Daniil Medvedev and Felix Auger-Aliassime will fight against each other in the quarter of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.61
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 2.32
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime
This will be the 9th time that Daniil Medvedev and Felix Auger-Aliassime face off. The head to head is 7-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 6-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Auger-Aliassime won 6-3 7-6(5) in the 3rd round in Paris back in 2024.
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-10 | 9-5 | 6-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Medvedev got to the quarter after beating Karen Khachanov 4-6 7-5 6-3 and Zizou Bergs 6-2 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Bergs (6-2 6-1). During the match, Medvedev scored 52 points vs Bergs’s 28. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev made 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was extremely efficient on serve to win 85% (23/27) of his 1st serve and 56% (5/9) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Daniil broke Bergs 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a superlative match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (463-185). 3-1 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a compiled 226-69 match record in the last years on hard.
Daniil’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Marseille.
Medvedev has a compiled 6-3 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Felix Auger-Aliassime
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-11 | 13-6 | 0-4 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-24 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, Auger-Aliassime got to the quarter after defeating Quentin Halys 4-6 6-4 7-6(2) and Hamad Medjedovic w/o.
In the 2nd round, Auger-Aliassime defeated Medjedovic (w/o). During the match Auger-Aliassime and Medjedovic scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 6 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Felix was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
Talking about serving, Auger-Aliassime couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Felix Auger-Aliassime conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Adelaide where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 6-3 3-6 6-1 and in Montpellier where he defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic in the final 6-2 6-7(7) 7-6(2).
Felix has a composed 11-3 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 46 | 33 |
| Pts | 155-120 | 117-105 |
| Total Points | 275 | 222 |
| Winners | 79 | 49 |
| %Winners | 51% | 42% |
Medvedev played 2 matches while Auger-Aliassime competed in 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev surrendered 1 set, while Felix Auger-Aliassime surrendered 1 set. Medvedev has played 2 sets more than Auger-Aliassime (5 vs 3). Therefore, Medvedev played 13 games more than Auger-Aliassime. The Russian scored 79 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian fired 49 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 13 |
| 1st in | 99/139 | 62/94 |
| %1st in | 71% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 79/99 | 49/62 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 20/40 | 19/32 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 59% |
Medvedev bagged 14 aces (7 per match). Auger-Aliassime recorded 13 aces . Medvedev won 80% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Auger-Aliassime won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Auger-Aliassime |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 2 |
| Converted | 7/14 | 2/11 |
| % Converted | 50% | 18% |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 |
| Saved | 6 | 4 |
| % Saved | 86% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Medvedev surrendered his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Felix broke his opponent twice with a 18% conversion rate. Felix conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||
| R1 Khachanov |
R2 Bergs |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-5 6-3 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 15 | 46 | |
| pts | 103-92 | 52-28 | 155-120 | |
| Total points | 195 | 80 | 275 | |
| Winners | 56 | 23 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 44% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 10 | 4 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 72/103 | 27/36 | 99/139 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 75% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 56/72 | 23/27 | 79/99 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 85% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 5/9 | 20/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 56% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 5/9 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 56% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 0 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 0/0 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | – | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Auger-Aliassime | ||||
| R1 Halys |
R2 Medjedovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 7-62 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | – | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | – | 33 | |
| pts | 117-105 | – | 117-105 | |
| Total points | 222 | – | 222 | |
| Winners | 49 | – | 49 | |
| %Winners | 42% | – | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 13 | – | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | – | 3 | |
| 1st in | 62/94 | – | 62/94 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | – | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 49/62 | – | 49/62 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | – | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/32 | – | 19/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | – | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | – | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/11 | – | 2/11 | |
| Converted % | 18% | – | 18% | |
| Conceded | 6 | – | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | – | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | – | 34% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | – | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLWWL
LLLLLWLLWW 
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