Arthur Gea and Yosuke Watanuki will face off in the qualifications of the Open 13 Provence for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:00 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Yosuke Watanuki who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Yosuke Watanuki is the pick to win this match.
Yosuke Watanuki -> 1.53
Arthur Gea -> 2.375
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Prediction and head to head Arthur Gea vs. Yosuke Watanuki
There is no head to head record between Arthur Gea and Yosuke Watanuki since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Arthur Gea
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 13-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-30 | 11-4 | 26-23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-17 | 18-2 | 14-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 322, the French player reached the qualifications after beating Henri Squire 7-5 ret..
In the qualifications against Squire, the French player had a free pass after Squire retired on a 7-5 . scoreline.
Gea has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 60% of his matches (90-59). 12-3 on indoor hard courts in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Gea has a compiled18-12 match record in the last 5 years on indoor hard courts.
Arthur’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Hazebrouck and M15 Bressuire.
The French player has an overall 12-3 win-loss record in 2025, 12-3 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Marseille
Arthur has never competed in this tournament before.
Yosuke Watanuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-6 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 11-11 | 9-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 29-12 | 7-5 | 1-2 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-22 | 19-11 | 6-4 | 15-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-17 | 8-9 | 2-3 | 6-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 340, Yousuke got to the qualifications after defeating Jozef Kovalik 7-5 6-2.
In the qualifications, Watanuki had a good straight sets win against Kovalik (7-5 6-2). During the match Watanuki scored 69 points vs Kovalik’s 50. Yousuke was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Watanuki fired 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Yosuke Watanuki was quite effective on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Watanuki broke Kovalik 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
The Japanese has an overall 4-1 win-loss record in 2025, 1-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gea | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 12 | 20 |
| Pts | 38-28 | 69-50 |
| Total Points | 66 | 119 |
| Winners | 21 | 24 |
| %Winners | 55% | 35% |
Both Gea and Watanuki played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Gea and Watanuki have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Gea played 8 games less than Watanuki. Arthur scored 21 winners (55% of the total points). On the other side, Yousuke recorded 24 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gea | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 6 |
| 1st in | 24/33 | 30/56 |
| %1st in | 73% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 21/24 | 24/30 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 2/9 | 15/26 |
| %2nd pts | 22% | 58% |
Gea recorded 7 aces . Watanuki managed to score 6 aces . Gea won 88% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 22% of the points. On the other side, Watanuki won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gea | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 5 |
| Converted | 2/3 | 5/10 |
| % Converted | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 67% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
Gea broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Gea conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Watanuki broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Yousuke conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gea | |||
| Q1 Squire |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 1 | |
| Tot Games | 12 | 12 | |
| pts | 38-28 | 38-28 | |
| Total points | 66 | 66 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 55% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 24/33 | 24/33 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 21/24 | 21/24 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 2/9 | 2/9 | |
| % 2nd pts | 22% | 22% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/3 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Watanuki | |||
| Q1 Kovalik |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 69-50 | 69-50 | |
| Total points | 119 | 119 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 30/56 | 30/56 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 24/30 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/26 | 15/26 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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