Jasmine Paolini and Jelena Ostapenko will clash against each other in the 3^rd round of the Qatar TotalEnergies Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.47
Jelena Ostapenko -> 2.68

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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Jelena Ostapenko

This will be the 3^rd time that Jasmine Paolini and Jelena Ostapenko clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Paolini and Ostapenko (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Ostapenko won 6-2 4-6 6-1 in the 1^st round in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.

Highlights Jelena Ostapenko vs Jasmine Paolini – U.S. Open 28-August-2023

Jasmine Paolini

Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Jasmine got to the 3^rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Caroline Garcia 6-3 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Garcia (6-3 6-4). During the match, Paolini scored 62 points vs Garcia’s 46. Jasmine was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.

Talking about the service games, Paolini was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jasmine Paolini was very efficient on serve to win 74% (25/34) of her 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Jasmine broke Garcia 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Paolini has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (315-233). 5-2 on hard in 2025. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paolini has an overall 109-88 record in the last years on hard.

The Italian has an overall 5-2 win-loss record in 2025, 5-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Doha

Jelena Ostapenko

Ranked no. 37, Ostapenko reached the 3^rd round after beating Aoi Ito 6-2 6-1 and Liudmila Samsonova 7-6(5) 7-5.

In the 2^nd round, Ostapenko had a good straight sets win against Samsonova (7-6⁵ 7-5). During the match Ostapenko scored 84 points vs Samsonova’s 75. Jelena was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Ostapenko bagged 5 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Jelena Ostapenko lost the serve 5 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ostapenko put 54% of her first serves in, winning 68% (28/41) of the points behind her 1st serve and 37% (13/35) on the 2nd serve. The Latvian broke Samsonova 6 times after converting 60% of her break points (6/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jelena hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

Jelena has a compiled 3-4 win-loss record in 2025, 3-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Doha

Previously, her best result was reaching the final in 2016. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Paolini	Ostapenko
Match played	1	2
Tot Set	2	4
Tot Games	19	40
Pts	62-46	144-109
Total Points	108	253
Winners	25	45
%Winners	40%	31%

Paolini played 1 match while Ostapenko competed in 2 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Paolini has played 2 set(s) less than Ostapenko (2 vs 4). Therefore, Paolini played 21 games less than Ostapenko. Paolini scored 25 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Jelena made 45 winners (31%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Paolini	Ostapenko
Aces	0	11
Avg per match	0	5.5
1st in	34/56	61/118
%1st in	61%	52%
1st pts	25/34	45/61
%1st pts	74%	74%
2nd pts	13/22	25/57
%2nd pts	59%	44%

Paolini didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Ostapenko struck 11 aces (5.5 per match). Paolini won 74% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Ostapenko won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Paolini	Ostapenko
Won	4	12
Converted	4/7	12/19
% Converted	57%	63%
Conceded	5	10
Saved	3	4
% Saved	60%	40%
Times Broken	2	6

Jasmine broke her opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Jasmine dropped her serve twice and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Jelena broke her opponents 12 times with a 63% conversion rate. The Latvian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded.

Paolini
	R2 Garcia	Total
Score	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	19	19
pts	62-46	62-46
Total points	108	108
Winners	25	25
%Winners	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	0	0
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	34/56	34/56
% 1st in	61%	61%
1st pts	25/34	25/34
% 1st pts	74%	74%
2nd pts	13/22	13/22
% 2nd pts	59%	59%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/7	4/7
Converted %	57%	57%
Conceded	5	5
Saved	3/5	3
Saved %	60%	60%
Times Broken	2	2

Ostapenko
	R1 Ito	R2 Samsonova	Total
Score	6-2 6-1	7-65 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	15	25	40
pts	60-34	84-75	144-109
Total points	94	159	253
Winners	17	28	45
%Winners	28%	33%	31%
SERVE
Aces	6	5	11
Double Faults	4	5	9
1st in	20/42	41/76	61/118
% 1st in	48%	54%	52%
1st pts	17/20	28/41	45/61
% 1st pts	85%	68%	74%
2nd pts	12/22	13/35	25/57
% 2nd pts	55%	37%	44%
Breaks
Won	6	6	12
Converted	6/9	6/10	12/19
Converted %	67%	60%	63%
Conceded	2	8	10
Saved	1/2	3/8	4
Saved %	50%	38%	88%
Times Broken	1	5	6

Tennis Scores in Doha

• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Xinyu Jiang/Fang-Hsien WuJiang/Fang-Hsien Wu – Su-Wei Hsieh/Jelena OstapenkoHsieh/Jelena Ostapenko (6-2 6-7³ 10-5) – See score progression
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Paula BadosaBadosa (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Cori GauffGauff (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Ons JabeurJabeur – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Elise MertensMertens – Cristina BucsaBucsa (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Linda NoskovaNoskova – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexandra Panova/Fanny StollarPanova/Fanny Stollar – Asia Muhammad/Demi SchuursMuhammad/Demi Schuurs (7-5 6-7³ 10-5) – See score progression
• Elise Mertens/Ellen PerezMertens/Ellen Perez – Yifan Xu/Zhaoxuan YangXu/Zhaoxuan Yang (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Magda LinetteLinette – Magdalena FrechFrech (7-5 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
• Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Mirra AndreevaAndreeva (3-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
• Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Peyton StearnsStearns (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Sara Errani/Jasmine PaoliniErrani/Jasmine Paolini – Ulrikke Eikeri/Monica NiculescuEikeri/Monica Niculescu (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (7-6⁵ 7-5) – See score progression
• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (3-6 6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Sofia KeninKenin – Alycia ParksParks (7-6³ 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (6-3 7-6³) – See score progression
• Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Emma NavarroNavarro (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Shintaro ImaiImai – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (6-4 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Kelsey StevensonStevenson – Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi (1-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Khumoun SultanovSultanov – Chayanon KaewsutoKaewsuto (6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Shuichi SekiguchiSekiguchi – Jayden CourtCourt (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Ji Sung NamSung Nam – Ryota TanumaTanuma (7-6⁷ 6-3) – See score progression
• Palaphoom KovapituktedKovapitukted – Congsup CongcarCongcar (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Harry BourchierBourchier – Finn TearneyTearney (3-0 ret.) – See score progression
• Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Hiroyasu EharaEhara (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-4 6-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Elise MertensMertens (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Marta KostyukKostyuk – Magda LinetteLinette (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Ons JabeurJabeur – Sofia KeninKenin (2-6) – H2H and prediction
• Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (0-2) – H2H and prediction