Mariano Navone and Joao Fonseca will clash against each other in the quarter of the Argentina Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on COURT GUILLERMO VILAS. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Joao Fonseca who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Joao Fonseca is the pick to win this match.
Joao Fonseca -> 1.52
Mariano Navone -> 2.53
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Mariano Navone vs. Joao Fonseca
This will be the 3rd time that Mariano Navone and Joao Fonseca play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Navone and Fonseca (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Navone won 2-6 6-3 6-3 in the quarter in Rio de janiero back in 2024.
Highlights Mariano Navone vs Joao Fonseca – Rio de janiero 23-February-2024
Mariano Navone
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-17 | 2-5 | 14-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 30-28 | 2-7 | 27-14 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-23 | 0-1 | 40-21 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 0-1 | 44-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-24 | 0-0 | 40-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 47, the Argentine got to the quarter after defeating Francisco Comesana 6-4 6-4 and Holger Rune 6-1 7-6(2).
In the 2nd round, Navone had a good straight sets win against Rune (6-1 7-62). During the match, Navone scored 76 points vs Rune’s 56. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Regarding the service games, Navone fired 4 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Mariano Navone was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (32/42) of his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Navone broke Rune twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mariano hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Navone has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (224-136). 2-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Navone has a composed215-113 win-loss record in the last 8 years on clay.
Mariano has an aggregate 4-4 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Buenos Aires
Joao Fonseca
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-9 | 17-3 | 8-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-23 | 8-3 | 14-11 | 13-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 99, the Brazilian reached the quarter after defeating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-3 6-3 and Federico Coria 2-6 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Coria, Joao recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-2). During the match Fonseca scored 84 points vs Coria’s 83. The Brazilian was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Fonseca scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Joao Fonseca lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Fonseca put 60% of his first serves in, winning 69% (33/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (15/32) on the 2nd serve. The Brazilian broke Coria 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Joao has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Canberra Challenger where he defeated Ethan Quinn in the final 6-4 6-4.
The Brazilian has an overall 11-2 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Buenos Aires
Joao has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Navone | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 40 | 44 |
| Pts | 141-109 | 146-134 |
| Total Points | 250 | 280 |
| Winners | 59 | 57 |
| %Winners | 42% | 39% |
Both Navone and Fonseca played 2 matches. At the moment, Joao Fonseca dropped 1 set while Mariano Navone hasn’t conceded a set so far. Navone has played 1 set(s) less than Fonseca (4 vs 5). Therefore, Navone played 4 games less than Fonseca. Navone scored 59 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Joao bagged 57 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Navone | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 2 |
| 1st in | 80/126 | 84/132 |
| %1st in | 63% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 59/80 | 57/84 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 28/46 | 25/48 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 52% |
Navone bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Fonseca scored 4 aces (2 per match). Navone won 74% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Fonseca won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Navone | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 8 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 8/16 |
| % Converted | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 |
| Saved | 6 | 4 |
| % Saved | 86% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
Mariano broke his opponents 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Argentine surrendered his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Fonseca broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Brazilian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Navone | ||||
| R1 Comesana |
R2 Rune |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-1 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | 40 | |
| pts | 65-53 | 76-56 | 141-109 | |
| Total points | 118 | 132 | 250 | |
| Winners | 27 | 32 | 59 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/61 | 42/65 | 80/126 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 65% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 27/38 | 32/42 | 59/80 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 76% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/23 | 15/23 | 28/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 65% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 2/3 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 67% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 5/5 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fonseca | ||||
| R1 Etcheverry |
R2 Coria |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 2-6 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 26 | 44 | |
| pts | 62-51 | 84-83 | 146-134 | |
| Total points | 113 | 167 | 280 | |
| Winners | 24 | 33 | 57 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 36/52 | 48/80 | 84/132 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 60% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 24/36 | 33/48 | 57/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 69% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/16 | 15/32 | 25/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 47% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/7 | 8/16 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 57% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 3/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLWLWWL
LWWLLLWLWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Laslo DjereDjere (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (0-0) – H2H and prediction
