 and Tallon Griekspoor 7-6(4) 6-7(6) 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Matteo defeated Griekspoor (7-64 6-76 6-4). During the match Berrettini scored 108 points vs Griekspoor’s 97. Berrettini was quite aggressive to blast 64 winners.
Talking about serving, Berrettini submerged his opponent with 23 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Berrettini was quite effective on serve to win 89% (64/72) of his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Berrettini broke Griekspoor once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Berrettini has an overall 3-3 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Draper | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 36 | 57 |
| Pts | 124-87 | 177-156 |
| Total Points | 211 | 333 |
| Winners | 49 | 104 |
| %Winners | 40% | 59% |
Both Draper and Berrettini played 2 matches. At the moment, Matteo Berrettini conceded 1 set while Jack Draper hasn’t lost a set so far. Draper has played 1 set(s) less than Berrettini (4 vs 5). Therefore, Draper played 21 games less than Berrettini. Jack scored 49 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Berrettini bagged 104 winners (59%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Draper | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 36 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 18 |
| 1st in | 63/96 | 119/159 |
| %1st in | 66% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 49/63 | 104/119 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 87% |
| 2nd pts | 25/33 | 24/40 |
| %2nd pts | 76% | 60% |
Draper struck 13 aces (6.5 per match). Berrettini scored 36 aces (18 per match). Draper won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 76% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 87% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Draper | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 3 |
| Converted | 7/13 | 3/8 |
| % Converted | 54% | 38% |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 |
| Saved | 1 | 3 |
| % Saved | 100% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Jack broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Draper extremely effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Italian broke his opponents 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Italian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
| Draper | ||||
| R1 Popyrin |
R2 O |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-64 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 15 | 36 | |
| pts | 66-57 | 58-30 | 124-87 | |
| Total points | 123 | 88 | 211 | |
| Winners | 34 | 15 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 26% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 8 | 5 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 45/63 | 18/33 | 63/96 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 55% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 34/45 | 15/18 | 49/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 83% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 13/15 | 25/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 87% | 76% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 5/9 | 7/13 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Berrettini | ||||
| R1 Djokovic |
R2 Griekspoor |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-2 | 7-64 6-76 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 36 | 57 | |
| pts | 69-59 | 108-97 | 177-156 | |
| Total points | 128 | 205 | 333 | |
| Winners | 40 | 64 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 58% | 59% | 59% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 13 | 23 | 36 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 47/63 | 72/96 | 119/159 | |
| % 1st in | 75% | 75% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 40/47 | 64/72 | 104/119 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 89% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 16/24 | 24/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 67% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 1/2 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 0/0 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWWWLW
LWLWLWWLWW Tennis Scores in Doha
- Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Novak Djokovic/Fernando VerdascoDjokovic/Fernando Verdasco (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Joe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal Skupski – Nikola Mektic/Michael VenusMektic/Michael Venus (4-6 6-3 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (3-4) – H2H and prediction
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Jack DraperDraper (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-7) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (1-0) – H2H and prediction
