Jacob Fearnley and Evgeny Karlovskiy will play each other in the 2^nd round of the Pau Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 9:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jacob Fearnley who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jacob Fearnley is the pick to win this match.
Jacob Fearnley -> 1.185
Evgeny Karlovskiy -> 4.333

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Prediction and head to head Jacob Fearnley vs. Evgeny Karlovskiy

There is no head to head record between Jacob Fearnley and Evgeny Karlovskiy since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Jacob Fearnley

Ranked no. 81, the Brit reached the 2^nd round after defeating Lukas Pokorny 6-4 6-4.

In the 1^st round, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Pokorny (6-4 6-4). During the match, Fearnley scored 73 points vs Pokorny’s 58. Fearnley was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Fearnley recorded 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Jacob Fearnley was pretty efficient on serve to win 78% (32/41) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Jacob broke Pokorny twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).

Fearnley has a fantastic match record in the last 5 years having won 78% of his matches (80-22). 2-1 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Fearnley has a composed45-9 record in the last 5 years on indoor hard courts.

The Brit’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Canberra Challenger.

The Brit has an overall 7-3 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Pau Challenger

Jacob has never competed in this tournament before.

Evgeny Karlovskiy

Ranked no. 411, the Russian got to the 2^nd round after defeating Loann Massard 6-4 7-6(4), Dino Prizmic 6-2 6-3 and Maxime Janvier 6-4 6-7(6) 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Evgeny defeated Janvier (6-4 6-7⁶ 6-4). During the match Karlovskiy scored 93 points vs Janvier’s 91. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 47 winners.

About the serving games, Karlovskiy managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Evgeny Karlovskiy lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Karlovskiy put 70% of his first serves in, winning 73% (47/64) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (10/27) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Janvier 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).

Karlovskiy has a compiled 10-6 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Fearnley	Karlovskiy
Match played	1	3
Tot Set	2	7
Tot Games	20	73
Pts	73-58	230-197
Total Points	131	427
Winners	32	113
%Winners	44%	49%

Fearnley played 1 match while Karlovskiy competed in 3 matches. Karlovskiy started his run from the qualifications while Fearnley had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Evgeny Karlovskiy dropped 1 set while Jacob Fearnley hasn’t dropped a set so far. Fearnley has played 5 set(s) less than Karlovskiy (2 vs 7). Therefore, Fearnley played 53 games less than Karlovskiy. Jacob scored 32 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian made 113 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Fearnley	Karlovskiy
Aces	2	18
Avg per match	2	6
1st in	41/64	147/207
%1st in	64%	71%
1st pts	32/41	113/147
%1st pts	78%	77%
2nd pts	14/23	23/60
%2nd pts	61%	38%

Fearnley recorded 2 aces . Karlovskiy scored 18 aces (6 per match). Fearnley won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Karlovskiy won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 38% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Fearnley	Karlovskiy
Won	2	11
Converted	2/5	11/28
% Converted	40%	39%
Conceded	3	14
Saved	3	8
% Saved	100%	57%
Times Broken	0	6

Fearnley broke his opponent twice with a 40% conversion rate. Jacob pretty effective on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points. Evgeny broke his opponents 11 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Russian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.

Fearnley
	R1 Pokorny	Total
Score	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	20	20
pts	73-58	73-58
Total points	131	131
Winners	32	32
%Winners	44%	44%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	41/64	41/64
% 1st in	64%	64%
1st pts	32/41	32/41
% 1st pts	78%	78%
2nd pts	14/23	14/23
% 2nd pts	61%	61%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/5	2/5
Converted %	40%	40%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	3/3	3
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Karlovskiy
	Q1 Massard	Q3 Prizmic	R1 Janvier	Total
Score	6-4 7-64	6-2 6-3	6-4 6-76 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	3	7
Tot Games	23	17	33	73
pts	73-63	64-43	93-91	230-197
Total points	136	107	184	427
Winners	36	30	47	113
%Winners	49%	47%	51%	49%
SERVE
Aces	6	6	6	18
Double Faults	1	0	1	2
1st in	44/64	39/52	64/91	147/207
% 1st in	69%	75%	70%	71%
1st pts	36/44	30/39	47/64	113/147
% 1st pts	82%	77%	73%	77%
2nd pts	9/20	4/13	10/27	23/60
% 2nd pts	45%	31%	37%	38%
Breaks
Won	3	5	3	11
Converted	3/8	5/8	3/12	11/28
Converted %	38%	63%	25%	39%
Conceded	3	4	7	14
Saved	1/3	3/4	4/7	8
Saved %	33%	75%	57%	165%
Times Broken	2	1	3	6

Tennis Scores in Pau Challenger

• Patrick ZahrajZahraj – Harold MayotMayot (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Lukas KleinKlein – Lucas PoullainPoullain (6-3 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Arthur BouquierBouquier – Robin BertrandBertrand (5-7 7-6³ 7-6⁸) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Richard GasquetGasquet – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alexey VatutinVatutin – (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Pedro CachinCachin – Filip MisolicMisolic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jacob FearnleyFearnley – Evgeny KarlovskiyKarlovskiy (0-0) – H2H and prediction