Daniel Rincon and Nicolas Alvarez Varona will square off in the quarter of the Tenerife 2 Challenger for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 10:30 am on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Rincon who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniel Rincon is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Rincon -> 1.81
Nicolas Alvarez Varona -> 1.92

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Prediction and head to head Daniel Rincon vs. Nicolas Alvarez Varona

This will be the 2^nd time that Daniel Rincon and Nicolas Alvarez Varona clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Alvarez (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Alvarez won 6-2 6-4 in the 1^st round in the Tenerife 1 Challenger back in February 2025.

Daniel Rincon

Ranked no. 260, Daniel reached the quarter after defeating Mees Rottgering 7-6(10) 6-2 and Pedro Cachin 6-1 7-6(5).

In the 2^nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Cachin (6-1 7-6⁵). During the match, Rincon scored 80 points vs Cachin’s 62. Rincon was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rincon fired 3 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Daniel Rincon was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 71% (30/42) of his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Rincon broke Cachin 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rincon hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.

Rincon has a winning win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 58% of his matches (156-114). 2-1 on hard in 2025. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rincon has an overall40-35 match record in the last 6 years on hard.

The Spaniard’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Oeiras 1 Challenger.

Daniel has an overall 8-4 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Tenerife 2 Challenger

Nicolas Alvarez Varona

Ranked no. 336, Nicolas got to the quarter after beating Eliot Spizzirri 7-5 6-0

and Steven Diez 2-2 ret..

In the 2^nd round against Diez, the Spaniard had a free pass after Diez retired on a 2-2 . scoreline.

The Spaniard has a composed 7-2 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Tenerife 2 Challenger

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rincon	Alvarez
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	4
Tot Games	41	22
Pts	173-145	83-66
Total Points	318	149
Winners	61	44
%Winners	35%	53%

Both Rincon and Alvarez played 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rincon and Alvarez have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Rincon played 19 games more than Alvarez. The Spaniard scored 61 winners (35% of the total points). On the other side, Nicolas scored 44 winners (53%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rincon	Alvarez
Aces	10	5
Avg per match	5	2.5
1st in	91/141	65/87
%1st in	65%	75%
1st pts	61/91	44/65
%1st pts	67%	68%
2nd pts	29/50	10/22
%2nd pts	58%	45%

Rincon scored 10 aces (5 per match). Alvarez fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Rincon won 67% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Alvarez won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rincon	Alvarez
Won	8	5
Converted	8/19	5/8
% Converted	42%	63%
Conceded	12	13
Saved	9	12
% Saved	75%	92%
Times Broken	3	1

Rincon broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Spaniard conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Alvarez broke his opponents 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Alvarez conceded his serve once and he saved 92% of the break points that he conceded.

Rincon
	R1 Rottgering	R2 Cachin	Total
Score	7-610 6-2	6-1 7-65
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	21	20	41
pts	93-83	80-62	173-145
Total points	176	142	318
Winners	31	30	61
%Winners	33%	38%	35%
SERVE
Aces	7	3	10
Double Faults	3	0	3
1st in	49/83	42/58	91/141
% 1st in	59%	72%	65%
1st pts	31/49	30/42	61/91
% 1st pts	63%	71%	67%
2nd pts	18/34	11/16	29/50
% 2nd pts	53%	69%	58%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/8	4/11	8/19
Converted %	50%	36%	42%
Conceded	9	3	12
Saved	7/9	2/3	9
Saved %	78%	67%	73%
Times Broken	2	1	3

Alvarez
	R1 Spizzirri	R2 Diez	Total
Score	7-5 6-0	2-2 ret.
Tot Set	2	1	3
Tot Games	18	4	22
pts	68-51	15-15	83-66
Total points	119	30	149
Winners	37	7	44
%Winners	54%	47%	53%
SERVE
Aces	4	1	5
Double Faults	1	0	1
1st in	53/71	12/16	65/87
% 1st in	75%	75%	75%
1st pts	37/53	7/12	44/65
% 1st pts	70%	58%	68%
2nd pts	9/18	1/4	10/22
% 2nd pts	50%	25%	45%
Breaks
Won	4	1	5
Converted	4/6	1/2	5/8
Converted %	67%	50%	63%
Conceded	10	3	13
Saved	10/10	2/3	12
Saved %	100%	67%	84%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Tennis Scores in Tenerife 2 Challenger

• Alexander Merino/Christoph NegrituMerino/Christoph Negritu – Marco Bortolotti/Luis David MartinezBortolotti/Luis David Martinez (4-6 6-2 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Benjamin HassanHassan – Javier Barranco CosanoBarranco Cosano (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Filip MisolicMisolic (0-0) – H2H and prediction