Ekaterina Alexandrova and Elise Mertens will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Qatar TotalEnergies Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on GRANDSTAND 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elise Mertens is the pick to win this match.
Elise Mertens -> 1.81
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2
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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Elise Mertens
This will be the 4th time that Ekaterina Alexandrova and Elise Mertens fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Alexandrova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Alexandrova won 4-6 6-4 6-4 in the 1st round in Tokyo back in 2021.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-14 | 5-7 | 13-4 | 4-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 26-25 | 17-13 | 1-7 | 3-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, Alexandrova got to the 3rd round after defeating Emma Raducanu 6-3 7-5 and Aryna Sabalenka 3-6 6-3 7-6(5).
In the 2nd round against Sabalenka, Ekaterina recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-65).During the match, Alexandrova scored less points (3) than Sabalenka. In fact, the world no. 26 won 109 points vs Sabalenka’s. That means that Alexandrova was more focused during the important points. Ekaterina was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alexandrova recorded 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 65% of her first serves in, winning 63% (41/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (15/35) on the 2nd serve. Alexandrova broke Sabalenka 4 times after converting 27% of her break points (4/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 51% of the points she played.
Alexandrova has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of her matches (300-199). 3-3 on hard in 2025. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Alexandrova has an overall 110-89 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Linz where she defeated Dayana Yastremska in the final 6-2 3-6 7-5.
The Russian has a composed 7-3 win-loss record in 2025, 3-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-13 | 10-6 | 6-5 | 5-0 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 28-25 | 18-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, Elise got to the 3rd round after beating Clara Tauson 6-0 ret. and Cristina Bucsa 6-2 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Mertens had a good straight sets win against Bucsa (6-2 6-3). During the match Mertens scored 78 points vs Bucsa’s 53. Mertens was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Mertens scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Elise Mertens was very effective on serve to win 77% (24/31) of her 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The Belgian broke Bucsa 5 times after converting 28% of her break points (5/18).
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Singapore where she beat Ann Li in the final 6-1 6-4.
The Belgian has a composed 12-2 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Doha
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2019. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 52 | 23 |
| Pts | 179-175 | 104-62 |
| Total Points | 354 | 166 |
| Winners | 71 | 33 |
| %Winners | 40% | 32% |
Both Alexandrova and Mertens played 2 matches. At the moment, Ekaterina Alexandrova lost 1 set while Elise Mertens hasn’t dropped a set so far. Alexandrova has played 1 set more than Mertens (5 vs 4). Therefore, Alexandrova played 29 games more than Mertens. Ekaterina scored 71 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Mertens fired 33 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 2.5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 113/176 | 41/62 |
| %1st in | 64% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 71/113 | 33/41 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 28/63 | 14/21 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 67% |
Alexandrova recorded 5 aces (2.5 per match). Mertens struck 4 aces (2 per match). Alexandrova won 63% points on her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Mertens won 80% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alexandrova | Mertens |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 8 |
| Converted | 9/23 | 8/21 |
| % Converted | 39% | 38% |
| Conceded | 16 | 4 |
| Saved | 9 | 3 |
| % Saved | 56% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 1 |
Ekaterina broke her opponents 9 times with a 39% conversion rate. Alexandrova dropped her serve 7 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. Elise broke her opponents 8 times with a 38% conversion rate. Elise conceded her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded.
| Alexandrova | ||||
| R1 Raducanu |
R2 Sabalenka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 3-6 6-3 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 31 | 52 | |
| pts | 70-63 | 109-112 | 179-175 | |
| Total points | 133 | 221 | 354 | |
| Winners | 30 | 41 | 71 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 38% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 48/76 | 65/100 | 113/176 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 65% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 30/48 | 41/65 | 71/113 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/28 | 15/35 | 28/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 43% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/15 | 9/23 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 27% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | 16 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 4/8 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 50% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Mertens | ||||
| R1 Tauson |
R2 Bucsa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 ret. | 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 6 | 17 | 23 | |
| pts | 26-9 | 78-53 | 104-62 | |
| Total points | 35 | 131 | 166 | |
| Winners | 9 | 24 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 31% | 32% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 10/13 | 31/49 | 41/62 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 63% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 9/10 | 24/31 | 33/41 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 77% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 3/3 | 11/18 | 14/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 100% | 61% | 67% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 5/18 | 8/21 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 28% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWWLWWL
LWWWLWWWWW Tennis Scores in Doha
- Sofia KeninKenin – Alycia ParksParks (7-63 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Xinyu Jiang/Fang-Hsien WuJiang/Fang-Hsien Wu – Su-Wei Hsieh/Jelena OstapenkoHsieh/Jelena Ostapenko (6-2 6-73 10-5) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (6-3 7-63) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (7-65 7-5) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Paula BadosaBadosa (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Cori GauffGauff (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Mirra AndreevaAndreeva (3-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Sara Errani/Jasmine PaoliniErrani/Jasmine Paolini – Ulrikke Eikeri/Monica NiculescuEikeri/Monica Niculescu (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Elise Mertens/Ellen PerezMertens/Ellen Perez – Yifan Xu/Zhaoxuan YangXu/Zhaoxuan Yang (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (3-6 6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Elise MertensMertens – Cristina BucsaBucsa (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Peyton StearnsStearns (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Magdalena FrechFrech (7-5 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Emma NavarroNavarro (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Shintaro ImaiImai – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Kelsey StevensonStevenson – Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi (1-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Khumoun SultanovSultanov – Chayanon KaewsutoKaewsuto (6-3 7-65) – See score progression
- Shuichi SekiguchiSekiguchi – Jayden CourtCourt (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Ji Sung NamSung Nam – Ryota TanumaTanuma (7-67 6-3) – See score progression
- Palaphoom KovapituktedKovapitukted – Congsup CongcarCongcar (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Harry BourchierBourchier – Finn TearneyTearney (3-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – Hiroyasu EharaEhara (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (3-6 6-3 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (6-3 7-6(3)) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Cori GauffGauff (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Magdalena FrechFrech (7-5 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (7-6(5) 7-5) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Peyton StearnsStearns (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Mirra AndreevaAndreeva (3-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Elise MertensMertens (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Jessica PegulaPegula (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Magda LinetteLinette (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Sofia KeninKenin (2-6) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (0-2) – H2H and prediction
