Jessica Pegula and Ekaterina Alexandrova will play each other in the quarter of the Qatar TotalEnergies Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 3:30 pm on GRANDSTAND 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.5
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2.59

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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova

This will be the 3^rd time that Jessica Pegula and Ekaterina Alexandrova clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Alexandrova won 3-6 6-4 6-4 in the quarter in Miami back in 2024.

Highlights Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegula – Miami 27-March-2024

Jessica Pegula

Ranked no. 5, the American got to the quarter after defeating Unknown Player bye, Elina Svitolina 6-3 7-6(3) and Daria Kasatkina 6-3 7-5.

In the 3^rd round, Pegula had a good straight sets win against Kasatkina (6-3 7-5). During the match, Pegula scored 81 points vs Kasatkina’s 71. Pegula was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pegula wasn’t able to score even 1 ace throughout the encounter and she committed only 2 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 59% of her first serves in, winning 59% (27/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 63% (20/32) on the 2nd serve. Pegula broke Kasatkina 5 times after converting 56% of her break points (5/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to conquer 54% of the points she played.

Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 66% of her matches (311-159). 7-2 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Pegula has an aggregate 211-92 record in the last years on hard.

The American’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Adelaide.

Jessica has a compiled 7-2 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Doha

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Ranked no. 26, Ekaterina got to the quarter after beating Emma Raducanu 6-3 7-5, Aryna Sabalenka 3-6 6-3 7-6(5) and Elise Mertens 6-4 6-2.

In the 3^rd round, Ekaterina had a good straight sets win against Mertens (6-4 6-2). During the match Alexandrova scored 55 points vs Mertens’s 41. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 17 winners.

About the serving games, Alexandrova managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Ekaterina Alexandrova was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (17/24) of her 1st serve and 71% (15/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Russian broke Mertens 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Linz where she beat Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.

Alexandrova has an overall 8-3 win-loss record in 2025, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Doha

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3^rd

round in 2024. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Pegula	Alexandrova
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	4	7
Tot Games	43	70
Pts	181-157	234-216
Total Points	338	450
Winners	68	88
%Winners	38%	38%

Pegula played 2 matches while Alexandrova competed in 3 matches. At the moment, Ekaterina Alexandrova lost 1 set while Jessica Pegula hasn’t lost a set so far. Pegula has played 3 set(s) less than Alexandrova (4 vs 7). Therefore, Pegula played 27 games less than Alexandrova. Pegula scored 68 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian scored 88 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Pegula	Alexandrova
Aces	2	8
Avg per match	1	2.7
1st in	112/179	137/221
%1st in	63%	62%
1st pts	68/112	88/137
%1st pts	61%	64%
2nd pts	34/67	43/84
%2nd pts	51%	51%

Pegula blasted 2 aces (1 per match). Alexandrova blasted 8 aces (2.7 per match). Pegula won 61% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 64% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Pegula	Alexandrova
Won	10	13
Converted	10/22	13/28
% Converted	45%	46%
Conceded	19	17
Saved	13	9
% Saved	68%	53%
Times Broken	6	8

Jessica broke her opponents 10 times with a 45% conversion rate. Pegula lost her serve 6 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded. Ekaterina broke her opponents 13 times with a 46% conversion rate. Ekaterina conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 53% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
	R2 Svitolina	R3 Kasatkina	Total
Score	6-3 7-63	6-3 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	22	21	43
pts	100-86	81-71	181-157
Total points	186	152	338
Winners	41	27	68
%Winners	41%	33%	38%
SERVE
Aces	2	0	2
Double Faults	2	2	4
1st in	66/101	46/78	112/179
% 1st in	65%	59%	63%
1st pts	41/66	27/46	68/112
% 1st pts	62%	59%	61%
2nd pts	14/35	20/32	34/67
% 2nd pts	40%	63%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	5	10
Converted	5/13	5/9	10/22
Converted %	38%	56%	45%
Conceded	11	8	19
Saved	7/11	6/8	13
Saved %	64%	75%	70%
Times Broken	4	2	6

Alexandrova
	R1 Raducanu	R2 Sabalenka	R3 Mertens	Total
Score	6-3 7-5	3-6 6-3 7-65	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	21	31	18	70
pts	70-63	109-112	55-41	234-216
Total points	133	221	96	450
Winners	30	41	17	88
%Winners	43%	38%	31%	38%
SERVE
Aces	1	4	3	8
Double Faults	2	1	1	4
1st in	48/76	65/100	24/45	137/221
% 1st in	63%	65%	53%	62%
1st pts	30/48	41/65	17/24	88/137
% 1st pts	63%	63%	71%	64%
2nd pts	13/28	15/35	15/21	43/84
% 2nd pts	46%	43%	71%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	4	4	13
Converted	5/8	4/15	4/5	13/28
Converted %	63%	27%	80%	46%
Conceded	8	8	1	17
Saved	5/8	4/8	0/1	9
Saved %	63%	50%	0%	57%
Times Broken	3	4	1	8

Tennis Scores in Doha

• Harry BourchierBourchier – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Shintaro ImaiImai – Palaphoom KovapituktedKovapitukted (6-0 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ji Sung NamSung Nam – Khumoun SultanovSultanov (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Shuichi SekiguchiSekiguchi – Kelsey StevensonStevenson (7-6⁵ 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Ons JabeurJabeur – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (4-2) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (4-3) – H2H and prediction