Sebastian Baez and Hugo Dellien will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Rosario Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 7:30 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Baez who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Sebastian Baez is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Baez -> 1.42
Hugo Dellien -> 2.69
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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Baez vs. Hugo Dellien
This will be the 4th time that Sebastian Baez and Hugo Dellien clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Baez (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Baez won 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the 2nd round in Cordoba back in 2024.
Highlights Sebastian Baez vs Hugo Dellien – Cordoba 09-February-2024
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-7 | 0-4 | 12-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-28 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31, Baez reached the semifinal after beating Emilio Nava 6-3 6-3, Gustavo Heide 7-6(1) 7-6(5) and Francesco Passaro 6-1 6-2.
In the quarter, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Passaro (6-1 6-2). During the match, Baez scored 59 points vs Passaro’s 36. Sebastian was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Regarding the service games, Baez blasted 2 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Sebastian Baez lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 72% of his first serves in, winning 68% (21/31) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the 2nd serve. Baez broke Passaro 6 times after converting 50% of his break points (6/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sebastian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Baez has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (254-151). 3-0 on clay in 2025. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Baez has a compiled 215-89 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Baez has a composed 3-2 win-loss record in 2025, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Rosario Challenger
Sebastian has never competed in this tournament before.
Hugo Dellien
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 14-7 | 2-1 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-28 | 1-2 | 44-25 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-27 | 0-3 | 36-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-18 | 0-0 | 32-17 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-27 | 3-5 | 41-21 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 119, the Bolivian got to the semifinal after defeating Chun Hsin Tseng 4-6 6-4 4-1 ret., Sumit Nagal 6-1 6-4 and Francisco Comesana 7-6(7) 3-6 6-3.
In the quarter, The Bolivian defeated Comesana (7-67 3-6 6-3). During the match Dellien scored 97 points vs Comesana’s 88. The Bolivian was quite aggressive to blast 49 winners.
About the serving games, Dellien recorded 4 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Hugo Dellien was very effective on serve to win 77% (49/64) of his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Dellien broke Comesana twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Bolivian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
The Bolivian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Piracicaba Challenger.
Dellien has a compiled 8-3 win-loss record in 2025, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Baez | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 59 | 73 |
| Pts | 206-166 | 245-210 |
| Total Points | 372 | 455 |
| Winners | 80 | 135 |
| %Winners | 39% | 55% |
Both Baez and Dellien played 3 matches. At the moment, Hugo Dellien conceded 2 sets while Sebastian Baez hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Baez has played 3 set(s) less than Dellien (6 vs 9). Therefore, Baez played 14 games less than Dellien. The Argentine scored 80 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Hugo scored 135 winners (55%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Baez | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 3 |
| 1st in | 123/179 | 191/246 |
| %1st in | 69% | 78% |
| 1st pts | 80/123 | 135/191 |
| %1st pts | 65% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 37/56 | 30/55 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 55% |
Baez bagged 3 aces (1 per match). Dellien fired 9 aces (3 per match). Baez won 65% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, Dellien won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Baez | Dellien |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 9 |
| Converted | 12/23 | 9/21 |
| % Converted | 52% | 43% |
| Conceded | 14 | 17 |
| Saved | 10 | 12 |
| % Saved | 71% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. The Argentine surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. Dellien broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Hugo conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Baez | |||||
| R1 Nava |
R2 Heide |
1/4 Passaro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 7-61 7-65 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 26 | 15 | 59 | |
| pts | 69-57 | 78-73 | 59-36 | 206-166 | |
| Total points | 126 | 151 | 95 | 372 | |
| Winners | 22 | 37 | 21 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 47% | 36% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 42/60 | 50/76 | 31/43 | 123/179 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 66% | 72% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 22/42 | 37/50 | 21/31 | 80/123 | |
| % 1st pts | 52% | 74% | 68% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/18 | 16/26 | 7/12 | 37/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 78% | 62% | 58% | 66% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 1 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 1/1 | 6/12 | 12/23 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 100% | 50% | 52% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 1 | 4 | 14 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 0/1 | 3/4 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 0% | 75% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Dellien | |||||
| R1 Hsin |
R2 Nagal |
1/4 Comesana |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 4-1 ret. | 6-1 6-4 | 7-67 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 17 | 31 | 73 | |
| pts | 74-69 | 74-53 | 97-88 | 245-210 | |
| Total points | 143 | 127 | 185 | 455 | |
| Winners | 46 | 40 | 49 | 135 | |
| %Winners | 62% | 54% | 51% | 55% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 67/84 | 60/74 | 64/88 | 191/246 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 81% | 73% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 46/67 | 40/60 | 49/64 | 135/191 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 67% | 77% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/17 | 7/14 | 16/24 | 30/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 50% | 67% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 2 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/10 | 2/6 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 40% | 33% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 8 | 4 | 17 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 7/8 | 2/4 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 88% | 50% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWWWWW
LLWWWLWWLW Tennis Scores in Rosario Challenger
- Hugo DellienDellien – Francisco ComesanaComesana (7-67 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Murkel DellienDellien – Juan Manuel CerundoloManuel Cerundolo (7-66 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Francesco PassaroPassaro (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Guido Andreozzi/Theo ArribageAndreozzi/Theo Arribage – Guillermo Duran/Renzo OlivoDuran/Renzo Olivo (6-3 5-7 15-13) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Juan Pablo FicovichPablo Ficovich (3-6 6-1 6-0) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Murkel Alejandro Dellien VelascoAlejandro Dellien Velasco (6-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Hugo DellienDellien (3-0) – H2H and prediction
