Matteo Arnaldi and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will face off in the semifinal of the Delray Beach Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 8:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.89
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 1.909
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
This will be the 3rd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Arnaldi won 6-1 6-3 in the 2nd round in Dallas back in February 2025.
Highlights Matteo Arnaldi vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Dallas 06-February-2025
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-11 | 6-6 | 5-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 38, the Italian reached the semifinal after defeating Unknown Player bye, Learner Tien 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(1) and Brandon Nakashima 7-6(2) 6-4.
In the quarter, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Nakashima (7-62 6-4). During the match, Arnaldi scored 72 points vs Nakashima’s 56. Matteo was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about the service games, Arnaldi managed to score 8 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults. Matteo Arnaldi was pretty efficient on serve to win 79% (27/34) of his 1st serve and 81% (21/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Nakashima once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Matteo has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Arnaldi has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (221-137). 3-2 on hard in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaldi has a composed77-43 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Italian has a composed 5-3 win-loss record in 2025, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Delray Beach
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
9 - 4win/loss
26
21
LLWLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 21-12 | 13-7 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 60, Davidovich Fokina reached the semifinal after defeating Taro Daniel 6-2 7-6(2), Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-2 5-7 6-0 and Taylor Fritz 7-6(4) 7-6(5).
In the quarter, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Fritz (7-64 7-65). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 85 points vs Fritz’s 83. Davidovich Fokina was very aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Talking about serving, Davidovich Fokina made 2 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Davidovich Fokina put 77% of his first serves in, winning 67% (47/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (9/21) on the 2nd serve. Davidovich Fokina was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Fritz 3 times.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Davidovich Fokina has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Alejandro has an aggregate 8-4 win-loss record in 2025, 7-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Delray Beach
Alejandro has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 59 | 73 |
| Pts | 188-168 | 258-225 |
| Total Points | 356 | 483 |
| Winners | 87 | 130 |
| %Winners | 46% | 50% |
Arnaldi played 2 matches while Davidovich Fokina competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Arnaldi surrendered 1 set, while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina surrendered 1 set. Arnaldi has played 2 set(s) less than Davidovich Fokina (5 vs 7). Therefore, Arnaldi played 14 games less than Davidovich Fokina. Arnaldi scored 87 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard struck 130 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 32 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 16 | 6 |
| 1st in | 111/179 | 194/259 |
| %1st in | 62% | 75% |
| 1st pts | 87/111 | 130/194 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 38/68 | 28/65 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 43% |
Arnaldi recorded 32 aces (16 per match). Davidovich Fokina made 18 aces (6 per match). Arnaldi won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 13 |
| Converted | 4/10 | 13/22 |
| % Converted | 40% | 59% |
| Conceded | 15 | 22 |
| Saved | 11 | 15 |
| % Saved | 73% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 |
Arnaldi broke his opponents 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Alejandro broke his opponents 13 times with a 59% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | ||||
| R2 Tien |
1/4 Nakashima |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 4-6 7-61 | 7-62 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 23 | 59 | |
| pts | 116-112 | 72-56 | 188-168 | |
| Total points | 228 | 128 | 356 | |
| Winners | 60 | 27 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 38% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 24 | 8 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 77/119 | 34/60 | 111/179 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 57% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 60/77 | 27/34 | 87/111 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 79% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/42 | 21/26 | 38/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 81% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 1/2 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 50% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 1 | 15 | |
| Saved | 10/14 | 1/1 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 100% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Davidovich Fokina | |||||
| R1 Daniel |
R2 Mcdonald |
1/4 Fritz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-62 | 6-2 5-7 6-0 | 7-64 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 26 | 26 | 73 | |
| pts | 70-54 | 103-88 | 85-83 | 258-225 | |
| Total points | 124 | 191 | 168 | 483 | |
| Winners | 34 | 49 | 47 | 130 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 48% | 55% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | 2 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 46/66 | 78/102 | 70/91 | 194/259 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 76% | 77% | 75% | |
| 1st pts | 34/46 | 49/78 | 47/70 | 130/194 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 63% | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/20 | 9/24 | 9/21 | 28/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 38% | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 7 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 7/16 | 3/3 | 13/22 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 44% | 100% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 11 | 8 | 22 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 8/11 | 5/8 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 73% | 63% | 102% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLWWWWLLL
LLWLWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Delray Beach
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Taylor FritzFritz (7-64 7-65) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Cameron NorrieNorrie (7-63 7-5) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Marcos GironGiron (2-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Robert Cash/James TracyCash/James Tracy – Nicolas Barrientos/Rithvik Choudary BollipalliBarrientos/Rithvik Choudary Bollipalli (7-64 4-6 10-2) – See score progression
- Christian Harrison/Evan KingHarrison/Evan King – Ariel Behar/Robert GallowayBehar/Robert Galloway (7-5 6-77 10-5) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (7-6(4) 7-6(5)) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – (0-2) – H2H and prediction
