Karolina Muchova and Mccartney Kessler will face off in the 3rd round of the Dubai Duty Free Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 5:30 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Karolina Muchova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.33
Mccartney Kessler -> 3.32

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Prediction and head to head Karolina Muchova vs. Mccartney Kessler

There is no head to head record between Karolina Muchova and Mccartney Kessler since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Karolina Muchova

Karolina Muchova

8 - 4win/loss

Hard
6-3
I Hard
2-1
Rank
19
High
8
LWWLWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 26-17 23-13 0-1 2-1 1-2 0-0
2024 21-7 15-4 4-2 0-0 2-1 0-0
2023 38-13 28-9 10-3 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 11-12 3-2 3-3 5-5 0-2 0-0
2021 19-9 10-4 5-3 0-0 4-2 0-0

Ranked no. 17, Muchova reached the 3rd round after beating Suzan Lamens 6-2 6-2 and Emma Raducanu 7-6(6) 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Muchova had a good straight sets win against Raducanu (7-66 6-4). During the match, Muchova and Raducanu scored the same amount of points (67). However, the world no. 17 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Czech was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Muchova bagged 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Karolina Muchova lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Muchova put 57% of her first serves in, winning 69% (24/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. Muchova broke Raducanu 3 times after converting 23% of her break points (3/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Czech hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Muchova has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 68% of her matches (233-112). 5-3 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Muchova has a composed 117-48 record in the last years on hard.

The Czech’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Australia and Linz.

The Czech has an aggregate 7-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Dubai

Dubai
Muchova's Record

Mccartney Kessler

Mccartney Kessler

10 - 5win/loss

Hard
10-5
I Hard
0-0
Rank
31
High
30
LWLWWLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 37-24 27-16 4-6 0-0 6-2 0-0
2024 39-22 28-13 2-6 5-0 4-3 0-0
2023 44-24 21-12 11-7 12-5 0-0 0-0
2022 8-2 6-2 2-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 10-5 10-3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 53, Kessler got to the 3rd round after defeating Amanda Anisimova 6-2 6-3 and Cori Gauff 6-4 7-5.

In the 2nd round, Kessler had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-4 7-5). During the match Kessler scored 71 points vs Gauff’s 65. Mccartney was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Kessler was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Mccartney Kessler lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kessler put 57% of her first serves in, winning 68% (27/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 63% (19/30) on the 2nd serve. Mccartney broke Gauff 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kessler hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Hobart where she overcame Elise Mertens in the final 6-4 3-6 6-0.

Mccartney has a composed 10-4 win-loss record in 2025, 10-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Dubai
Kessler's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

K.Muchova
M.Kessler
2h:58
2h:58
Time on court​
2h:36
2h:36
1h:46
1h:46
Last match​
1h:29
1h:29
2
2
Match played
2
2
39
39
Games Played​
39
39
4
4
Set played​​
4
4
126
126
Total points​
136
136
63
63
Avg point​
68
68
46
46
Winners
51
51
23
23
Avg Winners​
25.5
25.5
37%
37%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
12
12
Aces
1
1
6
6
Avg Aces
0.5
0.5
3
3
Double Faults
2
2
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
1
1
46/64
46/64
1st won total​
51/67
51/67
!
72%
72%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
25/46
25/46
2nd won total​
28/49
28/49
54%
54%
2nd won %
57%
57%
-- Break Points --
7/22
7/22
BP won
8/16
8/16
3.5/11
3.5/11
Avg BP won
4/8
4/8
32%
32%
Won
50%
50%
10
10
Conceded
8
8
5
5
Avg Conceded
4
4
2
2
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
1
1
8
8
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Muchova Kessler
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 4
Tot Games 39 39
Pts 126-108 136-105
Total Points 234 241
Winners 46 51
%Winners 37% 38%

Both Muchova and Kessler played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Muchova and Kessler have played the same amount of sets 4. They also played the same amount of games (39). Karolina scored 46 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Kessler managed to score 51 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Muchova Kessler
Aces 12 1
Avg per match 6 0.5
1st in 64/110 67/116
%1st in 58% 58%
1st pts 46/64 51/67
%1st pts 72% 76%
2nd pts 25/46 28/49
%2nd pts 54% 57%

Muchova struck 12 aces (6 per match). Kessler recorded 1 ace (0.5 per match). Muchova won 72% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Kessler won 76% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Muchova Kessler
Won 7 8
Converted 7/22 8/16
% Converted 32% 50%
Conceded 10 8
Saved 8 6
% Saved 80% 75%
Times Broken 2 2

Muchova broke her opponents 7 times with a 32% conversion rate. Muchova conceded her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Kessler conceded her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.

Muchova
R1
Lamens
R2
Raducanu
Total
Score 6-2 6-2 7-66 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 23 39
pts 59-41 67-67 126-108
Total points 100 134 234
Winners 22 24 46
%Winners 37% 36% 37%
SERVE
Aces 9 3 12
Double Faults 1 2 3
1st in 29/49 35/61 64/110
% 1st in 59% 57% 58%
1st pts 22/29 24/35 46/64
% 1st pts 76% 69% 72%
2nd pts 13/20 12/26 25/46
% 2nd pts 65% 46% 54%
Breaks
Won 4 3 7
Converted 4/9 3/13 7/22
Converted % 44% 23% 32%
Conceded 4 6 10
Saved 4/4 4/6 8
Saved % 100% 67% 84%
Times Broken 0 2 2
Kessler
R1
Anisimova
R2
Gauff
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 17 22 39
pts 65-40 71-65 136-105
Total points 105 136 241
Winners 24 27 51
%Winners 37% 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 1 0 1
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 27/46 40/70 67/116
% 1st in 59% 57% 58%
1st pts 24/27 27/40 51/67
% 1st pts 89% 68% 76%
2nd pts 9/19 19/30 28/49
% 2nd pts 47% 63% 57%
Breaks
Won 5 3 8
Converted 5/9 3/7 8/16
Converted % 56% 43% 50%
Conceded 2 6 8
Saved 1/2 5/6 6
Saved % 50% 83% 67%
Times Broken 1 1 2

Tennis Scores in Dubai

Upcoming matches in the draw