Mathys Erhard and Steven Diez will face off in the qualifications of the Tenerife 2 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mathys Erhard who should win in 3 sets.
Mathys Erhard -> 1.56
Steven Diez -> 2.3
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Prediction and head to head Mathys Erhard vs. Steven Diez
There is no head to head record between Mathys Erhard and Steven Diez since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Mathys Erhard
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-29 | 10-7 | 22-20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 62-28 | 2-2 | 59-25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 53-35 | 4-4 | 49-28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-22 | 10-7 | 33-13 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-20 | 10-5 | 31-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 288 (career-high), the French player got to the qualifications after defeating Ivan Marrero Curbelo 6-7(4) 6-3 6-1.
In the qualifications against Marrero Curbelo, Mathys recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-3 6-1). During the match, Erhard scored 106 points vs Marrero Curbelo’s 86. Erhard was quite aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about the service games, Erhard recorded 15 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Mathys Erhard lost the serve once and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Erhard put 63% of his first serves in, winning 73% (49/67) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (20/40) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Marrero Curbelo 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Erhard has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 63% of his matches (230-136). 2-1 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Erhard has a composed31-28 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
Mathys has a composed 3-2 win-loss record in 2025, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tenerife 2 Challenger
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
Steven Diez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 11-11 | 7-3 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 18-22 | 14-11 | 0-3 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-36 | 7-13 | 16-19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-32 | 13-12 | 22-19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-28 | 3-6 | 12-16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 602, Steven got to the qualifications after beating Adria Soriano Barrera 7-6(5) 6-3.
In the qualifications, Steven had a good straight sets win against Soriano Barrera (7-65 6-3). During the match Diez scored 68 points vs Soriano Barrera’s 62. Diez was very aggressive to blast 34 winners.
About the serving games, Diez scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Steven Diez was extremely efficient on serve to win 77% (34/44) of his 1st serve and 56% (14/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Diez broke Soriano Barrera once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).
The Canadian has a composed 1-0 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Tenerife 2 Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2024. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Erhard | Diez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 22 |
| Pts | 106-86 | 68-62 |
| Total Points | 192 | 130 |
| Winners | 49 | 34 |
| %Winners | 46% | 50% |
Both Erhard and Diez played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Mathys Erhard dropped 1 set while Steven Diez hasn’t dropped a set so far. Erhard has played 1 set more than Diez (3 vs 2). Therefore, Erhard played 7 games more than Diez. Mathys scored 49 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The Canadian recorded 34 winners (50%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Erhard | Diez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 15 | 1 |
| 1st in | 67/107 | 44/69 |
| %1st in | 63% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 49/67 | 34/44 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 20/40 | 14/25 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 56% |
Erhard recorded 15 aces . Diez recorded 1 ace . Erhard won 73% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Diez won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Erhard | Diez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 1 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 1/3 |
| % Converted | 63% | 33% |
| Conceded | 8 | 2 |
| Saved | 7 | 2 |
| % Saved | 88% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Erhard broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Mathys surrendered his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. The Canadian broke his opponent once with a 33% conversion rate. Diez was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Erhard | |||
| Q1 Marrero | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-74 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 106-86 | 106-86 | |
| Total points | 192 | 192 | |
| Winners | 49 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 15 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 67/107 | 67/107 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 49/67 | 49/67 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/40 | 20/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Diez | |||
| Q1 Soriano | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 68-62 | 68-62 | |
| Total points | 130 | 130 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 44/69 | 44/69 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 34/44 | 34/44 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 14/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/3 | 1/3 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
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- Mathys ErhardErhard – Steven DiezDiez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Filip MisolicMisolic – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
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