Iga Swiatek and Jelena Ostapenko will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Qatar TotalEnergies Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.153
Jelena Ostapenko -> 5.4
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Jelena Ostapenko
This will be the 5th time that Iga Swiatek and Jelena Ostapenko square off. The head to head is 4-0 for Ostapenko (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Ostapenko won 3-6 6-3 6-1 in the 4th round in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.
Highlights Jelena Ostapenko vs Iga Swiatek – U.S. Open 03-September-2023
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-8 | 21-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Pole got to the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, Maria Sakkari 6-3 6-2, Linda Noskova 6-7(1) 6-4 6-4 and Elena Rybakina 6-2 7-5.
In the quarter, Iga had a good straight sets win against Rybakina (6-2 7-5). During the match, Swiatek scored 72 points vs Rybakina ‘s 57. The Pole was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek scored just 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 1 double fault. Iga Swiatek lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 68% of her first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Rybakina 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Swiatek has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points she played.
Swiatek has an impressive match record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (361-78). 12-2 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has an aggregate 174-44 match record in the last years on hard.
Iga’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Australia.
The Pole has an aggregate 12-2 win-loss record in 2025, 12-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Jelena Ostapenko
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-10 | 6-8 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 14-10 | 8-6 | 4-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 21-15 | 7-4 | 1-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-19 | 19-10 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-19 | 12-9 | 5-4 | 7-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 37, Ostapenko reached the semifinal after defeating Aoi Ito 6-2 6-1, Liudmila Samsonova 7-6(5) 7-5, Jasmine Paolini 6-2 6-2 and Ons Jabeur 6-2 6-2.
In the quarter, The Latvian had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (6-2 6-2). During the match Ostapenko scored 64 points vs Jabeur’s 44. The Latvian was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Ostapenko made 4 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 60% of her first serves in, winning 71% (25/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. The Latvian broke Jabeur 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ostapenko hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
The Latvian has a compiled 5-4 win-loss record in 2025, 5-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2016. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 70 | 72 |
| Pts | 232-200 | 269-194 |
| Total Points | 432 | 463 |
| Winners | 101 | 92 |
| %Winners | 44% | 34% |
Swiatek played 3 matches while Ostapenko competed in 4 matches. At the moment, Iga Swiatek conceded 1 set while Jelena Ostapenko hasn’t conceded a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Ostapenko (7 vs 8). Therefore, Swiatek played 2 games less than Ostapenko. Iga scored 101 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Ostapenko struck 92 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 2.7 | 6 |
| 1st in | 149/227 | 125/227 |
| %1st in | 66% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 101/149 | 92/125 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 42/78 | 46/102 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 45% |
Swiatek struck 8 aces (2.7 per match). Ostapenko blasted 24 aces (6 per match). Swiatek won 68% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Ostapenko won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Ostapenko |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 22 |
| Converted | 13/25 | 22/38 |
| % Converted | 52% | 58% |
| Conceded | 18 | 17 |
| Saved | 13 | 9 |
| % Saved | 72% | 53% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 8 |
Iga broke her opponents 13 times with a 52% conversion rate. Swiatek dropped her serve 5 times and she saved 72% of the break points that she conceded. Jelena broke her opponents 22 times with a 58% conversion rate. Ostapenko conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | |||||
| R2 Sakkari |
R3 Noskova |
1/4 Rybakina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-71 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 33 | 20 | 70 | |
| pts | 62-42 | 98-101 | 72-57 | 232-200 | |
| Total points | 104 | 199 | 129 | 432 | |
| Winners | 27 | 44 | 30 | 101 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 38/56 | 68/108 | 43/63 | 149/227 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 63% | 68% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 27/38 | 44/68 | 30/43 | 101/149 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 65% | 70% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 22/40 | 12/20 | 42/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 55% | 60% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/7 | 4/9 | 13/25 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 57% | 44% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 8 | 4 | 18 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 6/8 | 3/4 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 75% | 75% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Ostapenko | ||||||
| R1 Ito |
R2 Samsonova |
R3 Paolini |
1/4 Jabeur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | 7-65 7-5 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 25 | 16 | 16 | 72 | |
| pts | 60-34 | 84-75 | 61-41 | 64-44 | 269-194 | |
| Total points | 94 | 159 | 102 | 108 | 463 | |
| Winners | 17 | 28 | 22 | 25 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 33% | 36% | 39% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 20/42 | 41/76 | 29/51 | 35/58 | 125/227 | |
| % 1st in | 48% | 54% | 57% | 60% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 17/20 | 28/41 | 22/29 | 25/35 | 92/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 68% | 76% | 71% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 13/35 | 11/22 | 10/23 | 46/102 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 37% | 50% | 43% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 22 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/10 | 5/8 | 5/11 | 22/38 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 60% | 63% | 45% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 17 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 3/8 | 2/3 | 3/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 38% | 67% | 75% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWLWW
LWWWWWLWLL Tennis Scores in Doha
- Shuichi SekiguchiSekiguchi – Harry BourchierBourchier (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ji Sung NamSung Nam – Shintaro ImaiImai (6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (4-0) – H2H and prediction
