Matteo Arnaldi and Brandon Nakashima will fight against each other in the quarter of the Delray Beach Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 6:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.81
Matteo Arnaldi -> 2

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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Brandon Nakashima

This will be the 2^nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Brandon Nakashima fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Nakashima (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Nakashima won 2-4 4-3(7) 4-3(4) 3-4(4) 4-2 in the R in Next gen atp finals back in 2022.

Matteo Arnaldi

Ranked no. 38, the Italian reached the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye and Learner Tien 7-6(4) 4-6 7-6(1).

In the 2^nd round, The Italian defeated Tien (7-6⁴ 4-6 7-6¹). During the match, Arnaldi scored 116 points vs Tien’s 112. Matteo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 60 winners.

Regarding the service games, Arnaldi overpowered his opponent with 24 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve 4 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 65% of his first serves in, winning 78% (60/77) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (17/42) on the 2nd serve. Arnaldi broke Tien 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Arnaldi has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 62% of his matches (220-137). 2-2 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Arnaldi has a compiled76-43 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

Matteo has a composed 4-3 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Delray Beach

Brandon Nakashima

Ranked no. 43, Brandon got to the quarter after beating James Kent Trotter 7-6(2) 6-1 and Reilly Opelka 3-6 7-5 6-2.

In the 2^nd round against Opelka, Nakashima recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-5 6-2). During the match Nakashima scored 96 points vs Opelka’s 75. Nakashima was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Nakashima blasted 14 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Brandon Nakashima was pretty effective on serve to win 84% (38/45) of his 1st serve and 76% (16/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Nakashima broke Opelka 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Nakashima has a compiled 3-4 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Delray Beach

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2020. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Arnaldi	Nakashima
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	3	5
Tot Games	36	49
Pts	116-112	175-132
Total Points	228	307
Winners	60	71
%Winners	52%	41%

Arnaldi played 1 match while Nakashima competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Arnaldi surrendered 1 set, while Brandon Nakashima lost 1 set. Arnaldi has played 2 set(s) less than Nakashima (3 vs 5). Therefore, Arnaldi played 13 games less than Nakashima. Arnaldi scored 60 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, The American made 71 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Arnaldi	Nakashima
Aces	24	19
Avg per match	24	9.5
1st in	77/119	83/123
%1st in	65%	67%
1st pts	60/77	71/83
%1st pts	78%	86%
2nd pts	17/42	29/40
%2nd pts	40%	73%

Arnaldi made 24 aces . Nakashima scored 19 aces (9.5 per match). Arnaldi won 78% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 86% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 73% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Arnaldi	Nakashima
Won	3	5
Converted	3/8	5/16
% Converted	38%	31%
Conceded	14	1
Saved	10	0
% Saved	71%	0%
Times Broken	4	1

The Italian broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Arnaldi lost his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Arnaldi
	R2 Tien	Total
Score	7-64 4-6 7-61
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	36	36
pts	116-112	116-112
Total points	228	228
Winners	60	60
%Winners	52%	52%
SERVE
Aces	24	24
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	77/119	77/119
% 1st in	65%	65%
1st pts	60/77	60/77
% 1st pts	78%	78%
2nd pts	17/42	17/42
% 2nd pts	40%	40%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/8	3/8
Converted %	38%	38%
Conceded	14	14
Saved	10/14	10
Saved %	71%	71%
Times Broken	4	4

Nakashima
	R1 Kent	R2 Opelka	Total
Score	7-62 6-1	3-6 7-5 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	20	29	49
pts	79-57	96-75	175-132
Total points	136	171	307
Winners	33	38	71
%Winners	42%	40%	41%
SERVE
Aces	5	14	19
Double Faults	0	1	1
1st in	38/57	45/66	83/123
% 1st in	67%	68%	67%
1st pts	33/38	38/45	71/83
% 1st pts	87%	84%	86%
2nd pts	13/19	16/21	29/40
% 2nd pts	68%	76%	73%
Breaks
Won	2	3	5
Converted	2/8	3/8	5/16
Converted %	25%	38%	31%
Conceded	0	1	1
Saved	0/0	0/1	0
Saved %	–	0%	0%
Times Broken	0	1	1

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