Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Barrios Vera will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Rio Open for the 6^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 5:00 pm on QUADRA GUGA KUERTEN. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.58
Tomas Barrios Vera -> 2.26

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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Tomas Barrios Vera

This will be the 6^th time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Barrios Vera clash against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Ugo Carabelli (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Ugo Carabelli won 2-6 6-2 7-6(6) in the quarter in the Temuco Challenger back in 2024.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Ranked no. 87 (career-high), Camilo got to the qualifications after beating Karue Sell 6-4 4-6 6-4.

In the qualifications, Camilo defeated Sell (6-4 4-6 6-4). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 95 points vs Sell’s 84. Camilo was pretty aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli was unable to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Camilo Ugo Carabelli was very effective on serve to win 74% (48/65) of his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Camilo broke Sell 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Ugo Carabelli has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (354-201). 8-2 on clay in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ugo Carabelli has a composed 321-170 record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Rosario Challenger where he defeated Hugo Dellien in the final 3-6 6-3 6-2.

Camilo has an aggregate 8-3 win-loss record in 2025, 8-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rio de Janeiro

Tomas Barrios Vera

Ranked no. 138, Tomas Barrios Vera reached the qualifications after defeating Cristian Garin 6-4 6-3.

In the qualifications, The Chilean had a good straight sets win against Garin (6-4 6-3). During the match Tomas Barrios Vera scored 73 points vs Garin’s 64. The Chilean was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Tomas Barrios Vera blasted 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tomas Barrios Vera conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 8 break points. Furthermore, Tomas Barrios Vera put 60% of his first serves in, winning 66% (29/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (18/29) on the 2nd serve. Marcelo broke Garin 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Tomas Barrios Vera’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in the Punta Del Este Challenger.

The Chilean has an overall 6-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Rio de Janeiro

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2024. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Ugo Carabelli	Tomas Barrios Vera
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	2
Tot Games	30	19
Pts	95-84	73-64
Total Points	179	137
Winners	48	29
%Winners	51%	40%

Both Ugo Carabelli and Tomas Barrios Vera played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Camilo Ugo Carabelli dropped 1 set while Tomas Barrios Vera hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Ugo Carabelli has played 1 set more than Tomas Barrios Vera (3 vs 2). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 11 games more than Tomas Barrios Vera. Camilo scored 48 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Marcelo struck 29 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Ugo Carabelli	Tomas Barrios Vera
Aces	0	5
Avg per match	0	5
1st in	65/81	44/73
%1st in	80%	60%
1st pts	48/65	29/44
%1st pts	74%	66%
2nd pts	9/16	18/29
%2nd pts	56%	62%

Ugo Carabelli didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Tomas Barrios Vera blasted 5 aces . Ugo Carabelli won 74% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Tomas Barrios Vera won 66% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Ugo Carabelli	Tomas Barrios Vera
Won	3	3
Converted	3/6	3/6
% Converted	50%	50%
Conceded	3	8
Saved	1	8
% Saved	33%	100%
Times Broken	2	0

The Argentine broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli dropped his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Tomas Barrios Vera broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Tomas Barrios Vera was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 8 break points.

Ugo Carabelli
	Q1 Sell	Total
Score	6-4 4-6 6-4
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	30	30
pts	95-84	95-84
Total points	179	179
Winners	48	48
%Winners	51%	51%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	65/81	65/81
% 1st in	80%	80%
1st pts	48/65	48/65
% 1st pts	74%	74%
2nd pts	9/16	9/16
% 2nd pts	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/6	3/6
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	3	3
Saved	1/3	1
Saved %	33%	33%
Times Broken	2	2

Tomas Barrios Vera
	Q1 Garin	Total
Score	6-4 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	19	19
pts	73-64	73-64
Total points	137	137
Winners	29	29
%Winners	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	44/73	44/73
% 1st in	60%	60%
1st pts	29/44	29/44
% 1st pts	66%	66%
2nd pts	18/29	18/29
% 2nd pts	62%	62%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/6	3/6
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	8	8
Saved	8/8	8
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

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