Ugo Humbert and Lorenzo Sonego will square off in the quarter of the Open 13 Provence for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 5:00 pm on CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Ugo Humbert who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Ugo Humbert is the pick to win this match.
Ugo Humbert -> 1.4
Lorenzo Sonego -> 2.95
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Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Lorenzo Sonego
This will be the 7th time that Ugo Humbert and Lorenzo Sonego square off. The head to head is 3-3 for Humbert and Sonego (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Sonego won 6-4 2-6 6-4 6-3 in the 1st round in at the French Open back in 2024.
Ugo Humbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-8 | 6-5 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-24 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Ugo got to the quarter after beating Unknown Player bye and Alexander Bublik 7-6(7) 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Humbert had a good straight sets win against Bublik (7-67 6-4). During the match, Humbert scored 73 points vs Bublik’s 65. The French player was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Humbert recorded 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Ugo Humbert was very efficient on serve to win 78% (31/40) of his 1st serve and 63% (17/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Humbert broke Bublik twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Humbert has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (342-213). 2-0 on indoor hard courts in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Humbert has a compiled 104-60 win-loss record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
Humbert has an aggregate 6-2 win-loss record in 2025, 2-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Marseille
Lorenzo Sonego
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-11 | 7-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 27-33 | 10-14 | 10-11 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-31 | 10-12 | 9-7 | 9-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-29 | 7-9 | 8-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-24 | 9-11 | 9-4 | 6-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 35, Lorenzo got to the quarter after beating Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-1 3-6 6-3 and Luca Van Assche w/o.
In the 2nd round, Lorenzo defeated Van Assche (w/o). During the match Sonego and Van Assche scored the same amount of points (). However, the world no. 17 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. Sonego was not very aggressive do strike just winners.
About the serving games, Sonego couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Lorenzo Sonego conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 0% of his first serves in, win 0% (/) of the points behind his 1st serve and 0% (/) on the 2nd serve.
Sonego has a compiled 7-4 win-loss record in 2025, 1-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Marseille
Sonego has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Humbert | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 25 |
| Pts | 73-65 | 79-72 |
| Total Points | 138 | 151 |
| Winners | 31 | 40 |
| %Winners | 42% | 51% |
Both Humbert and Sonego played 1 match. At the moment, Lorenzo Sonego surrendered 1 set while Ugo Humbert hasn’t lost a set so far. Humbert has played 1 set(s) less than Sonego (2 vs 3). Therefore, Humbert played 2 games less than Sonego. The French player scored 31 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian recorded 40 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Humbert | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 7 |
| 1st in | 40/67 | 55/79 |
| %1st in | 60% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 31/40 | 40/55 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 17/27 | 13/24 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 54% |
Humbert scored 9 aces . Sonego recorded 7 aces . Humbert won 78% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Sonego won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Humbert | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 3 |
| Converted | 2/4 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 50% | 43% |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 |
| Saved | 1 | 0 |
| % Saved | 50% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Ugo broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. The French player dropped his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Lorenzo broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Lorenzo conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Humbert | |||
| R2 Bublik |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-67 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 73-65 | 73-65 | |
| Total points | 138 | 138 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 40/67 | 40/67 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 31/40 | 31/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/27 | 17/27 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Sonego | ||||
| R1 Van De Zandschulp |
R2 Van |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 3-6 6-3 | w/o | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | – | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | – | 25 | |
| pts | 79-72 | – | 79-72 | |
| Total points | 151 | – | 151 | |
| Winners | 40 | – | 40 | |
| %Winners | 51% | – | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | – | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | – | 0 | |
| 1st in | 55/79 | – | 55/79 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | – | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 40/55 | – | 40/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | – | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/24 | – | 13/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | – | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | – | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | – | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | – | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | – | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | – | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | – | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLLWLWW
LWLLLWLLLW Tennis Scores in Marseille
- Hugo Nys/Edouard Roger-VasselinNys/Edouard Roger-Vasselin – Petr Nouza/Patrik RiklNouza/Patrik Rikl (6-3 6-74 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Benjamin Bonzi/Pierre-Hugues HerbertBonzi/Pierre-Hugues Herbert – Karol Drzewiecki/Piotr MatuszewskiDrzewiecki/Piotr Matuszewski (6-72 6-4 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Hugo GrenierGrenier (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Ugo HumbertHumbert (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Zizou BergsBergs – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (2-1) – H2H and prediction
