Lucas Gerch and Aleksandre Bakshi will play each other in the qualifications of the Manama Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on COURT 2. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lucas Gerch who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lucas Gerch is the pick to win this match.
Lucas Gerch -> 1.49
Aleksandre Bakshi -> 2.48
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Prediction and head to head Lucas Gerch vs. Aleksandre Bakshi
This will be the 2nd time that Lucas Gerch and Aleksandre Bakshi square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Gerch (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Gerch won 6-0 7-5 in the 2nd round in M15 Saarlouis back in 2024.
Lucas Gerch
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-23 | 0-2 | 35-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2023 | 32-20 | 2-2 | 26-14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-29 | 11-3 | 36-20 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-27 | 8-8 | 20-18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 480, the German reached the qualifications after defeating Samir Hamza Reguig 6-2 6-4.
In the qualifications, Gerch had a good straight sets win against Hamza Reguig (6-2 6-4). During the match, Gerch scored 59 points vs Hamza Reguig’s 38. Lucas was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gerch made 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lucas Gerch was very effective on serve to win 81% (21/26) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Gerch broke Hamza Reguig 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Gerch has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (274-171). 6-2 on hard in 2025. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Gerch has an aggregate61-47 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
Gerch’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Zahra.
Lucas has an overall 6-2 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Manama Challenger
Lucas has never competed in this tournament before.
Aleksandre Bakshi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-11 | 15-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-26 | 34-22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 20-18 | 19-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-17 | 22-13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-17 | 8-7 | 10-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 488, will start his run in the Manama Challenger after he played his last match in the Manama Challenger where he overcame 6-1 6-4 to Uchida in the qualifications on the 9th of February.
Aleksandre has an overall 2-3 win-loss record in 2025, 2-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
In terms of his career, Bakshi has an overall 134-99 record. He has a positive 97-66 record on hard.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gerch | Bakshi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 |
| Pts | 59-38 | 61-44 |
| Total Points | 97 | 105 |
| Winners | 21 | 22 |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% |
Both Gerch and Bakshi played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Gerch and Bakshi have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Gerch played 1 game more than Bakshi. The German scored 21 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Aleksandre recorded 22 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gerch | Bakshi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 7 |
| 1st in | 26/47 | 28/45 |
| %1st in | 55% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 22/28 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 8/17 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 47% |
Gerch scored 2 aces . Bakshi blasted 7 aces . Gerch won 81% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Bakshi won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gerch | Bakshi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/11 |
| % Converted | 71% | 45% |
| Conceded | 7 | 2 |
| Saved | 5 | 0 |
| % Saved | 71% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Gerch broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Lucas surrendered his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Aleksandre broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Georgean conceded his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Gerch | |||
| Q1 Hamza |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 59-38 | 59-38 | |
| Total points | 97 | 97 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 26/47 | 26/47 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 21/26 | 21/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Bakshi | |||
| Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | |||
| Tot Set | 0 | ||
| Tot Games | 0 | ||
| pts | 0-0 | ||
| Total points | 0 | ||
| Winners | 0 | ||
| %Winners | 0% | ||
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | ||
| Double Faults | 0 | ||
| 1st in | 0/0 | ||
| % 1st in | 0% | ||
| 1st pts | 0/0 | ||
| % 1st pts | 0% | ||
| 2nd pts | 0/0 | ||
| % 2nd pts | 0% | ||
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 0 | ||
| Converted | 0/0 | ||
| Converted % | 0% | ||
| Conceded | 0 | ||
| Saved | 0 | ||
| Saved % | 0% | ||
| Times Broken | 0 | ||
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWLWLW
LLWLWWLWWW 
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