Alexey Vatutin and Lucas Poullain will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Pau Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lucas Poullain who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lucas Poullain is the pick to win this match.
Lucas Poullain -> 1.86
Alexey Vatutin -> 1.86

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Prediction and head to head Alexey Vatutin vs. Lucas Poullain

This will be the 3^rd time that Alexey Vatutin and Lucas Poullain clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Poullain won 6-4 6-2 in the qualifications in the Lille Challenger back in February 2025.

Alexey Vatutin

Ranked no. 330, Vatutin reached the qualifications after defeating Arthur Reymond 7-5 2-6 6-4.

In the qualifications, Vatutin defeated Reymond (7-5 2-6 6-4). During the match, Vatutin scored 96 points vs Reymond’s 90. Vatutin was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about the service games, Vatutin scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 3 double faults. Alexey Vatutin lost the serve 5 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Vatutin put 61% of his first serves in, winning 66% (35/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (18/34) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Reymond 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).

Vatutin has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 54% of his matches (334-285). 4-4 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Vatutin has an aggregate 114-102 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.

Alexey has an aggregate 4-4 win-loss record in 2025, 4-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Pau Challenger

Lucas Poullain

Ranked no. 438, Poullain reached the qualifications after beating Kaito Uesugi 6-3 6-3.

In the qualifications, The French player had a good straight sets win against Uesugi (6-3 6-3). During the match Poullain scored 69 points vs Uesugi’s 55. The French player was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about serving, Poullain struck 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Lucas Poullain lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Poullain put 72% of his first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 35% (6/17) on the 2nd serve. Poullain broke Uesugi 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Poullain has an overall 6-6 win-loss record in 2025, 6-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Pau Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Vatutin	Poullain
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	2
Tot Games	30	18
Pts	96-90	69-55
Total Points	186	124
Winners	35	30
%Winners	36%	43%

Both Vatutin and Poullain played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Alexey Vatutin conceded 1 set while Lucas Poullain hasn’t lost a set so far. Vatutin has played 1 set more than Poullain (3 vs 2). Therefore, Vatutin played 12 games more than Poullain. Alexey scored 35 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Lucas recorded 30 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Vatutin	Poullain
Aces	1	2
Avg per match	1	2
1st in	53/87	43/60
%1st in	61%	72%
1st pts	35/53	30/43
%1st pts	66%	70%
2nd pts	18/34	6/17
%2nd pts	53%	35%

Vatutin made 1 ace . Poullain also fired 2 aces . Vatutin won 66% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Poullain won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 35% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Vatutin	Poullain
Won	5	5
Converted	5/13	5/10
% Converted	38%	50%
Conceded	10	4
Saved	5	2
% Saved	50%	50%
Times Broken	5	2

Alexey broke his opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Alexey lost his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Lucas broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Vatutin
	Q1 Reymond	Total
Score	7-5 2-6 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	30	30
pts	96-90	96-90
Total points	186	186
Winners	35	35
%Winners	36%	36%
SERVE
Aces	1	1
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	53/87	53/87
% 1st in	61%	61%
1st pts	35/53	35/53
% 1st pts	66%	66%
2nd pts	18/34	18/34
% 2nd pts	53%	53%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/13	5/13
Converted %	38%	38%
Conceded	10	10
Saved	5/10	5
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	5	5

Poullain
	Q1 Uesugi	Total
Score	6-3 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	69-55	69-55
Total points	124	124
Winners	30	30
%Winners	43%	43%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	3	3
1st in	43/60	43/60
% 1st in	72%	72%
1st pts	30/43	30/43
% 1st pts	70%	70%
2nd pts	6/17	6/17
% 2nd pts	35%	35%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/10	5/10
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	2/4	2
Saved %	50%	50%
Times Broken	2	2

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