Sebastian Baez and Mariano Navone will play each other in the 2nd round of the Rio Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 6:30 pm on QUADRA 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mariano Navone who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Mariano Navone is the pick to win this match.
Mariano Navone -> 1.9
Sebastian Baez -> 1.9

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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Mariano Navone

This will be the 2nd time that Sebastian Baez and Mariano Navone clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Baez (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Baez won 6-2 6-1 in the final in Rio de janeiro back in 2024.

Highlights Sebastian Baez vs Mariano Navone – Rio de janeiro 25-February-2024

Sebastian Baez

Sebastian Baez

6 - 4win/loss

Hard
0-2
I Hard
0-0
Clay
6-2
Rank
39
High
18
LLLLLLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-15 0-4 16-11 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 31-28 5-9 26-11 0-5 0-3 0-0
2023 33-27 9-7 22-13 1-5 1-2 0-0
2022 35-32 6-12 27-12 0-6 2-2 0-0
2021 56-16 2-1 52-12 2-2 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 31, Sebastian got to the 2nd round after beating Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-3 7-5.

In the 1st round, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Andres Burruchaga (6-3 7-5). During the match, Baez scored 68 points vs Andres Burruchaga’s 52. Baez was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, Baez struck 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 71% of his first serves in, winning 62% (28/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 78% (14/18) on the 2nd serve. Baez broke Andres Burruchaga 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Baez has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (256-153). 5-2 on clay in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Baez has a composed 217-91 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Sebastian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Rosario Challenger.

The Argentine has a compiled 5-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rio de Janeiro

Rio de Janeiro
Baez's Record

Mariano Navone

Mariano Navone

5 - 6win/loss

Hard
1-3
I Hard
1-1
Clay
3-2
Rank
89
High
29
LWWLLWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-17 2-5 14-11 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 30-28 2-7 27-14 1-4 0-3 0-0
2023 40-23 0-1 40-21 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 44-25 0-1 44-24 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 40-24 0-0 40-24 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 46, Navone got to the 2nd round after defeating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-4 6-3.

In the 1st round, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Carballes Baena (6-4 6-3). During the match Navone scored 64 points vs Carballes Baena’s 52. Navone was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Navone struck 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mariano Navone lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Navone put 64% of his first serves in, winning 74% (29/39) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (8/22) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Carballes Baena 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).

Navone has an overall 5-5 win-loss record in 2025, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rio de Janeiro

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2024. See his history.

Rio de Janeiro
Navone's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

S.Baez
M.Navone
1h:37
1h:37
Time on court​
1h:36
1h:36
1h:37
1h:37
Last match​
1h:36
1h:36
1
1
Match played
1
1
21
21
Games Played​
19
19
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
68
68
Total points​
64
64
68
68
Avg point​
64
64
28
28
Winners
29
29
28
28
Avg Winners​
29
29
41%
41%
Ratio winners
45%
45%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
3
3
2
2
Avg Aces
3
3
2
2
Double Faults
2
2
2
2
Avg Double Faults
2
2
28/45
28/45
1st won total​
29/39
29/39
62%
62%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
14/18
14/18
2nd won total​
8/22
8/22
!
78%
78%
2nd won %
!
36%
36%
-- Break Points --
4/7
4/7
BP won
5/6
5/6
4/7
4/7
Avg BP won
5/6
5/6
!
57%
57%
Won
!
83%
83%
6
6
Conceded
7
7
6
6
Avg Conceded
7
7
2
2
Broken
2
2
2
2
Avg Broken
2
2
4
4
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Baez Navone
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 21 19
Pts 68-52 64-52
Total Points 120 116
Winners 28 29
%Winners 41% 45%

Both Baez and Navone played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Baez and Navone have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Baez played 2 games more than Navone. Sebastian scored 28 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine blasted 29 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve Baez Navone
Aces 2 3
Avg per match 2 3
1st in 45/63 39/61
%1st in 71% 64%
1st pts 28/45 29/39
%1st pts 62% 74%
2nd pts 14/18 8/22
%2nd pts 78% 36%

Baez fired 2 aces . Navone bagged 3 aces . Baez won 62% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 78% of the points. On the other side, Navone won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 36% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Baez Navone
Won 4 5
Converted 4/7 5/6
% Converted 57% 83%
Conceded 6 7
Saved 4 5
% Saved 67% 71%
Times Broken 2 2

The Argentine broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Baez lost his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponent 5 times with a 83% conversion rate. Navone conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Baez
R1
Andres
Total
Score 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 21 21
pts 68-52 68-52
Total points 120 120
Winners 28 28
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 45/63 45/63
% 1st in 71% 71%
1st pts 28/45 28/45
% 1st pts 62% 62%
2nd pts 14/18 14/18
% 2nd pts 78% 78%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/7 4/7
Converted % 57% 57%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 4/6 4
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 2 2
Navone
R1
Carballes Baena
Total
Score 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 64-52 64-52
Total points 116 116
Winners 29 29
%Winners 45% 45%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 39/61 39/61
% 1st in 64% 64%
1st pts 29/39 29/39
% 1st pts 74% 74%
2nd pts 8/22 8/22
% 2nd pts 36% 36%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/6 5/6
Converted % 83% 83%
Conceded 7 7
Saved 5/7 5
Saved % 71% 71%
Times Broken 2 2

Tennis Scores in Rio De Janeiro

  • Alexander ZverevZverevBu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
  • Jaime FariaFariaTomas Barrios VeraBarrios Vera (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
  • Alexandre MullerMullerJoao FonsecaFonseca (6-1 7-64) – See score progression
  • Damir DzumhurDzumhurDusan LajovicLajovic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Sebastian BaezBaezRoman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
  • Francisco CerundoloCerundoloHugo GastonGaston (7-69 6-0) – See score progression
  • Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin EtcheverryCorentin MoutetMoutet (6-3 7-61) – See score progression
  • Mariano NavoneNavoneRoberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
  • Orlando Luz/Felipe Meligeni AlvesLuz/Felipe Meligeni AlvesAriel Behar/Robert GallowayBehar/Robert Galloway (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
  • Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo CarabelliPedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
  • Luciano DarderiDarderiHugo DellienDellien (7-62 2-2 ret.) – See score progression
  • Francisco Cabral/Jean-Julien RojerCabral/Jean-Julien RojerAlexander Erler/Constantin FrantzenErler/Constantin Frantzen (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
  • Nicolas JarryJarryJuan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
  • Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura MonteiroFacundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta (3-6 6-3 7-63) – See score progression
  • Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien ReboulSantiago Gonzalez/Lucas MiedlerGonzalez/Lucas Miedler (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
  • Chun Hsin TsengHsin TsengAlejandro TabiloTabilo (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
  • Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres MolteniSander Arends/Luke JohnsonArends/Luke Johnson (7-66 4-6 10-7) – See score progression
  • Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar ClarThiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (6-4 3-6 6-0) – See score progression
  • Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenkoFelipe Meligeni AlvesMeligeni Alves (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
  • Francisco ComesanaComesanaGustavo HeideHeide (7-62 6-77 6-3) – See score progression
  • Alexandre MullerMullerJoao FonsecaFonseca (6-1 7-6(4)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw