Karolina Muchova and Mccartney Kessler will face off in the 3rd round of the Dubai Duty Free Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 5:30 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 2 sets.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.33
Mccartney Kessler -> 3.32
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Prediction and head to head Karolina Muchova vs. Mccartney Kessler
There is no head to head record between Karolina Muchova and Mccartney Kessler since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Karolina Muchova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-17 | 23-13 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 21-7 | 15-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-13 | 28-9 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-9 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Muchova reached the 3rd round after beating Suzan Lamens 6-2 6-2 and Emma Raducanu 7-6(6) 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Muchova had a good straight sets win against Raducanu (7-66 6-4). During the match, Muchova and Raducanu scored the same amount of points (67). However, the world no. 17 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Czech was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Muchova bagged 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Karolina Muchova lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Muchova put 57% of her first serves in, winning 69% (24/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (12/26) on the 2nd serve. Muchova broke Raducanu 3 times after converting 23% of her break points (3/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Czech hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Muchova has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 68% of her matches (233-112). 5-3 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Muchova has a composed 117-48 record in the last years on hard.
The Czech’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Australia and Linz.
The Czech has an aggregate 7-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Mccartney Kessler
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37-24 | 27-16 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-22 | 28-13 | 2-6 | 5-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 21-12 | 11-7 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 8-2 | 6-2 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 10-5 | 10-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 53, Kessler got to the 3rd round after defeating Amanda Anisimova 6-2 6-3 and Cori Gauff 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Kessler had a good straight sets win against Gauff (6-4 7-5). During the match Kessler scored 71 points vs Gauff’s 65. Mccartney was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Kessler was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Mccartney Kessler lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kessler put 57% of her first serves in, winning 68% (27/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 63% (19/30) on the 2nd serve. Mccartney broke Gauff 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kessler hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Hobart where she overcame Elise Mertens in the final 6-4 3-6 6-0.
Mccartney has a composed 10-4 win-loss record in 2025, 10-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Muchova | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 39 | 39 |
| Pts | 126-108 | 136-105 |
| Total Points | 234 | 241 |
| Winners | 46 | 51 |
| %Winners | 37% | 38% |
Both Muchova and Kessler played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Muchova and Kessler have played the same amount of sets 4. They also played the same amount of games (39). Karolina scored 46 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Kessler managed to score 51 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Muchova | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 64/110 | 67/116 |
| %1st in | 58% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 46/64 | 51/67 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 25/46 | 28/49 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 57% |
Muchova struck 12 aces (6 per match). Kessler recorded 1 ace (0.5 per match). Muchova won 72% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Kessler won 76% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Muchova | Kessler |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 8 |
| Converted | 7/22 | 8/16 |
| % Converted | 32% | 50% |
| Conceded | 10 | 8 |
| Saved | 8 | 6 |
| % Saved | 80% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Muchova broke her opponents 7 times with a 32% conversion rate. Muchova conceded her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Kessler conceded her serve twice and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Muchova | ||||
| R1 Lamens | R2 Raducanu | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 7-66 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 23 | 39 | |
| pts | 59-41 | 67-67 | 126-108 | |
| Total points | 100 | 134 | 234 | |
| Winners | 22 | 24 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 36% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 3 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 29/49 | 35/61 | 64/110 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 57% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 24/35 | 46/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 69% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/20 | 12/26 | 25/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 46% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/13 | 7/22 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 23% | 32% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Kessler | ||||
| R1 Anisimova | R2 Gauff | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 22 | 39 | |
| pts | 65-40 | 71-65 | 136-105 | |
| Total points | 105 | 136 | 241 | |
| Winners | 24 | 27 | 51 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 27/46 | 40/70 | 67/116 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 57% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 24/27 | 27/40 | 51/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 68% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/19 | 19/30 | 28/49 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 63% | 57% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 3/7 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 43% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 5/6 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 83% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Tennis Scores in Dubai
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (7-5 6-0) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Alycia ParksParks (3-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (7-66 6-4) – See score progression
- Mccartney KesslerKessler – Cori GauffGauff (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Eva LysLys (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Sofia KeninKenin – Marta KostyukKostyuk (5-7 7-67 7-65) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (7-68 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Paula BadosaBadosa – Elise MertensMertens (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Clara TausonTauson – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (7-65 3-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Ljubomir CelebicCelebic – Martins PodzusPodzus (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Maxim KrapivinKrapivin (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Pierre FaivreFaivre – Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Artem DubrivnyyDubrivnyy – Sebastian PrechtelPrechtel (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva – Kenneth RaismaRaisma (7-5 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Stefan MicovMicov (2-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- David PichlerPichler – Maxime TchoutakianTchoutakian (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Maxim RatniukRatniuk (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Alycia ParksParks (3-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (7-5 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Clara TausonTauson (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mccartney KesslerKessler – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (3-4) – H2H and prediction
- Sofia KeninKenin – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Peyton StearnsStearns – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-0) – H2H and prediction