Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina will clash against each other in the quarter of the Qatar TotalEnergies Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on GRANDSTAND 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.44
Elena Rybakina -> 2.79
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Elena Rybakina
This will be the 8th time that Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina clash against each other. The head to head is 4-3 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats),but they are 2-2 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Swiatek won 7-6(5) 6-4 in the semifinal in Australia back in January 2025.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina – Australia 04-January-2025
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 26-8 | 21-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Swiatek reached the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye, Maria Sakkari 6-3 6-2 and Linda Noskova 6-7(1) 6-4 6-4.
In the 3rd round against Noskova, Iga recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-71 6-4 6-4).During the match, Swiatek scored less points (3) than Noskova. In fact, the world no. 2 won 98 points vs Noskova’s. That means that Swiatek was more focused during the important points. The Pole was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Swiatek managed to score 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 63% of her first serves in, winning 65% (44/68) of the points behind her 1st serve and 55% (22/40) on the 2nd serve. Iga broke Noskova 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Swiatek has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a tremendous match record in the last 10 years having won 82% of her matches (360-78). 11-2 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has an overall 173-44 record in the last years on hard.
Iga’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Australia.
Swiatek has a composed 11-2 win-loss record in 2025, 11-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-8 | 15-7 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-11 | 23-5 | 12-2 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Rybakina got to the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye, Peyton Stearns 6-2 6-4 and Rebecca Sramkova 7-6(1) 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Elena had a good straight sets win against Sramkova (7-61 6-2). During the match Rybakina scored 74 points vs Sramkova’s 52. Rybakina was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Rybakina made 4 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 54% of her first serves in, winning 90% (27/30) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (11/26) on the 2nd serve. Elena broke Sramkova 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Rybakina hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Elena’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Australia and Abu Dhabi.
Elena has a composed 10-3 win-loss record in 2025, 10-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2024. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 39 |
| Pts | 160-143 | 140-103 |
| Total Points | 303 | 243 |
| Winners | 71 | 48 |
| %Winners | 44% | 34% |
Both Swiatek and Rybakina played 2 matches. At the moment, Iga Swiatek lost 1 set while Elena Rybakina hasn’t dropped a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set more than Rybakina (5 vs 4). Therefore, Swiatek played 11 games more than Rybakina. Iga scored 71 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Kazakhstani fired 48 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 3.5 | 5 |
| 1st in | 106/164 | 57/109 |
| %1st in | 65% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 71/106 | 48/57 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 30/58 | 21/52 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 40% |
Swiatek bagged 7 aces (3.5 per match). Rybakina made 10 aces (5 per match). Swiatek won 67% points behind her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Rybakina won 84% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 40% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 10 |
| Converted | 9/16 | 10/23 |
| % Converted | 56% | 43% |
| Conceded | 14 | 8 |
| Saved | 10 | 3 |
| % Saved | 71% | 38% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
The Pole broke her opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. Iga conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. Elena broke her opponents 10 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Kazakhstani conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 38% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||
| R2 Sakkari |
R3 Noskova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-71 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 33 | 50 | |
| pts | 62-42 | 98-101 | 160-143 | |
| Total points | 104 | 199 | 303 | |
| Winners | 27 | 44 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 38/56 | 68/108 | 106/164 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 63% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 27/38 | 44/68 | 71/106 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 65% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 22/40 | 30/58 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 55% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/7 | 9/16 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 57% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 8 | 14 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 6/8 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 75% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Rybakina | ||||
| R2 Stearns |
R3 Sramkova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 7-61 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 21 | 39 | |
| pts | 66-51 | 74-52 | 140-103 | |
| Total points | 117 | 126 | 243 | |
| Winners | 21 | 27 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 36% | 34% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 27/53 | 30/56 | 57/109 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 54% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 21/27 | 27/30 | 48/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 90% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/26 | 11/26 | 21/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 42% | 40% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 4/7 | 10/23 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 57% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 1/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 33% | 37% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWLWLWW
LWWWLLWWLW Tennis Scores in Doha
- Harry BourchierBourchier – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Shintaro ImaiImai – Palaphoom KovapituktedKovapitukted (6-0 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ji Sung NamSung Nam – Khumoun SultanovSultanov (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Shuichi SekiguchiSekiguchi – Kelsey StevensonStevenson (7-65 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (4-3) – H2H and prediction
