H2H, prediction of Jack Draper vs Matteo Berrettini in Doha with odds, preview, pick | 20th February 2025

PREVIEW. Doha. Draper and Berrettini will clash against each other in the quarter of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Thursday the 20th of February

Prediction and head to head Jack Draper vs. Matteo Berrettini

Jack Draper and Matteo Berrettini will square off in the quarter of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 8:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.79
Jack Draper -> 2.02

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Jack Draper vs. Matteo Berrettini

This will be the 2nd time that Jack Draper and Matteo Berrettini face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Draper (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Draper won 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4 in the final in Stuttgart back in 2024.

Highlights Jack Draper vs Matteo Berrettini – Stuttgart 16-June-2024

Jack Draper

Jack Draper
Jack Draper

5 - 1win/loss

Hard
5-1
I Hard
0-0
Rank
4
High
4
LWWWLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-7 13-3 12-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-22 19-10 5-7 7-3 8-2 0-0
2023 34-15 15-8 3-3 16-4 0-0 0-0
2022 46-19 12-6 2-2 26-7 6-4 0-0
2021 18-16 6-6 7-5 3-2 2-2 0-1

Ranked no. 16, Jack got to the quarter after defeating Alexei Popyrin 6-2 7-6(4) and Christopher O Connell 6-2 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Jack had a good straight sets win against O Connell (6-2 6-1). During the match, Draper scored 58 points vs O Connell’s 30. Draper was very aggressive to blast 15 winners.

Talking about the service games, Draper struck 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jack Draper was quite efficient on serve to win 83% (15/18) of his 1st serve and 87% (13/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jack broke O Connell 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brit hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 59% of the points he played.

Draper has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 69% of his matches (231-105). 5-1 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Draper has a composed110-44 record in the last 8 years on hard.

Jack has an aggregate 5-1 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Doha

Jack has never competed in this tournament before.

Draper
Doha
Draper's Record

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini
Matteo Berrettini

3 - 3win/loss

Hard
3-2
I Hard
0-1
Rank
28
High
6
LWLWLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 13-10 9-6 4-3 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 36-13 7-6 15-1 8-3 6-3 0-0
2023 14-12 9-10 2-0 0-0 3-2 0-0
2022 32-12 15-9 4-2 4-1 9-0 0-0
2021 41-12 14-5 13-4 3-2 11-1 0-0

Ranked no. 35, Berrettini reached the quarter after beating Novak Djokovic 7-6(4) 6-2 and Tallon Griekspoor 7-6(4) 6-7(6) 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Matteo defeated Griekspoor (7-64 6-76 6-4). During the match Berrettini scored 108 points vs Griekspoor’s 97. Berrettini was quite aggressive to blast 64 winners.

Talking about serving, Berrettini submerged his opponent with 23 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Berrettini was quite effective on serve to win 89% (64/72) of his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Berrettini broke Griekspoor once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Matteo has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Berrettini has an overall 3-3 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Berrettini
Doha
Berrettini's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Draper
M.Berrettini
2h:22
2h:22
Time on court​
!
4h:00
4h:00
!
0h:58
0h:58
Last match​
!
2h:27
2h:27
2
2
Match played
2
2
36
36
Games Played​
57
57
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
124
124
Total points​
177
177
62
62
Avg point​
88.5
88.5
49
49
Winners
104
104
24.5
24.5
Avg Winners​
52
52
40%
40%
Ratio winners
59%
59%
-- Serve --
13
13
Aces
36
36
6.5
6.5
Avg Aces
!
18
18
1
1
Double Faults
3
3
0.5
0.5
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
49/63
49/63
1st won total​
104/119
104/119
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
87%
87%
25/33
25/33
2nd won total​
24/40
24/40
!
76%
76%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
7/13
7/13
BP won
3/8
3/8
3.5/6.5
3.5/6.5
Avg BP won
1.5/4
1.5/4
!
54%
54%
Won
38%
38%
1
1
Conceded
3
3
0.5
0.5
Avg Conceded
1.5
1.5
0
0
Broken
0
0
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
0
0
1
1
Saved
3
3

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Draper Berrettini
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 36 57
Pts 124-87 177-156
Total Points 211 333
Winners 49 104
%Winners 40% 59%

Both Draper and Berrettini played 2 matches. At the moment, Matteo Berrettini conceded 1 set while Jack Draper hasn’t lost a set so far. Draper has played 1 set(s) less than Berrettini (4 vs 5). Therefore, Draper played 21 games less than Berrettini. Jack scored 49 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Berrettini bagged 104 winners (59%).

Serve Performance

Serve Draper Berrettini
Aces 13 36
Avg per match 6.5 18
1st in 63/96 119/159
%1st in 66% 75%
1st pts 49/63 104/119
%1st pts 78% 87%
2nd pts 25/33 24/40
%2nd pts 76% 60%

Draper struck 13 aces (6.5 per match). Berrettini scored 36 aces (18 per match). Draper won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 76% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 87% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Draper Berrettini
Won 7 3
Converted 7/13 3/8
% Converted 54% 38%
Conceded 1 3
Saved 1 3
% Saved 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Jack broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Draper extremely effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Italian broke his opponents 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Italian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.

Draper
R1
Popyrin
R2
O
Total
Score 6-2 7-64 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 21 15 36
pts 66-57 58-30 124-87
Total points 123 88 211
Winners 34 15 49
%Winners 52% 26% 40%
SERVE
Aces 8 5 13
Double Faults 0 1 1
1st in 45/63 18/33 63/96
% 1st in 71% 55% 66%
1st pts 34/45 15/18 49/63
% 1st pts 76% 83% 78%
2nd pts 12/18 13/15 25/33
% 2nd pts 67% 87% 76%
Breaks
Won 2 5 7
Converted 2/4 5/9 7/13
Converted % 50% 56% 54%
Conceded 1 0 1
Saved 1/1 0/0 1
Saved % 100% 50%
Times Broken 0 0 0
Berrettini
R1
Djokovic
R2
Griekspoor
Total
Score 7-64 6-2 7-64 6-76 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 21 36 57
pts 69-59 108-97 177-156
Total points 128 205 333
Winners 40 64 104
%Winners 58% 59% 59%
SERVE
Aces 13 23 36
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 47/63 72/96 119/159
% 1st in 75% 75% 75%
1st pts 40/47 64/72 104/119
% 1st pts 85% 89% 87%
2nd pts 8/16 16/24 24/40
% 2nd pts 50% 67% 60%
Breaks
Won 2 1 3
Converted 2/6 1/2 3/8
Converted % 33% 50% 38%
Conceded 3 0 3
Saved 3/3 0/0 3
Saved % 100% 50%
Times Broken 0 0 0

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Draper
LWWWLWWWLW
Berrettini
LWLWLWWLWW
2025 2024 2023
25 - 7
13 - 10
13-3
Hard
9-6
12-4
Clay
4-3

Tennis Scores in Doha

  • Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry PattenNovak Djokovic/Fernando VerdascoDjokovic/Fernando Verdasco (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Joe Salisbury/Neal SkupskiSalisbury/Neal SkupskiNikola Mektic/Michael VenusMektic/Michael Venus (4-6 6-3 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw