Luca Nardi and Mikhail Kukushkin will play each other in the qualifications of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on GRANDSTAND 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Luca Nardi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Luca Nardi is the pick to win this match.
Luca Nardi -> 1.51
Mikhail Kukushkin -> 2.42
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Prediction and head to head Luca Nardi vs. Mikhail Kukushkin
There is no head to head record between Luca Nardi and Mikhail Kukushkin since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Luca Nardi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-10 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-27 | 14-14 | 8-5 | 9-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-36 | 20-10 | 8-13 | 12-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 5-2 | 11-10 | 17-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 3-3 | 26-13 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 83, Luca reached the qualifications after defeating Yasutaka Uchiyama 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Luca had a good straight sets win against Uchiyama (6-4 6-4). During the match, Nardi scored 67 points vs Uchiyama’s 54. Nardi was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Nardi managed to score 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Luca Nardi was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (29/38) of his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nardi broke Uchiyama twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Nardi has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 57% of his matches (163-125). 4-2 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nardi has an aggregate53-33 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Luca’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in the Koblenz Challenger.
Nardi has an overall 10-5 win-loss record in 2025, 4-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Nardi has never competed in this tournament before.
Mikhail Kukushkin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-10 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-32 | 24-10 | 10-9 | 12-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-24 | 17-11 | 3-5 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 18-11 | 0-2 | 13-11 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-24 | 8-9 | 0-6 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 110, the Kazakhstani got to the qualifications after beating Daniel Merida Aguilar 6-2 6-4.
In the qualifications, Mikhail had a good straight sets win against Merida Aguilar (6-2 6-4). During the match Kukushkin scored 67 points vs Merida Aguilar’s 49. The Kazakhstani was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Kukushkin wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Mikhail Kukushkin lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kukushkin put 87% of his first serves in, winning 67% (31/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (3/7) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Merida Aguilar 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Kukushkin has an overall 6-6 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nardi | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 18 |
| Pts | 67-54 | 67-49 |
| Total Points | 121 | 116 |
| Winners | 29 | 31 |
| %Winners | 43% | 46% |
Both Nardi and Kukushkin played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Nardi and Kukushkin have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Nardi played 2 games more than Kukushkin. Nardi scored 29 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Kukushkin made 31 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nardi | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 0 |
| 1st in | 38/57 | 46/53 |
| %1st in | 67% | 87% |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 31/46 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 3/7 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 43% |
Nardi blasted 3 aces . Kukushkin didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Nardi won 76% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Kukushkin won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nardi | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 5 |
| Converted | 2/7 | 5/12 |
| % Converted | 29% | 42% |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 |
| Saved | 0 | 2 |
| % Saved | 0% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 |
Luca broke his opponent twice with a 29% conversion rate. The Italian had a solid display on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 0 break points. Mikhail broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Mikhail conceded his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Nardi | |||
| Q1 Uchiyama |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 67-54 | 67-54 | |
| Total points | 121 | 121 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 38/57 | 38/57 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 29/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 13/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 2/7 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Kukushkin | |||
| Q1 Merida |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 67-49 | 67-49 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 46/53 | 46/53 | |
| % 1st in | 87% | 87% | |
| 1st pts | 31/46 | 31/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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