Jasmine Paolini and Sofia Kenin will face off in the 3rd round of the Dubai Duty Free Championships for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 1:00 pm on COURT 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 2 sets.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.38
Sofia Kenin -> 3.04
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Sofia Kenin
This will be the 3rd time that Jasmine Paolini and Sofia Kenin square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Kenin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Kenin won 7-5 6-1
in the quarter in Guangzhou back in 2019.Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-21 | 27-12 | 13-3 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Jasmine got to the 3rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Eva Lys 6-2 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Jasmine had a good straight sets win against Lys (6-2 7-5). During the match, Paolini scored 67 points vs Lys’s 51. Paolini was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paolini was unable to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and she committed only 1 double fault. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 64% of her first serves in, winning 67% (24/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Lys 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).
Paolini has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (316-234). 6-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Paolini has a compiled 110-89 match record in the last years on hard.
Paolini has a compiled 6-3 win-loss record in 2025, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Sofia Kenin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 31-26 | 19-18 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 16-26 | 10-17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-21 | 17-12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 10-17 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 11-10 | 7-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 56, Kenin reached the 3rd round after defeating Donna Vekic 7-5 6-3 and Marta Kostyuk 5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(5).
In the 2nd round against Kostyuk, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-67 7-65). During the match Kenin scored 124 points vs Kostyuk’s 123. Sofia was quite aggressive to blast 60 winners.
About the serving games, Kenin wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Sofia Kenin lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Kenin put 71% of her first serves in, winning 66% (60/91) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (20/38) on the 2nd serve. Kenin broke Kostyuk 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sofia has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.
Sofia has an aggregate 9-5 win-loss record in 2025, 9-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Dubai
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 59 |
| Pts | 67-51 | 188-179 |
| Total Points | 118 | 367 |
| Winners | 24 | 95 |
| %Winners | 36% | 51% |
Paolini played 1 match while Kenin competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Sofia Kenin dropped 1 set while Jasmine Paolini hasn’t conceded a set so far. Paolini has played 3 set(s) less than Kenin (2 vs 5). Therefore, Paolini played 39 games less than Kenin. Paolini scored 24 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 95 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 36/56 | 136/188 |
| %1st in | 64% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 24/36 | 95/136 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 28/52 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 54% |
Paolini didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Kenin struck 5 aces (2.5 per match). Paolini won 67% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Kenin won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Kenin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/15 |
| % Converted | 60% | 40% |
| Conceded | 5 | 10 |
| Saved | 2 | 6 |
| % Saved | 40% | 60% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
The Italian broke her opponent 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Paolini dropped her serve 3 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. Sofia conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | |||
| R2 Lys | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 67-51 | 67-51 | |
| Total points | 118 | 118 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 36/56 | 36/56 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 24/36 | 24/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Kenin | ||||
| R1 Vekic | R2 Kostyuk | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 5-7 7-67 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 38 | 59 | |
| pts | 64-56 | 124-123 | 188-179 | |
| Total points | 120 | 247 | 367 | |
| Winners | 35 | 60 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 48% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 45/59 | 91/129 | 136/188 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 71% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 35/45 | 60/91 | 95/136 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 66% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 20/38 | 28/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 53% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/8 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 38% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/10 | 6 | |
| Saved % | – | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
Tennis Scores in Dubai
- Sofia KeninKenin – Marta KostyukKostyuk (5-7 7-67 7-65) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (7-68 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Mccartney KesslerKessler – Cori GauffGauff (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Eva LysLys (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Clara TausonTauson – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (7-65 3-6 7-64) – See score progression
- Paula BadosaBadosa – Elise MertensMertens (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Ljubomir CelebicCelebic – Martins PodzusPodzus (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich – Maxim KrapivinKrapivin (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Pierre FaivreFaivre – Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Artem DubrivnyyDubrivnyy – Sebastian PrechtelPrechtel (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva – Kenneth RaismaRaisma (7-5 1-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Stefan MicovMicov (2-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- David PichlerPichler – Maxime TchoutakianTchoutakian (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Maxim RatniukRatniuk (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Clara TausonTauson – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (7-6(5) 3-6 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
- Mccartney KesslerKessler – Cori GauffGauff (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Sofia KeninKenin – Marta KostyukKostyuk (5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Eva LysLys (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Emma RaducanuRaducanu – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Alycia ParksParks (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Belinda BencicBencic – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Peyton StearnsStearns (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Clara TausonTauson (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (3-4) – H2H and prediction
- Sofia KeninKenin – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-0) – H2H and prediction