H2H, prediction of Mariano Navone vs Joao Fonseca in Buenos Aires with odds, preview, pick | 14th February 2025

PREVIEW. Buenos Aires. Navone and Fonseca will square off in the quarter of the Argentina Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Friday the 14th of February

Prediction and head to head Mariano Navone vs. Joao Fonseca

Mariano Navone and Joao Fonseca will clash against each other in the quarter of the Argentina Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on COURT GUILLERMO VILAS. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Joao Fonseca who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Joao Fonseca is the pick to win this match.
Joao Fonseca -> 1.52
Mariano Navone -> 2.53

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Mariano Navone vs. Joao Fonseca

This will be the 3rd time that Mariano Navone and Joao Fonseca play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Navone and Fonseca (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Navone won 2-6 6-3 6-3 in the quarter in Rio de janiero back in 2024.

Highlights Mariano Navone vs Joao Fonseca – Rio de janiero 23-February-2024

Mariano Navone

Mariano Navone
Mariano Navone

4 - 5win/loss

Hard
1-3
I Hard
1-1
Clay
2-1
Rank
89
High
29
LWWLLWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-17 2-5 14-11 1-1 0-0 0-0
2024 30-28 2-7 27-14 1-4 0-3 0-0
2023 40-23 0-1 40-21 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 44-25 0-1 44-24 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 40-24 0-0 40-24 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 47, the Argentine got to the quarter after defeating Francisco Comesana 6-4 6-4 and Holger Rune 6-1 7-6(2).

In the 2nd round, Navone had a good straight sets win against Rune (6-1 7-62). During the match, Navone scored 76 points vs Rune’s 56. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Regarding the service games, Navone fired 4 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Mariano Navone was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (32/42) of his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Navone broke Rune twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Mariano hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Navone has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (224-136). 2-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Navone has a composed215-113 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.

Mariano has an aggregate 4-4 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Buenos Aires

Navone
Buenos Aires
Navone's Record

Joao Fonseca

Joao Fonseca
Joao Fonseca

12 - 2win/loss

Hard
9-1
I Hard
0-1
Clay
3-0
Rank
57
High
57
LWWLLLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 25-9 17-3 8-5 0-1 0-0 0-0
2024 37-23 8-3 14-11 13-5 2-4 0-0
2023 11-6 1-1 10-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2022 5-4 0-0 5-4 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 99, the Brazilian reached the quarter after defeating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-3 6-3 and Federico Coria 2-6 6-4 6-2.

In the 2nd round against Coria, Joao recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-2). During the match Fonseca scored 84 points vs Coria’s 83. The Brazilian was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

About the serving games, Fonseca scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Joao Fonseca lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Fonseca put 60% of his first serves in, winning 69% (33/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. The Brazilian broke Coria 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Joao has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Canberra Challenger where he defeated Ethan Quinn in the final 6-4 6-4.

The Brazilian has an overall 11-2 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Buenos Aires

Joao has never competed in this tournament before.

Fonseca
Buenos Aires
Fonseca's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Navone
J.Fonseca
3h:21
3h:21
Time on court​
3h:37
3h:37
1h:42
1h:42
Last match​
!
2h:12
2h:12
2
2
Match played
2
2
40
40
Games Played​
44
44
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
141
141
Total points​
146
146
70.5
70.5
Avg point​
73
73
59
59
Winners
57
57
29.5
29.5
Avg Winners​
28.5
28.5
42%
42%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
4
4
3
3
Avg Aces
2
2
3
3
Double Faults
4
4
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
2
2
59/80
59/80
1st won total​
57/84
57/84
!
74%
74%
1st won %
68%
68%
28/46
28/46
2nd won total​
25/48
25/48
!
61%
61%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
5/8
5/8
BP won
8/16
8/16
2.5/4
2.5/4
Avg BP won
4/8
4/8
!
63%
63%
Won
50%
50%
7
7
Conceded
8
8
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
4
4
1
1
Broken
4
4
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
2
2
6
6
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Navone Fonseca
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 40 44
Pts 141-109 146-134
Total Points 250 280
Winners 59 57
%Winners 42% 39%

Both Navone and Fonseca played 2 matches. At the moment, Joao Fonseca dropped 1 set while Mariano Navone hasn’t conceded a set so far. Navone has played 1 set(s) less than Fonseca (4 vs 5). Therefore, Navone played 4 games less than Fonseca. Navone scored 59 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Joao bagged 57 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Navone Fonseca
Aces 6 4
Avg per match 3 2
1st in 80/126 84/132
%1st in 63% 64%
1st pts 59/80 57/84
%1st pts 74% 68%
2nd pts 28/46 25/48
%2nd pts 61% 52%

Navone bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Fonseca scored 4 aces (2 per match). Navone won 74% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Fonseca won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Navone Fonseca
Won 5 8
Converted 5/8 8/16
% Converted 63% 50%
Conceded 7 8
Saved 6 4
% Saved 86% 50%
Times Broken 1 4

Mariano broke his opponents 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Argentine surrendered his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Fonseca broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Navone
R1
Comesana
R2
Rune
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 6-1 7-62
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 20 20 40
pts 65-53 76-56 141-109
Total points 118 132 250
Winners 27 32 59
%Winners 42% 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 2 4 6
Double Faults 3 0 3
1st in 38/61 42/65 80/126
% 1st in 62% 65% 63%
1st pts 27/38 32/42 59/80
% 1st pts 71% 76% 74%
2nd pts 13/23 15/23 28/46
% 2nd pts 57% 65% 61%
Breaks
Won 3 2 5
Converted 3/5 2/3 5/8
Converted % 60% 67% 63%
Conceded 2 5 7
Saved 1/2 5/5 6
Saved % 50% 100% 75%
Times Broken 1 0 1
Fonseca
R1
Etcheverry
R2
Coria
Total
Score 6-3 6-3 2-6 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 18 26 44
pts 62-51 84-83 146-134
Total points 113 167 280
Winners 24 33 57
%Winners 39% 39% 39%
SERVE
Aces 3 1 4
Double Faults 2 2 4
1st in 36/52 48/80 84/132
% 1st in 69% 60% 64%
1st pts 24/36 33/48 57/84
% 1st pts 67% 69% 68%
2nd pts 10/16 15/32 25/48
% 2nd pts 63% 47% 52%
Breaks
Won 4 4 8
Converted 4/9 4/7 8/16
Converted % 44% 57% 50%
Conceded 2 6 8
Saved 1/2 3/6 4
Saved % 50% 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 3 4

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Navone
LWWLLWLWWL
Fonseca
LWWLLLWLWW
2025 2024 2023
16 - 16
25 - 8
2-5
Hard
17-3
14-11
Clay
8-5
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw