Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Hugo Dellien will square off in the final of the Rosario Challenger for the 6^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 6:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.727
Hugo Dellien -> 2.02

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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Hugo Dellien

This will be the 6^th time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Hugo Dellien play each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Ugo Carabelli (see full H2H stats), 3-2 on clay.

The last time that they locked horns, Ugo Carabelli won 4-6 7-6(3) 6-3 in the qualifications in Buenos aires back in 2024.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Ranked no. 110, Camilo got to the final after defeating Diego Schwartzman 4-6 6-3 6-4, Guido Ivan Justo 7-5 2-6 7-5, Juan Pablo Ficovich 3-6 6-1 6-0 and Murkel Dellien 6-3 3-6 6-3.

In the semifinal, The Argentine defeated Alejandro Dellien Velasco (6-3 3-6 6-3). During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored 100 points vs Alejandro Dellien Velasco’s 87. The Argentine was extremely aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Talking about the service games, Ugo Carabelli wasn’t able to score even 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 2 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 4 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 73% of his first serves in, winning 66% (39/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Ugo Carabelli broke Alejandro Dellien Velasco 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Camilo has lost 4 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Ugo Carabelli has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (352-200). 6-1 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate 319-169 match record in the last years on clay.

The Argentine’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Rosario Challenger.

Ugo Carabelli has an aggregate 6-2 win-loss record in 2025, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Rosario Challenger

The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.

Hugo Dellien

Ranked no. 119, Dellien got to the final after beating Chun Hsin Tseng 4-6 6-4 4-1 ret., Sumit Nagal 6-1 6-4, Francisco Comesana 7-6(7) 3-6 6-3 and Sebastian Baez 6-3 6-7(13) 6-2

.

In the semifinal, The Bolivian defeated Baez (6-3 6-7¹³ 6-2). During the match Dellien scored 107 points vs Baez’s 91. The Bolivian was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.

About the serving games, Dellien scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Hugo Dellien was quite effective on serve to win 72% (43/60) of his 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Dellien broke Baez 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dellien has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The Bolivian’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Piracicaba Challenger and the Rosario Challenger.

The Bolivian has a compiled 9-3 win-loss record in 2025, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Ugo Carabelli	Dellien
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	12	12
Tot Games	110	103
Pts	365-325	352-301
Total Points	690	653
Winners	149	178
%Winners	41%	51%

Both Ugo Carabelli and Dellien played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli dropped 4 sets, while Hugo Dellien dropped 3 sets. Talking about their workload, Ugo Carabelli and Dellien have played the same amount of sets 12. However, Ugo Carabelli played 7 games more than Dellien. Camilo scored 149 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Dellien recorded 178 winners (51%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Ugo Carabelli	Dellien
Aces	9	10
Avg per match	2.3	2.5
1st in	221/334	251/339
%1st in	66%	74%
1st pts	149/221	178/251
%1st pts	67%	71%
2nd pts	58/113	49/88
%2nd pts	51%	56%

Ugo Carabelli blasted 9 aces (2.3 per match). Dellien bagged 10 aces (2.5 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 67% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Dellien won 71% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Ugo Carabelli	Dellien
Won	20	14
Converted	20/40	14/32
% Converted	50%	44%
Conceded	32	21
Saved	18	14
% Saved	56%	67%
Times Broken	14	7

Ugo Carabelli broke his opponents 20 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ugo Carabelli conceded his serve 14 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. Hugo broke his opponents 14 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Bolivian conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Ugo Carabelli
	R1 Schwartzman	R2 Ivan Justo	1/4 Pablo Ficovich	1/2 Alejandro Dellien Velasco	Total
Score	4-6 6-3 6-4	7-5 2-6 7-5	3-6 6-1 6-0	6-3 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	3	3	12
Tot Games	29	32	22	27	110
pts	96-87	94-97	75-54	100-87	365-325
Total points	183	191	129	187	690
Winners	42	40	28	39	149
%Winners	44%	43%	37%	39%	41%
SERVE
Aces	5	1	3	0	9
Double Faults	1	2	0	2	5
1st in	61/95	62/94	39/64	59/81	221/334
% 1st in	64%	66%	61%	73%	66%
1st pts	42/61	40/62	28/39	39/59	149/221
% 1st pts	69%	65%	72%	66%	67%
2nd pts	15/34	16/32	16/25	11/22	58/113
% 2nd pts	44%	50%	64%	50%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	5	5	5	20
Converted	5/9	5/10	5/6	5/15	20/40
Converted %	56%	50%	83%	33%	50%
Conceded	10	10	2	10	32
Saved	6/10	5/10	1/2	6/10	18
Saved %	60%	50%	50%	60%	55%
Times Broken	4	5	1	4	14

Dellien
	R1 Hsin	R2 Nagal	1/4 Comesana	1/2 Baez	Total
Score	4-6 6-4 4-1 ret.	6-1 6-4	7-67 3-6 6-3	6-3 6-713 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	3	3	11
Tot Games	25	17	31	30	103
pts	74-69	74-53	97-88	107-91	352-301
Total points	143	127	185	198	653
Winners	46	40	49	43	178
%Winners	62%	54%	51%	40%	51%
SERVE
Aces	1	4	4	1	10
Double Faults	1	2	0	0	3
1st in	67/84	60/74	64/88	60/93	251/339
% 1st in	80%	81%	73%	65%	74%
1st pts	46/67	40/60	49/64	43/60	178/251
% 1st pts	69%	67%	77%	72%	71%
2nd pts	7/17	7/14	16/24	19/33	49/88
% 2nd pts	41%	50%	67%	58%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	4	2	5	14
Converted	3/5	4/10	2/6	5/11	14/32
Converted %	60%	40%	33%	45%	44%
Conceded	5	8	4	4	21
Saved	3/5	7/8	2/4	2/4	14
Saved %	60%	88%	50%	50%	62%
Times Broken	2	1	2	2	7

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Hugo DellienDellien – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (2-3) – H2H and prediction